CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo (BSP:MSPA3) Beneish M-Score: -1.99 (As of Jul. 19, 2026)

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BSP:MSPA3 CIA Melhoramentos de Sao Paulo BSP:MSPA3
51 GF Score
Price R$40.30
GF Value R$45.75
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo Beneish M-Score?

CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo BSP:MSPA3 51 Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:MSPA3 with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of R$45.75 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 272 Forest Products companies, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo ranks worse than 83.46% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:MSPA3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.48   Max: 1.05
Current: -1.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo was 1.05. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.48.


CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo Beneish M-Score Chart

CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.18 -2.32 -3.21 -2.28 -2.54

CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.25 -2.38 -2.46 -2.54 -1.99

BSP:MSPA3 vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:MSPA3
51GF Score
CIA Melhoramentos de Sao Paulo BSP:MSPA3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4877+0.528 * 1.2298+0.404 * 1.0292+0.892 * 1.0691+0.115 * 0.5088
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.775+4.679 * -0.027368-0.327 * 1.0326
=-1.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$64.4 Mil.
Revenue was 44.069 + 43.342 + 46.489 + 43.872 = R$177.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7.408 + 12.443 + 14.99 + 17.443 = R$52.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$123.4 Mil.
Total Assets was R$1,430.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$1,118.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$27.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$37.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$137.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$152.3 Mil.
Net Income was -13.629 + -1.92 + -9.976 + -10.488 = R$-36.0 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1.23 + 49.489 + -20.579 + -24.535 = R$3.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$40.5 Mil.
Revenue was 43.388 + 44.685 + 40.97 + 37.238 = R$166.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 17.003 + 18.589 + 13.165 + 11.388 = R$60.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$121.9 Mil.
Total Assets was R$1,470.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$1,159.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$14.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$44.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$161.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$126.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(64.438 / 177.772) / (40.515 / 166.281)
=0.362476 / 0.243654
=1.4877

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(60.145 / 166.281) / (52.284 / 177.772)
=0.361707 / 0.294107
=1.2298

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (123.368 + 1118.833) / 1430.797) / (1 - (121.872 + 1159.854) / 1469.996)
=0.131812 / 0.128075
=1.0292

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=177.772 / 166.281
=1.0691

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(14.112 / (14.112 + 1159.854)) / (27.073 / (27.073 + 1118.833))
=0.012021 / 0.023626
=0.5088

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(37.046 / 177.772) / (44.709 / 166.281)
=0.208391 / 0.268876
=0.775

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((152.262 + 137.258) / 1430.797) / ((126.761 + 161.307) / 1469.996)
=0.202349 / 0.195965
=1.0326

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-36.013 - 0 - 3.145) / 1430.797
=-0.027368

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo has a M-score of -1.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 mean?
CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo (BSP:MSPA3) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 as of Jul. 19, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo ranks #227 out of 272 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 83.5%.
Is CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's Beneish M-Score too high?
CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Based on the distribution chart, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo ranks #227 out of 272 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's Beneish M-Score compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo ranks #227 out of 272 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo and its competitors. CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo (BSP:MSPA3) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$45.75, compared to a current price of R$40.30 — trading 11.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo's overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo (BSP:MSPA3), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo (BSP:MSPA3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R$40.30 is trading 11.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$45.75. GuruFocus considers CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:MSPA3:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.99
  • GF Value™: R$45.75 vs. price of R$40.30 (11.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:MSPA3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CIA Melhoramentos deo Paulo Business Description

Address Rua Tito 479, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 05051000
CIA Melhoramentos de Sao Paulo primarily engages in publishing business in Brazil. It offers paperback and digital books primarily for children, teenagers, and schools; cooking books; and customized books for companies. The company also engages in developing and maintaining forests; conducting reforestation activities of pines and eucalyptus; and urban, industrial, or infrastructure projects of real estate development. In addition, it is involved in the production of fibers, such as thermo ground wood, Bleached Thermo Ground Wood and Neolux Fibers, used as raw material for the production of paperboard, tissue and special papers.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:MSPA3

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$40.30
Price
R$45.75
GF Value