Grupo Toky (BSP:TOKY3) Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


BSP:TOKY3 Grupo Toky SA BSP:TOKY3
36 GF Score
Price R$0.28
GF Value R$12.00
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Grupo Toky Beneish M-Score?

Grupo Toky BSP:TOKY3 36 Beneish M-Score is -3.09 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:TOKY3 with a GF Score™ of 36/100 and a GF Value™ of R$12.00 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,087 Retail - Cyclical companies, Grupo Toky ranks better than 82.15% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.09 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupo Toky's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:TOKY3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.09   Med: -2.48   Max: 2.22
Current: -3.09

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupo Toky was 2.22. The lowest was -3.09. And the median was -2.48.


Grupo Toky Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Grupo Toky's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Grupo Toky Beneish M-Score Chart

Grupo Toky Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 2.22 -2.92 -2.33 -2.30 -2.91

Grupo Toky Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.43 -2.77 -2.91 -3.09

BSP:TOKY3 vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Grupo Toky's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupo Toky Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Grupo Toky's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupo Toky's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:TOKY3
36GF Score
Grupo Toky SA BSP:TOKY3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Grupo Toky Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupo Toky for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6903+0.528 * 0.968+0.404 * 1.085+0.892 * 1.2855+0.115 * 0.678
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9334+4.679 * -0.119946-0.327 * 1.0393
=-3.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$117 Mil.
Revenue was 293.353 + 388.021 + 329.044 + 319.864 = R$1,330 Mil.
Gross Profit was 146.482 + 202.626 + 153.188 + 167.095 = R$669 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$609 Mil.
Total Assets was R$1,889 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$466 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$197 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$279 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$751 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$802 Mil.
Net Income was -56.801 + -5.758 + -0.342 + -55.709 = R$-119 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 34.583 + -10.462 + 102.685 + -18.821 = R$108 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$131 Mil.
Revenue was 373.044 + 375.121 + 149.742 + 136.9 = R$1,035 Mil.
Gross Profit was 200.741 + 177.236 + 65.456 + 60.609 = R$504 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$646 Mil.
Total Assets was R$1,936 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$521 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$131 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$233 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$578 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$954 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(116.543 / 1330.282) / (131.334 / 1034.807)
=0.087608 / 0.126916
=0.6903

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(504.042 / 1034.807) / (669.391 / 1330.282)
=0.487088 / 0.503195
=0.968

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (608.746 + 466.025) / 1889.143) / (1 - (645.871 + 520.865) / 1935.915)
=0.43108 / 0.397321
=1.085

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1330.282 / 1034.807
=1.2855

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(131.395 / (131.395 + 520.865)) / (197.003 / (197.003 + 466.025))
=0.201446 / 0.297126
=0.678

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(278.989 / 1330.282) / (232.502 / 1034.807)
=0.209722 / 0.224682
=0.9334

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((802.216 + 751.323) / 1889.143) / ((953.964 + 577.801) / 1935.915)
=0.822351 / 0.791236
=1.0393

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-118.61 - 0 - 107.985) / 1889.143
=-0.119946

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupo Toky has a M-score of -3.09 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.09 mean?
Grupo Toky (BSP:TOKY3) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.09 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Grupo Toky and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Grupo Toky ranks #194 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 17.8%.
Is Grupo Toky's Beneish M-Score too high?
Grupo Toky's current Beneish M-Score is -3.09. Based on the distribution chart, Grupo Toky ranks #194 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Grupo Toky has a GF Score™ of 36/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Grupo Toky's Beneish M-Score compare to CASY and WSM?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Grupo Toky ranks #194 out of 1087 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Grupo Toky in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Grupo Toky and its competitors. Grupo Toky's current Beneish M-Score is -3.09. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Grupo Toky stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupo Toky (BSP:TOKY3) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is R$12.00, compared to a current price of R$0.28 — trading 97.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.09. Grupo Toky's overall GF Score™ is 36/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Grupo Toky (BSP:TOKY3), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.09 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Grupo Toky (BSP:TOKY3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupo Toky stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R$0.28 is trading 97.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$12.00. GuruFocus considers Grupo Toky to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for BSP:TOKY3:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.09
  • GF Value™: R$12.00 vs. price of R$0.28 (97.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 36/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:TOKY3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Grupo Toky Business Description

Address 16.737, Avenue Das Nacoes Unidas, Room 3, Varzea de Baixo, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 04730-090
Grupo Toky SA is engaged in the operation of an online furniture and decoration store. The store offers sofas, wardrobes, office chairs, racks and panels, sofa beds, dinner tables and chairs, bed sheets, blankets, comforters, towels, bathrobes, curtains, decorative mirrors, kitchen appliances, bath accessories, lighting products, and housewares. The Group sells mainly through its categories: Furniture, Children's, Household Utilities, Garden and Leisure, Renovation and Garage, Electronics, and Others. Its brands are Mobly, Guldi, and Tok&Stok.
36GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:TOKY3

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$0.28
Price
R$12.00
GF Value