BTSGY (BTS Group Holdings) Beneish M-Score: -2.99 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


BTSGY BTS Group Holdings PLC BTSGY
53 GF Score
Price $16.50
GF Value $49.97
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is BTS Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

BTS Group Holdings BTSGY 53 Beneish M-Score is -2.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates BTSGY with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of $49.97. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, BTS Group Holdings ranks better than 83.85% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for BTS Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BTSGY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.58   Med: -1.7   Max: 2.01
Current: -2.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of BTS Group Holdings was 2.01. The lowest was -3.58. And the median was -1.70.


BTS Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for BTS Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

BTS Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

BTS Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -1.05 -0.59 0.97 -3.53

BTS Group Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.58 -3.53 -2.83 -1.66 -2.99

BTSGY vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, BTS Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BTS Group Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, BTS Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BTS Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BTSGY
53GF Score
BTS Group Holdings PLC BTSGY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

BTS Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of BTS Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8123+0.528 * 1.0391+0.404 * 0.9067+0.892 * 1.4148+0.115 * 1.1772
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0299+4.679 * -0.127102-0.327 * 1.0278
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $374.1 Mil.
Revenue was 173.193 + 162.419 + 161.804 + 165.158 = $662.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 46.563 + 44.87 + 46.79 + 47.724 = $185.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,290.4 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,189.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,128.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $89.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $201.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,362.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,983.4 Mil.
Net Income was -30.335 + 3.202 + -7.045 + 0.108 = $-34.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 8.206 + 44.902 + 16.837 + 18.194 = $88.1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1045.905 + 45.364 + -12.827 + 94.465 = $1,172.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was $325.5 Mil.
Revenue was 146.366 + 116.721 + 99.539 + 105.681 = $468.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 42.785 + 36.033 + 27.568 + 30.178 = $136.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,887.9 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,560.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $666.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $63.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $138.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,444.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,348.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(374.143 / 662.574) / (325.54 / 468.307)
=0.564681 / 0.695142
=0.8123

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(136.564 / 468.307) / (185.947 / 662.574)
=0.291612 / 0.280643
=1.0391

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2290.446 + 1128.538) / 10189.598) / (1 - (1887.898 + 666.699) / 9560.575)
=0.664463 / 0.732799
=0.9067

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=662.574 / 468.307
=1.4148

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(62.978 / (62.978 + 666.699)) / (89.287 / (89.287 + 1128.538))
=0.086309 / 0.073317
=1.1772

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(201.125 / 662.574) / (138.023 / 468.307)
=0.303551 / 0.294728
=1.0299

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4983.423 + 1362.593) / 10189.598) / ((4348.929 + 1444.39) / 9560.575)
=0.622794 / 0.605959
=1.0278

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-34.07 - 88.139 - 1172.907) / 10189.598
=-0.127102

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

BTS Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.99 mean?
BTS Group Holdings (BTSGY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on BTS Group Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, BTS Group Holdings ranks #156 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 16.1%.
Is BTS Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
BTS Group Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. Based on the distribution chart, BTS Group Holdings ranks #156 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, BTS Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 53/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does BTS Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, BTS Group Holdings ranks #156 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places BTS Group Holdings in the top 16% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on BTS Group Holdings and its competitors. BTS Group Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is BTS Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
BTS Group Holdings (BTSGY) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.99. The stock's GF Value™ is $49.97, compared to a current price of $16.50 — trading 67% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. BTS Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For BTS Group Holdings (BTSGY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is BTS Group Holdings (BTSGY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, BTS Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $16.50 is trading 67% below its estimated GF Value™ of $49.97.

Key valuation signals for BTSGY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.99
  • GF Value™: $49.97 vs. price of $16.50 (67% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BTSGY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


BTS Group Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges BTS:Thailand
Address Phahonyothin Road, 1000/9 BTS Visionary Park, South Tower, 33rd Floor, Chomphon Sub-district, Chatuchak District, Bangkok, THA, 10900
BTS Group Holdings PLC is principally engaged in the provision of transportation (Move), comprehensive marketing (Mix), and the capture of opportunities and creation of synergies through a shared system platform (Match). The group's reportable segments are MOVE, MIX, and MATCH. The majority of its revenue is generated from the MOVE segment, which provides mass transportation services for rail and other modes. This segment generates revenue through farebox collection, operating and maintenance, elevated rail's installation and construction, train procurement, and other related services, as well as the operation and maintenance of the Bus Rapid Transit and Automated People Mover (APM) systems. Geographically, the group generates maximum revenue from Thailand.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BTSGY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$16.50
Price
$49.97
GF Value