CFPZF (Canfor) Beneish M-Score: -3.04 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


CFPZF Canfor Corp CFPZF
72 GF Score
Price $9.53
GF Value $10.96
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Canfor Beneish M-Score?

Canfor CFPZF +1.44% 72 Beneish M-Score is -3.04 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates CFPZF with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of $10.96 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Canfor ranks better than 84.98% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Canfor's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CFPZF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.32   Med: -2.72   Max: -1.8
Current: -3.04

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Canfor was -1.80. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -2.72.


Canfor Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Canfor's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Canfor Beneish M-Score Chart

Canfor Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.45 -2.10 -3.08 -3.03

Canfor Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.97 -2.94 -2.78 -3.03 -3.04

CFPZF vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Canfor's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canfor Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Canfor's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canfor's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CFPZF
72GF Score
Canfor Corp CFPZF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Canfor Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Canfor for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9716+0.528 * 1.1324+0.404 * 0.8268+0.892 * 1.0143+0.115 * 0.9937
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9581+4.679 * -0.087068-0.327 * 1.3006
=-2.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $414 Mil.
Revenue was 990.598 + 929.54 + 910.655 + 1009.219 = $3,840 Mil.
Gross Profit was 179.956 + 135.484 + 117.031 + 190.152 = $623 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,297 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,691 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,767 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $298 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $554 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $980 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $367 Mil.
Net Income was -52.551 + -283.074 + -124.621 + -148.376 = $-609 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1.968 + -195.071 + 5.277 + -141.279 = $-333 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -56.195 + 42.479 + 12.795 + 46.678 = $46 Mil.
Total Receivables was $420 Mil.
Revenue was 987.392 + 902.436 + 888.011 + 1008.026 = $3,786 Mil.
Gross Profit was 204.096 + 195.971 + 147.793 + 147.246 = $695 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,356 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,994 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,818 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $305 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $570 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $765 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $356 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(414.359 / 3840.012) / (420.451 / 3785.865)
=0.107906 / 0.111058
=0.9716

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(695.106 / 3785.865) / (622.623 / 3840.012)
=0.183606 / 0.162141
=1.1324

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1297.157 + 1766.764) / 3690.671) / (1 - (1356.297 + 1817.568) / 3994.218)
=0.16982 / 0.205385
=0.8268

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3840.012 / 3785.865
=1.0143

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(304.623 / (304.623 + 1817.568)) / (298.318 / (298.318 + 1766.764))
=0.143542 / 0.144458
=0.9937

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(553.508 / 3840.012) / (569.579 / 3785.865)
=0.144142 / 0.150449
=0.9581

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((367.347 + 979.665) / 3690.671) / ((355.879 + 764.976) / 3994.218)
=0.364978 / 0.280619
=1.3006

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-608.622 - -333.041 - 45.757) / 3690.671
=-0.087068

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Canfor has a M-score of -2.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.04 mean?
Canfor (CFPZF) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.04 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Canfor and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Canfor ranks #41 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 15%.
Is Canfor's Beneish M-Score too high?
Canfor's current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. Based on the distribution chart, Canfor ranks #41 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Canfor has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Canfor's Beneish M-Score compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Canfor ranks #41 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Canfor in the top 15% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Canfor and its competitors. Canfor's current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Canfor stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Canfor (CFPZF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $10.96, compared to a current price of $9.53 — trading 13.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. Canfor's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Canfor (CFPZF), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.04 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Canfor (CFPZF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Canfor stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $9.53 is trading 13.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $10.96. GuruFocus considers Canfor to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for CFPZF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.04
  • GF Value™: $10.96 vs. price of $9.53 (13.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CFPZF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Canfor Business Description

Other Exchanges NKC:GermanyCFP:Canada
Address 101-161 East 4th Avenue, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V5T 1G4
Canfor is a softwood lumber company that also owns Canfor Pulp Products. It is active throughout North America and Europe, with lumber mills in British Columbia, Alberta, the Southeastern United States, and Sweden. It has two reportable segments: lumber and pulp and paper. The lumber segment includes Canfor's sawmilling and remanufacturing operations. The pulp and paper segment includes the kraft pulp, kraft paper, and bleached chemi-thermomechanical pulp businesses of Canfor Pulp.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CFPZF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.53
Price
$10.96
GF Value