Air Astana JSC (CHIX:AIRAL) Beneish M-Score: -2.26 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


CHIX:AIRAL Air Astana JSC CHIX:AIRAL
46 GF Score
Price $5.52
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score?

Air Astana JSC CHIX:AIRAL 46 Beneish M-Score is -2.26 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:AIRAL with a GF Score™ of 46/100. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Air Astana JSC ranks worse than 71.01% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.26 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:AIRAl' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.86   Max: -2.25
Current: -2.26

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Air Astana JSC was -2.25. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.86.


Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Air Astana JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 -3.22 -2.68

Air Astana JSC Quarterly Data
Dec20 Dec21 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.07 0.00 -2.86 -2.68 -2.26

CHIX:AIRAL vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CHIX:AIRAL
46GF Score
Air Astana JSC CHIX:AIRAL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Air Astana JSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.385+0.528 * 1.3568+0.404 * 1.5167+0.892 * 1.1285+0.115 * 0.8697
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0121+4.679 * -0.101834-0.327 * 1.0816
=-2.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $53 Mil.
Revenue was 320.296 + 330.908 + 436.534 + 363.857 = $1,452 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11.891 + 11.492 + 75.015 + 70.082 = $168 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $710 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,096 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,178 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $238 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $81 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $648 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $825 Mil.
Net Income was -21.067 + -17.686 + 20.575 + 17.961 = $-0 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 24.057 + -46.699 + 103.906 + 131.977 = $213 Mil.
Total Receivables was $34 Mil.
Revenue was 276.378 + 293.215 + 406.127 + 310.6 = $1,286 Mil.
Gross Profit was 20.269 + 24.241 + 104.31 + 53.746 = $203 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $692 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,967 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,146 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $197 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $71 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $460 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $818 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(52.769 / 1451.595) / (33.762 / 1286.32)
=0.036352 / 0.026247
=1.385

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(202.566 / 1286.32) / (168.48 / 1451.595)
=0.157477 / 0.116065
=1.3568

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (710.348 + 1177.676) / 2096.142) / (1 - (691.814 + 1146.031) / 1966.579)
=0.099286 / 0.065461
=1.5167

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1451.595 / 1286.32
=1.1285

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(196.662 / (196.662 + 1146.031)) / (238.486 / (238.486 + 1177.676))
=0.146468 / 0.168403
=0.8697

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(80.949 / 1451.595) / (70.875 / 1286.32)
=0.055766 / 0.055099
=1.0121

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((824.767 + 647.802) / 2096.142) / ((817.641 + 459.702) / 1966.579)
=0.702514 / 0.649525
=1.0816

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-0.217 - 0 - 213.241) / 2096.142
=-0.101834

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Air Astana JSC has a M-score of -2.13 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.26 mean?
Air Astana JSC (CHIX:AIRAL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.26 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Air Astana JSC and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Air Astana JSC ranks #686 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 71%.
Is Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score too high?
Air Astana JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.26. Based on the distribution chart, Air Astana JSC ranks #686 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Air Astana JSC has a GF Score™ of 46/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Air Astana JSC ranks #686 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Air Astana JSC in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Air Astana JSC and its competitors. Air Astana JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Air Astana JSC stock overvalued right now?
Air Astana JSC (CHIX:AIRAL) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.26. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.26. Air Astana JSC's overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Air Astana JSC (CHIX:AIRAL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.26 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Air Astana JSC Business Description

Address 4A Zakarpatskaya Street, Turksib District, Almaty, KAZ, 050039
Air Astana JSC is an airline company engaged in providing scheduled and charter, point-to-point and transit, short-haul and long-haul passenger air transportation and cargo services on domestic, regional, and international routes across Central Asia, the Caucasus, Europe (including Turkey), the Middle East, and Asia (including India and China). The group has two reportable segments. The Air Astana segment operates as a full-service airline brand providing domestic and international passenger and cargo transportation services. The FlyArystan segment operates as a low-cost airline brand providing scheduled short-haul and medium-haul passenger air transportation services across Kazakhstan and neighboring regions, including the Caucasus, Central Asia, Turkey, and the Middle East.
46GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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