Fresnillo (CHIX:FRESL) Beneish M-Score: -3.19 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


CHIX:FRESL Fresnillo PLC CHIX:FRESL
85 GF Score
Price £29.05
GF Value £12.58
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
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What is Fresnillo Beneish M-Score?

Fresnillo CHIX:FRESL -5.25% 85 Beneish M-Score is -3.19 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:FRESL with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of £12.58 (Significantly Overvalued). Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Fresnillo ranks better than 86.13% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.19 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fresnillo's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:FRESl' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.19   Med: -2.63   Max: -2.1
Current: -3.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Fresnillo was -2.10. The lowest was -3.19. And the median was -2.63.


Fresnillo Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Fresnillo's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Fresnillo Beneish M-Score Chart

Fresnillo Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.00 -2.10 -2.42 -3.14 -3.19

Fresnillo Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 0.00 -3.14 0.00 -3.19

CHIX:FRESL vs HL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Fresnillo's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fresnillo Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Fresnillo's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fresnillo's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CHIX:FRESL
85GF Score
Fresnillo PLC CHIX:FRESL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Fresnillo Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Fresnillo for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0279+0.528 * 0.6103+0.404 * 0.6825+0.892 * 1.232+0.115 * 1.1822
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.911+4.679 * -0.124424-0.327 * 1.1821
=-3.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was £586 Mil.
Revenue was £3,407 Mil.
Gross Profit was £1,990 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £3,028 Mil.
Total Assets was £5,438 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £1,842 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £367 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £138 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £697 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £632 Mil.
Net Income was £1,034 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £1,710 Mil.
Total Receivables was £463 Mil.
Revenue was £2,766 Mil.
Gross Profit was £986 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £1,932 Mil.
Total Assets was £4,651 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £2,008 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £491 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £123 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £292 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £670 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(585.772 / 3407.24) / (462.553 / 2765.641)
=0.17192 / 0.16725
=1.0279

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(985.802 / 2765.641) / (1990.091 / 3407.24)
=0.356446 / 0.584077
=0.6103

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3027.929 + 1842.127) / 5437.613) / (1 - (1932.04 + 2008.084) / 4651.442)
=0.104376 / 0.152924
=0.6825

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3407.24 / 2765.641
=1.232

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(491.106 / (491.106 + 2008.084)) / (367.252 / (367.252 + 1842.127))
=0.196506 / 0.166224
=1.1822

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(138.2 / 3407.24) / (123.133 / 2765.641)
=0.040561 / 0.044522
=0.911

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((632.043 + 696.736) / 5437.613) / ((670.047 + 291.551) / 4651.442)
=0.244368 / 0.206731
=1.1821

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1033.839 - 0 - 1710.411) / 5437.613
=-0.124424

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Fresnillo has a M-score of -3.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.19 mean?
Fresnillo (CHIX:FRESL) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.19 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Fresnillo and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Fresnillo ranks #95 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 13.9%.
Is Fresnillo's Beneish M-Score too high?
Fresnillo's current Beneish M-Score is -3.19. Based on the distribution chart, Fresnillo ranks #95 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Fresnillo has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fresnillo's Beneish M-Score compare to HL?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Fresnillo ranks #95 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Fresnillo in the top 14% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Fresnillo and its competitors. Fresnillo's current Beneish M-Score is -3.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fresnillo stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fresnillo (CHIX:FRESL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £12.58, compared to a current price of £29.05 — trading 130.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.19. Fresnillo's overall GF Score™ is 85/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fresnillo (CHIX:FRESL), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.19 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Fresnillo (CHIX:FRESL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fresnillo stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of £29.05 is trading 130.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of £12.58. GuruFocus considers Fresnillo to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:FRESL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.19
  • GF Value™: £12.58 vs. price of £29.05 (130.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:FRESL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Fresnillo Business Description

Address Calzada Legaria No. 549, Torre 2, Piso 11, Delegacion Miguel Hidalgo, Mexico, DF, MEX, 11250
Fresnillo PLC explores, develops, and produces silver and gold resources mainly in Mexico. The company's reportable segments comprise seven producing mines: the Fresnillo, Saucito, and Juanicipio underground silver mines located in Zacatecas; the Cienega underground silver-gold mine in Durango; the Herradura and Noche Buena surface gold mines in Sonora; and the San Julian underground silver-gold mine situated on the border of Chihuahua and Durango. Its mining operations involve both underground and open-pit mining methods, depending on the characteristics of each deposit.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:FRESL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£29.05
Price
£12.58
GF Value