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Ocado Group (CHIX:OCDOL) Beneish M-Score : -3.23 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Ocado Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.23 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ocado Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:OCDOl' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.78   Max: -1.82
Current: -3.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ocado Group was -1.82. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.78.


Ocado Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ocado Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ocado Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Ocado Group Annual Data
Trend Nov13 Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.81 -2.66 -1.82 -3.23

Ocado Group Semi-Annual Data
May14 Nov14 May15 Nov15 May16 Nov16 May17 Nov17 May18 Nov18 May19 Nov19 May20 Nov20 May21 Nov21 May22 Nov22 May23 Nov23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.82 - -3.23 - -2.67

Competitive Comparison of Ocado Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Ocado Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ocado Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ocado Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ocado Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ocado Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ocado Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.774+0.528 * 0.9745+0.404 * 0.9382+0.892 * 1.0074+0.115 * 0.8654
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2611+4.679 * -0.096277-0.327 * 0.9914
=-3.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Nov22) TTM:Last Year (Nov21) TTM:
Total Receivables was £253 Mil.
Revenue was £2,517 Mil.
Gross Profit was £964 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £1,773 Mil.
Total Assets was £4,813 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £2,272 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £349 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £1,590 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £607 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £1,836 Mil.
Net Income was £-456 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £8 Mil.
Total Receivables was £324 Mil.
Revenue was £2,498 Mil.
Gross Profit was £933 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £1,885 Mil.
Total Assets was £4,384 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £1,752 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £228 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £1,252 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £467 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £1,777 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(252.8 / 2516.8) / (324.2 / 2498.3)
=0.100445 / 0.129768
=0.774

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(932.8 / 2498.3) / (964.3 / 2516.8)
=0.373374 / 0.383145
=0.9745

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1773.1 + 2271.7) / 4813.2) / (1 - (1885.3 + 1752.4) / 4383.6)
=0.159644 / 0.170157
=0.9382

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2516.8 / 2498.3
=1.0074

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(228 / (228 + 1752.4)) / (348.6 / (348.6 + 2271.7))
=0.115128 / 0.133038
=0.8654

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1590 / 2516.8) / (1251.5 / 2498.3)
=0.631755 / 0.500941
=1.2611

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1836.3 + 606.8) / 4813.2) / ((1777.4 + 467) / 4383.6)
=0.507583 / 0.511999
=0.9914

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-455.5 - 0 - 7.9) / 4813.2
=-0.096277

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ocado Group has a M-score of -3.23 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ocado Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ocado Group (CHIX:OCDOL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Mosquito Way, Buildings One and Two Trident Place, Hatfield Business Park, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, GBR, AL10 9UL
Ocado, one of the largest pure online grocers in the world, operates in two divisions. Ocado Retail is the group's online grocery business in the United Kingdom (joint venture with Marks & Spencer); it offers an extensive product range of over 55,000 items via its Ocado.com website and holds more than 15% of the U.K. online grocery market and approximately 2% of the total U.K. grocery market. Ocado Solutions is built on the Ocado Smart Platform, a modular, automated online retail fulfilment and delivery solution that involves the provision of software, fulfilment infrastructure, and support services to corporate clients for a variety of one-time and ongoing costs. OSP has allowed the company to work with some of the world's largest grocers, including Ocado's retail operation.

Ocado Group (CHIX:OCDOL) Headlines

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