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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Casella Waste Systems's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Casella Waste Systems was -2.17. The lowest was -3.17. And the median was -2.82.
The historical data trend for Casella Waste Systems's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Casella Waste Systems Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | Dec24 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.72 | -2.80 | -2.83 | -2.17 | -2.67 |
Casella Waste Systems Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | Dec24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.17 | -2.19 | -2.49 | -2.60 | -2.67 |
For the Waste Management subindustry, Casella Waste Systems's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, Casella Waste Systems's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Casella Waste Systems's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Casella Waste Systems for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.8869 | + | 0.528 * 1.0053 | + | 0.404 * 1.0341 | + | 0.892 * 1.2315 | + | 0.115 * 0.8693 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.9944 | + | 4.679 * -0.072701 | - | 0.327 * 0.8487 | |||||||
= | -2.67 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec24) TTM: | Last Year (Dec23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $175 Mil. Revenue was 427.486 + 411.627 + 377.163 + 341.008 = $1,557 Mil. Gross Profit was 141.85 + 144.527 + 133.363 + 110.208 = $530 Mil. Total Current Assets was $613 Mil. Total Assets was $3,230 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,263 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $235 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $191 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $307 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,155 Mil. Net Income was 4.876 + 5.771 + 7.006 + -4.117 = $14 Mil. Non Operating Income was -7.459 + -13.515 + -7.359 + -4.658 = $-33 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 109.761 + 91.813 + 72.102 + 7.679 = $281 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $160 Mil. Revenue was 359.567 + 352.735 + 289.645 + 262.595 = $1,265 Mil. Gross Profit was 120.429 + 126.435 + 103.345 + 82.395 = $433 Mil. Total Current Assets was $426 Mil. Total Assets was $2,535 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,081 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $171 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $156 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $279 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,074 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (175.203 / 1557.284) | / | (160.413 / 1264.542) | |
= | 0.112505 | / | 0.126855 | |
= | 0.8869 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (432.604 / 1264.542) | / | (529.948 / 1557.284) | |
= | 0.342103 | / | 0.340303 | |
= | 1.0053 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (613.305 + 1262.865) / 3230.068) | / | (1 - (426.325 + 1081.397) / 2535.47) | |
= | 0.419155 | / | 0.405348 | |
= | 1.0341 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 1557.284 | / | 1264.542 | |
= | 1.2315 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (170.705 / (170.705 + 1081.397)) | / | (234.907 / (234.907 + 1262.865)) | |
= | 0.136335 | / | 0.156838 | |
= | 0.8693 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (190.854 / 1557.284) | / | (155.847 / 1264.542) | |
= | 0.122556 | / | 0.123244 | |
= | 0.9944 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((1155.081 + 307.317) / 3230.068) | / | ((1073.736 + 278.858) / 2535.47) | |
= | 0.452745 | / | 0.533469 | |
= | 0.8487 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (13.536 - -32.991 | - | 281.355) | / | 3230.068 | |
= | -0.072701 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Casella Waste Systems has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Casella Waste Systems's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Emily Nagle Green | director | CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS, 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Michael K Burke | director | C/O LANDAUER, INC., 2 SCIENCE ROAD, GLENWOOD IL 60425 |
Douglas R Casella | director, officer: VICE CHAIRMAN, BD OF DIRECTORS | CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LN, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
John W Casella | director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LN, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Sean Steves | officer: Sr VP & COO of SW Ops | C/O CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS, INC., 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Bradford John Helgeson | officer: Executive VP and CFO | 30 ESSEX PLACE, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920 |
Paul Ligon | officer: SR VP & CHIEF REVENUE OFFICER | C/O CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS, INC., 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
William P Hulligan | director | 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Edmond Coletta | officer: PRESIDENT & CFO | CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS, INC., 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Kevin Drohan | officer: VP & CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER | C/O CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS, INC., 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Shelley E. Sayward | officer: SENIOR VP & GENERAL COUNSEL | C/O CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS, INC., 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Michael Louis Battles | director | 45 WILLIAM STREET, WELLESLEY MA 02481 |
Gary Sova | director | CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS, INC., 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Joseph Doody | director | CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LANE PO BOX 866, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
Rose M. Kirk | director | C/O CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS, INC., 25 GREENS HILL LANE, RUTLAND VT 05701 |
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