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National Vision Holdings (National Vision Holdings) Beneish M-Score : -2.74 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is National Vision Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Vision Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EYE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.9   Med: -2.61   Max: -1.74
Current: -2.74

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Vision Holdings was -1.74. The lowest was -2.90. And the median was -2.61.


National Vision Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Vision Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Vision Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

National Vision Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -2.90 -2.61 -2.76 -2.19 -2.74

National Vision Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.19 -2.43 -2.49 -2.59 -2.74

Competitive Comparison of National Vision Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, National Vision Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Vision Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, National Vision Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Vision Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



National Vision Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Vision Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0253+0.528 * 1.0173+0.404 * 0.9878+0.892 * 1.0604+0.115 * 1.0719
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0219+4.679 * -0.07177-0.327 * 1.0209
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $87 Mil.
Revenue was 506.403 + 532.356 + 525.34 + 562.369 = $2,126 Mil.
Gross Profit was 259.41 + 280.33 + 277.501 + 308.317 = $1,126 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $397 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,173 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $769 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $101 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $992 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $398 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $828 Mil.
Net Income was -15.987 + -73.798 + 5.614 + 18.27 = $-66 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.898 + -80.834 + -0.893 + -0.387 = $-83 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 19.761 + 41.056 + 38.152 + 74.064 = $173 Mil.
Total Receivables was $80 Mil.
Revenue was 468.931 + 499.207 + 509.555 + 527.711 = $2,005 Mil.
Gross Profit was 246.748 + 266.407 + 274.988 + 291.674 = $1,080 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $474 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,291 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $743 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $106 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $915 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $344 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $921 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(86.854 / 2126.468) / (79.892 / 2005.404)
=0.040844 / 0.039838
=1.0253

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1079.817 / 2005.404) / (1125.558 / 2126.468)
=0.538454 / 0.529309
=1.0173

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (396.67 + 769.142) / 2172.511) / (1 - (473.836 + 742.6) / 2291.246)
=0.46338 / 0.469094
=0.9878

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2126.468 / 2005.404
=1.0604

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(105.968 / (105.968 + 742.6)) / (101.422 / (101.422 + 769.142))
=0.124879 / 0.116501
=1.0719

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(991.883 / 2126.468) / (915.355 / 2005.404)
=0.466446 / 0.456444
=1.0219

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((827.585 + 397.7) / 2172.511) / ((921.498 + 344.264) / 2291.246)
=0.563995 / 0.552434
=1.0209

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-65.901 - -83.012 - 173.033) / 2172.511
=-0.07177

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Vision Holdings has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


National Vision Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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National Vision Holdings (National Vision Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2435 Commerce Avenue, Building 2200, Duluth, GA, USA, 30096
National Vision Holdings Inc is an optical retailer in the U.S. Its product portfolio includes eyeglasses and sunglasses, contact lenses, accessories, and other products. The company has two operating segments; Owned and Host segment includes company-owned brands America's Best and Eyeglass World, In America's Best stores, vision care services are provided by optometrists or by independent professional corporations and Host operating consist of Military and Fred Meyer which provide eye exams by independent optometrists, and the Legacy segment manages the operations of, and supplies inventory and lab processing services to Legacy retail Vision Centers. It earns a majority of its revenue from the Owned and Host segment.
Executives
D Randolph Peeler director, 10 percent owner CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LANE PO BOX 866, RUTLAND VT 05701
Thomas V Taylor director 2233 LAKE PARK DRIVE, STE. 400, SMYRNA GA 30080
Ravi Acharya officer: SVP, Chief Technology Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Virginia A Hepner director 415 EAST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
L Reade Fahs director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Patrick R. Moore officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE, BLDG. 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Jared Brandman officer: SVP, GC and Secretary C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE BLDG. 2200, DULUTH GA 30096-4980
David M Tehle director 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Joseph Vandette officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Melissa Rasmussen officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE BLDG 2200, DULUTH GA 30095
Roger F. Francis officer: SVP, Chief Stores Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Jose Armario director MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 2915 JORIE BOULEVARD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Susan S Johnson director 303 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, ATLANTA GA 30308
Naomi Kelman director C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Joan Blackwood officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096

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