China Modern Dairy Holdings (FRA:07M) Beneish M-Score: -3.01 (As of Sep. 01, 2026)

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FRA:07M China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd FRA:07M
55 GF Score
Price €0.16
GF Value €0.10
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is China Modern Dairy Holdings Beneish M-Score?

China Modern Dairy Holdings FRA:07M +1.97% 55 Beneish M-Score is -3.01 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:07M with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.10 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,869 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, China Modern Dairy Holdings ranks better than 83.79% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.01 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Modern Dairy Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:07M' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -3.07   Max: -2.02
Current: -3.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Modern Dairy Holdings was -2.02. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -3.07.


China Modern Dairy Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Modern Dairy Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Modern Dairy Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

China Modern Dairy Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 -2.05 -3.24 -3.17 -3.01

China Modern Dairy Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.24 0.00 -3.17 0.00 -3.01

FRA:07M vs ADM, BG, TSN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Farm Products subindustry, China Modern Dairy Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Modern Dairy Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Modern Dairy Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Modern Dairy Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:07M
55GF Score
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd FRA:07M
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Modern Dairy Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Modern Dairy Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0659+0.528 * 0.9499+0.404 * 0.8926+0.892 * 0.8788+0.115 * 0.9786
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0596+4.679 * -0.099266-0.327 * 1.0923
=-3.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €207 Mil.
Revenue was €1,528 Mil.
Gross Profit was €419 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,404 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,435 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,194 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €65 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €148 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,461 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,726 Mil.
Net Income was €-137 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €303 Mil.
Total Receivables was €221 Mil.
Revenue was €1,739 Mil.
Gross Profit was €453 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,060 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,452 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,326 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €70 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €159 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,132 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,796 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(206.741 / 1527.858) / (220.698 / 1738.555)
=0.135314 / 0.126943
=1.0659

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(452.724 / 1738.555) / (418.858 / 1527.858)
=0.260402 / 0.274147
=0.9499

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1404.252 + 1193.542) / 4435.194) / (1 - (1059.667 + 1326.016) / 4451.938)
=0.414277 / 0.464125
=0.8926

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1527.858 / 1738.555
=0.8788

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(70.263 / (70.263 + 1326.016)) / (64.703 / (64.703 + 1193.542))
=0.050322 / 0.051423
=0.9786

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(147.956 / 1527.858) / (158.888 / 1738.555)
=0.096839 / 0.091391
=1.0596

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1725.798 + 1460.882) / 4435.194) / ((1796.372 + 1131.949) / 4451.938)
=0.718498 / 0.657763
=1.0923

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-136.848 - 0 - 303.414) / 4435.194
=-0.099266

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Modern Dairy Holdings has a M-score of -3.10 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.01 mean?
China Modern Dairy Holdings (FRA:07M) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.01 as of Sep. 01, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Modern Dairy Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Modern Dairy Holdings ranks #303 out of 1869 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 16.2%.
Is China Modern Dairy Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
China Modern Dairy Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. Based on the distribution chart, China Modern Dairy Holdings ranks #303 out of 1869 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, China Modern Dairy Holdings has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Modern Dairy Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to ADM and BG?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, China Modern Dairy Holdings ranks #303 out of 1869 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places China Modern Dairy Holdings in the top 16% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Modern Dairy Holdings and its competitors. China Modern Dairy Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Modern Dairy Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Modern Dairy Holdings (FRA:07M) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.10, compared to a current price of €0.16 — trading 55% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. China Modern Dairy Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Modern Dairy Holdings (FRA:07M), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.01 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Modern Dairy Holdings (FRA:07M) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Modern Dairy Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.16 is trading 55% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.10. GuruFocus considers China Modern Dairy Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:07M:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.01
  • GF Value™: €0.10 vs. price of €0.16 (55% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:07M stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Modern Dairy Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 01117:Hong Kong
Address Economic and Technological Development Zone, Danyang Town, Bowang District, Anhui Province, Maanshan City, CHN
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd operates in the Chinese food industry. The business of the company includes the production of raw milk, and its revenue mainly depends on the sale of raw milk. The company produces and sells raw milk to customers for processing into dairy products, Liquid Milk, ice cream, formula milk and other dairy products business, which relates to its sale of liquid milk products. It also engaged in new business areas such as feed business, intelligent e-commerce platforms, and forage grass planting. The segments of the company are the Raw milk business and the integrated dairy farming solutions business. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Raw milk business that engages in raising and breeding dairy cows to produce and sell raw milk.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:07M

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.16
Price
€0.10
GF Value