China Qinfa Group (FRA:16Q) Beneish M-Score: -2.63 (As of Aug. 27, 2026)

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FRA:16Q China Qinfa Group Ltd FRA:16Q
36 GF Score
Price €0.23
GF Value €0.06
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score?

China Qinfa Group FRA:16Q +0.87% 36 Beneish M-Score is -2.63 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:16Q with a GF Score™ of 36/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.06. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 118 Other Energy Sources companies, China Qinfa Group ranks worse than 50.85% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:16Q' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.75   Med: -2.57   Max: 7.4
Current: -2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Qinfa Group was 7.40. The lowest was -8.75. And the median was -2.57.


China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score Chart

China Qinfa Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 -2.50 -3.38 7.40 -2.63

China Qinfa Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.38 0.00 7.40 0.00 -2.63

China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score vs Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:16Q
36GF Score
China Qinfa Group Ltd FRA:16Q
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Qinfa Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Qinfa Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8566+0.528 * 1.1602+0.404 * 0+0.892 * 1.5041+0.115 * 1.4464
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7934+4.679 * -0.091948-0.327 * 0.8853
=-2.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €59.1 Mil.
Revenue was €223.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was €57.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €257.4 Mil.
Total Assets was €806.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €549.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €58.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €26.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €223.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €159.5 Mil.
Net Income was €-11.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €62.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was €45.8 Mil.
Revenue was €148.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was €44.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €272.3 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,131.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €770.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €125.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €22.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €547.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €59.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(59.058 / 222.985) / (45.84 / 148.25)
=0.264852 / 0.309207
=0.8566

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(44.275 / 148.25) / (57.397 / 222.985)
=0.298651 / 0.257403
=1.1602

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (257.42 + 549.467) / 806.887) / (1 - (272.252 + 770.077) / 1131.898)
=0 / 0.079132
=0

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=222.985 / 148.25
=1.5041

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(125.34 / (125.34 + 770.077)) / (58.872 / (58.872 + 549.467))
=0.139979 / 0.096775
=1.4464

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(26.791 / 222.985) / (22.451 / 148.25)
=0.120147 / 0.15144
=0.7934

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((159.487 + 223.309) / 806.887) / ((59.489 + 547.043) / 1131.898)
=0.474411 / 0.535854
=0.8853

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-11.38 - 0 - 62.812) / 806.887
=-0.091948

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Qinfa Group has a M-score of -2.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.63 mean?
China Qinfa Group (FRA:16Q) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.63 as of Aug. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Qinfa Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Qinfa Group ranks #60 out of 118 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, placing it in the top 50.8%.
Is China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
China Qinfa Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. Based on the distribution chart, China Qinfa Group ranks #60 out of 118 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, China Qinfa Group has a GF Score™ of 36/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Qinfa Group's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Other Energy Sources industry distribution chart, China Qinfa Group ranks #60 out of 118 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places China Qinfa Group in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Other Energy Sources company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Other Energy Sources industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Qinfa Group and its competitors. China Qinfa Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Qinfa Group stock overvalued right now?
China Qinfa Group (FRA:16Q) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.63. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.06, compared to a current price of €0.23 — trading 286.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. China Qinfa Group's overall GF Score™ is 36/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Qinfa Group (FRA:16Q), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.63 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Qinfa Group (FRA:16Q) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Qinfa Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.23 is trading 286.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.06.

Key valuation signals for FRA:16Q:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.63
  • GF Value™: €0.06 vs. price of €0.23 (286.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 36/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:16Q stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Qinfa Group Business Description

Other Exchanges 00866:Hong Kong
Address No. 1 Pazhou Avenue East, Unit Nos. 2201 to 2208, Level 22, South Tower, Poly International Plaza, Haizhu District, Guangzhou, CHN
China Qinfa Group Ltd is a Hong Kong-based firm engaged in coal operation business involving coal mining, purchases and sales, filtering, storage, and the blending of coal in the PRC. It has a business presence in the PRC and Indonesia, of which the majority of the revenue is generated within the PRC.
36GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:16Q

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.23
Price
€0.06
GF Value