Bellway (FRA:41B) Beneish M-Score: -2.44 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


FRA:41B Bellway PLC FRA:41B
75 GF Score
Price €21.80
GF Value €31.65
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Bellway Beneish M-Score?

Bellway FRA:41B 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:41B with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of €31.65. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 89 Homebuilding & Construction companies, Bellway ranks better than 68.54% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bellway's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:41B' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.69   Med: -2.16   Max: -1.34
Current: -2.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Bellway was -1.34. The lowest was -2.69. And the median was -2.16.


Bellway Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Bellway's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Bellway Beneish M-Score Chart

Bellway Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.25 -1.82 -2.69 -2.47 -2.44

Bellway Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.47 0.00 -2.44 0.00

FRA:41B vs DHI, PHM, LEN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Bellway's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bellway Beneish M-Score vs Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Bellway's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bellway's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:41B
75GF Score
Bellway PLC FRA:41B
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Bellway Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Bellway for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8674+0.528 * 1.0069+0.404 * 0.9509+0.892 * 1.1395+0.115 * 1.3397
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9727+4.679 * 0.003523-0.327 * 1.0879
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul25) TTM:Last Year (Jul24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €66 Mil.
Revenue was €3,218 Mil.
Gross Profit was €485 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,888 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,008 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €53 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €194 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,234 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €170 Mil.
Net Income was €182 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €161 Mil.
Total Receivables was €66 Mil.
Revenue was €2,824 Mil.
Gross Profit was €429 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,828 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,933 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €36 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €175 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,108 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €167 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(65.68 / 3218.434) / (66.45 / 2824.381)
=0.020407 / 0.023527
=0.8674

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(428.605 / 2824.381) / (485.055 / 3218.434)
=0.151752 / 0.150711
=1.0069

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5888.319 + 52.623) / 6007.674) / (1 - (5827.586 + 35.836) / 5932.72)
=0.011108 / 0.011681
=0.9509

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3218.434 / 2824.381
=1.1395

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6.052 / (6.052 + 35.836)) / (6.361 / (6.361 + 52.623))
=0.144481 / 0.107843
=1.3397

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(193.606 / 3218.434) / (174.67 / 2824.381)
=0.060155 / 0.061844
=0.9727

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((170.243 + 1234.381) / 6007.674) / ((167.313 + 1107.705) / 5932.72)
=0.233805 / 0.214913
=1.0879

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(182.156 - 0 - 160.991) / 6007.674
=0.003523

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Bellway has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 mean?
Bellway (FRA:41B) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Bellway and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Bellway ranks #28 out of 89 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, placing it in the top 31.5%.
Is Bellway's Beneish M-Score too high?
Bellway's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Based on the distribution chart, Bellway ranks #28 out of 89 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Bellway has a GF Score™ of 75/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bellway's Beneish M-Score compare to DHI and PHM?
According to the Homebuilding & Construction industry distribution chart, Bellway ranks #28 out of 89 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Bellway in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Homebuilding & Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Homebuilding & Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Bellway and its competitors. Bellway's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bellway stock overvalued right now?
Bellway (FRA:41B) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.44. The stock's GF Value™ is €31.65, compared to a current price of €21.80 — trading 31.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Bellway's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bellway (FRA:41B), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bellway (FRA:41B) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bellway stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €21.80 is trading 31.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of €31.65.

Key valuation signals for FRA:41B:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.44
  • GF Value™: €31.65 vs. price of €21.80 (31.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:41B stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bellway Business Description

Other Exchanges BWYl:UKBWY:UK41B:Germany
Address Woolsington House, Woolsington, Newcastle Upon Tyne, GBR, NE13 8BF
Bellway is one of the UK's largest residential property developers. It typifies the business model employed by UK homebuilders, operating in the land development, construction, and sales and marketing segments of the residential property development value chain.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:41B

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€21.80
Price
€31.65
GF Value