Acadian Timber (FRA:779) Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:779 Acadian Timber Corp FRA:779
70 GF Score
Price €10.70
GF Value €9.41
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Acadian Timber Beneish M-Score?

Acadian Timber FRA:779 70 Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:779 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of €9.41 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Acadian Timber ranks better than 77.66% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Acadian Timber's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:779' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -2.51   Max: -1.48
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Acadian Timber was -1.48. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.51.


Acadian Timber Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Acadian Timber's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Acadian Timber Beneish M-Score Chart

Acadian Timber Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.62 -2.25 -2.88 -2.46

Acadian Timber Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -2.03 -2.62 -2.46 -2.82

FRA:779 vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Acadian Timber's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Acadian Timber Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Acadian Timber's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Acadian Timber's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:779
70GF Score
Acadian Timber Corp FRA:779
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Acadian Timber Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Acadian Timber for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1169+0.528 * 1.01+0.404 * 1.0657+0.892 * 0.7145+0.115 * 0.2543
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1588+4.679 * -0.027855-0.327 * 0.9376
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €4.65 Mil.
Revenue was 14.76 + 13.605 + 14.176 + 10.865 = €53.41 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4.74 + 4.316 + 3.934 + 3.611 = €16.60 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8.41 Mil.
Total Assets was €399.46 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €55.93 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1.33 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €7.13 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9.84 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €70.13 Mil.
Net Income was 2.188 + 24.589 + 1.803 + 1.692 = €30.27 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1.044 + 32.516 + 0.734 + 1.867 = €36.16 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0.176 + 2.861 + 1.65 + 0.551 = €5.24 Mil.
Total Receivables was €5.83 Mil.
Revenue was 16.001 + 13.558 + 17.266 + 27.922 = €74.75 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4.815 + 3.834 + 5.09 + 9.727 = €23.47 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €10.87 Mil.
Total Assets was €391.74 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €72.47 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.43 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €8.61 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9.33 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €74.31 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4.65 / 53.406) / (5.827 / 74.747)
=0.087069 / 0.077956
=1.1169

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(23.466 / 74.747) / (16.601 / 53.406)
=0.313939 / 0.310845
=1.01

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8.406 + 55.926) / 399.457) / (1 - (10.869 + 72.472) / 391.74)
=0.838951 / 0.787254
=1.0657

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=53.406 / 74.747
=0.7145

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0.43 / (0.43 + 72.472)) / (1.328 / (1.328 + 55.926))
=0.005898 / 0.023195
=0.2543

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7.127 / 53.406) / (8.608 / 74.747)
=0.133449 / 0.115162
=1.1588

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((70.126 + 9.842) / 399.457) / ((74.313 + 9.331) / 391.74)
=0.200192 / 0.213519
=0.9376

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(30.272 - 36.161 - 5.238) / 399.457
=-0.027855

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Acadian Timber has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 mean?
Acadian Timber (FRA:779) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Acadian Timber and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Acadian Timber ranks #61 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 22.3%.
Is Acadian Timber's Beneish M-Score too high?
Acadian Timber's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Based on the distribution chart, Acadian Timber ranks #61 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Acadian Timber has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Acadian Timber's Beneish M-Score compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Acadian Timber ranks #61 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Acadian Timber in the top 22% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Acadian Timber and its competitors. Acadian Timber's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Acadian Timber stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Acadian Timber (FRA:779) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €9.41, compared to a current price of €10.70 — trading 13.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Acadian Timber's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Acadian Timber (FRA:779), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Acadian Timber (FRA:779) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Acadian Timber stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €10.70 is trading 13.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €9.41. GuruFocus considers Acadian Timber to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:779:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.82
  • GF Value™: €9.41 vs. price of €10.70 (13.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:779 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Acadian Timber Business Description

Address 365 Canada Road, Edmundston, NB, CAN, E3V 1W2
Acadian Timber Corp is a Canada-based company engaged in forest management and the production of timber products, including softwood and hardwood sawlogs, pulpwood, and biomass by-products, sold to regional customers. The Company operates through three segments: New Brunswick Timberlands, Maine Timberlands, and Environmental Solutions. The Environmental Solutions segment includes business activities related to the development and sale of voluntary carbon credits.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:779

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€10.70
Price
€9.41
GF Value