Hillman Solutions (FRA:8020) Beneish M-Score: -2.57 (As of Jul. 25, 2026)

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FRA:8020 Hillman Solutions Corp FRA:8020
73 GF Score
Price €6.67
GF Value €8.21
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hillman Solutions Beneish M-Score?

Hillman Solutions FRA:8020 -1.26% 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:8020 with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of €8.21. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,911 Industrial Products companies, Hillman Solutions ranks better than 60.49% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hillman Solutions's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:8020' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -711.41   Med: -2.84   Max: -2.54
Current: -2.57

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hillman Solutions was -2.54. The lowest was -711.41. And the median was -2.84.


Hillman Solutions Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hillman Solutions's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hillman Solutions Beneish M-Score Chart

Hillman Solutions Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 -2.94 -2.77 -2.82 -2.58

Hillman Solutions Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.69 -2.54 -2.58 -2.57

FRA:8020 vs KMT, QEPC, EML: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Hillman Solutions's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hillman Solutions Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Hillman Solutions's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hillman Solutions's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:8020
73GF Score
Hillman Solutions Corp FRA:8020
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hillman Solutions Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hillman Solutions for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9881+0.528 * 0.9899+0.404 * 0.9552+0.892 * 0.9783+0.115 * 0.937
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9832+4.679 * -0.021209-0.327 * 0.9749
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €120 Mil.
Revenue was 320.113 + 311.829 + 362.048 + 349.23 = €1,343 Mil.
Gross Profit was 145.819 + 148.357 + 187.066 + 168.601 = €650 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €579 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,042 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €261 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €123 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €436 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €196 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €673 Mil.
Net Income was -4.093 + 1.365 + 19.76 + 13.726 = €31 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -16.896 + 26.385 + 22.354 + 42.229 = €74 Mil.
Total Receivables was €124 Mil.
Revenue was 332.392 + 333.832 + 354.36 + 352.492 = €1,373 Mil.
Gross Profit was 155.958 + 159.177 + 170.826 + 171.642 = €658 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €540 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,156 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €287 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €124 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €453 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €220 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €722 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(120.033 / 1343.22) / (124.176 / 1373.076)
=0.089362 / 0.090436
=0.9881

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(657.603 / 1373.076) / (649.843 / 1343.22)
=0.478927 / 0.483795
=0.9899

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (579.452 + 261.054) / 2042.247) / (1 - (540.496 + 287.374) / 2156.098)
=0.588441 / 0.616033
=0.9552

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1343.22 / 1373.076
=0.9783

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(123.598 / (123.598 + 287.374)) / (123.402 / (123.402 + 261.054))
=0.300746 / 0.320978
=0.937

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(436.123 / 1343.22) / (453.42 / 1373.076)
=0.324685 / 0.330222
=0.9832

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((672.96 + 196.427) / 2042.247) / ((721.895 + 219.564) / 2156.098)
=0.425701 / 0.436649
=0.9749

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(30.758 - 0 - 74.072) / 2042.247
=-0.021209

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hillman Solutions has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 mean?
Hillman Solutions (FRA:8020) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 as of Jul. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hillman Solutions and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Hillman Solutions ranks #1150 out of 2911 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 39.5%.
Is Hillman Solutions' Beneish M-Score too high?
Hillman Solutions' current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Based on the distribution chart, Hillman Solutions ranks #1150 out of 2911 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Hillman Solutions has a GF Score™ of 73/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hillman Solutions' Beneish M-Score compare to KMT and QEPC?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Hillman Solutions ranks #1150 out of 2911 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Hillman Solutions in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hillman Solutions and its competitors. Hillman Solutions's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hillman Solutions stock overvalued right now?
Hillman Solutions (FRA:8020) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.57. The stock's GF Value™ is €8.21, compared to a current price of €6.67 — trading 18.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Hillman Solutions' overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hillman Solutions (FRA:8020), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hillman Solutions (FRA:8020) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hillman Solutions stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €6.67 is trading 18.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €8.21.

Key valuation signals for FRA:8020:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.57
  • GF Value™: €8.21 vs. price of €6.67 (18.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:8020 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hillman Solutions Business Description

Other Exchanges HLMN:USA
Address 1280 Kemper Meadow Drive, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45240
Hillman Solutions Corp is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, and other retail outlets. Its product lines include thousands of small parts such as fasteners and related hardware items; threaded rod and metal shapes; keys and accessories; builder's hardware; personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eye-wear; and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs. The segments of the company are Hardware and Protective Solutions, which is the key revenue-generating segment; Robotics and Digital Solutions; and Canada. It has a business presence in the U.S, Canada and Mexico.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:8020

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€6.67
Price
€8.21
GF Value