Azul (FRA:8AZ3) Beneish M-Score: -1.99 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


FRA:8AZ3 Azul SA FRA:8AZ3
14 GF Score
Price €7.81
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Azul Beneish M-Score?

Azul FRA:8AZ3 +2.23% 14 Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:8AZ3 with a GF Score™ of 14/100. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 960 Transportation companies, Azul ranks worse than 80% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Azul's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:8AZ3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.98   Med: -3.41   Max: -1.99
Current: -1.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Azul was -1.99. The lowest was -5.98. And the median was -3.41.


Azul Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Azul's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Azul Beneish M-Score Chart

Azul Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.71 -3.54 -4.52 -2.83 -2.68

Azul Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.13 -2.58 -2.31 -2.68 -1.99

FRA:8AZ3 vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Azul's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Azul Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Azul's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Azul's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:8AZ3
14GF Score
Azul SA FRA:8AZ3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Azul Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Azul for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4075+0.528 * 1.1047+0.404 * 0.807+0.892 * 1.0521+0.115 * 1.13
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5579+4.679 * 0.011982-0.327 * 1.0712
=-1.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €459 Mil.
Revenue was 904.99 + 871.357 + 911.423 + 772.652 = €3,460 Mil.
Gross Profit was 216.852 + 418.768 + 256.655 + 186.96 = €1,079 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €987 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,700 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,019 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €346 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €101 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,614 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,965 Mil.
Net Income was 995.8 + -255.197 + -217.085 + 202.203 = €726 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 579.492 + -149.926 + 124.996 + 273.226 = €828 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 35.361 + -171.102 + -10.662 = €-146 Mil.
Total Receivables was €310 Mil.
Revenue was 866.578 + 868.039 + 834.585 + 719.729 = €3,289 Mil.
Gross Profit was 363.68 + 364.165 + 258.683 + 146.592 = €1,133 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €886 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,113 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,271 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €450 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €171 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,341 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €4,523 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(458.815 / 3460.422) / (309.827 / 3288.931)
=0.132589 / 0.094203
=1.4075

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1133.12 / 3288.931) / (1079.235 / 3460.422)
=0.344525 / 0.31188
=1.1047

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (986.713 + 2018.864) / 3700.126) / (1 - (885.66 + 2270.529) / 4112.862)
=0.18771 / 0.232605
=0.807

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3460.422 / 3288.931
=1.0521

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(449.719 / (449.719 + 2270.529)) / (346.004 / (346.004 + 2018.864))
=0.165323 / 0.14631
=1.13

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(100.597 / 3460.422) / (171.377 / 3288.931)
=0.029071 / 0.052107
=0.5579

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2965.102 + 4613.536) / 3700.126) / ((4523.28 + 3340.746) / 4112.862)
=2.048211 / 1.912057
=1.0712

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(725.721 - 827.788 - -146.403) / 3700.126
=0.011982

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Azul has a M-score of -1.96 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 mean?
Azul (FRA:8AZ3) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Azul and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Azul ranks #768 out of 960 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 80%.
Is Azul's Beneish M-Score too high?
Azul's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Based on the distribution chart, Azul ranks #768 out of 960 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Azul has a GF Score™ of 14/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Azul's Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Azul ranks #768 out of 960 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Azul in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Azul and its competitors. Azul's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Azul stock overvalued right now?
Azul (FRA:8AZ3) has a current Beneish M-Score of -1.99. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Azul's overall GF Score™ is 14/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Azul (FRA:8AZ3), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Azul Business Description

Other Exchanges AZUL:USAAZUL3:Brazil
Address Avenida Marcos Penteado de Ulhoa Rodrigues, 939, Edificio Jatoba, 8th Floor, Castelo Branco Office Park, Tambore, Barueri, SP, BRA, 06460-040
Azul SA is involved in the operation of regular and non-regular airline passenger services, cargo or mail, passenger charter, provision of maintenance and hangarage services for aircraft, engines, parts and pieces, aircraft acquisition and lease, development of frequent-flyer programs, development of related activities, and equity holding in other companies. The company generates the majority of its revenue from Air transport and a small portion of its revenue from Ancillary revenues.
14GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:8AZ3

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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