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MSC Industrial Direct Co (FRA:98M) Beneish M-Score : -3.30 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is MSC Industrial Direct Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for MSC Industrial Direct Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:98M' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.3   Med: -2.51   Max: -2.14
Current: -3.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of MSC Industrial Direct Co was -2.14. The lowest was -3.30. And the median was -2.51.


MSC Industrial Direct Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for MSC Industrial Direct Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MSC Industrial Direct Co Beneish M-Score Chart

MSC Industrial Direct Co Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.91 -2.37 -2.14 -3.30

MSC Industrial Direct Co Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -3.30 - -

Competitive Comparison of MSC Industrial Direct Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MSC Industrial Direct Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MSC Industrial Direct Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



MSC Industrial Direct Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of MSC Industrial Direct Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5831+0.528 * 1.03+0.404 * 1.0814+0.892 * 1.009+0.115 * 1.0231
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.134562-0.327 * 0.7942
=-3.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug23) TTM:Last Year (Aug22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €399 Mil.
Revenue was €3,677 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,507 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,208 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,333 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €354 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €69 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €596 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €248 Mil.
Net Income was €315 Mil.
Gross Profit was €-13 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €642 Mil.
Total Receivables was €679 Mil.
Revenue was €3,644 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,538 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,524 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,694 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €347 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €69 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €717 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €510 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(399.281 / 3676.512) / (678.669 / 3643.898)
=0.108603 / 0.186248
=0.5831

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1537.991 / 3643.898) / (1506.599 / 3676.512)
=0.422073 / 0.40979
=1.03

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1208.159 + 353.567) / 2332.971) / (1 - (1523.556 + 346.877) / 2693.932)
=0.330585 / 0.305687
=1.0814

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3676.512 / 3643.898
=1.009

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(69.461 / (69.461 + 346.877)) / (68.893 / (68.893 + 353.567))
=0.166838 / 0.163076
=1.0231

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 3676.512) / (0 / 3643.898)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((247.879 + 595.533) / 2332.971) / ((509.813 + 716.507) / 2693.932)
=0.361518 / 0.455216
=0.7942

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(314.745 - -12.843 - 641.517) / 2332.971
=-0.134562

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

MSC Industrial Direct Co has a M-score of -3.37 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


MSC Industrial Direct Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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MSC Industrial Direct Co (FRA:98M) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
515 Broadhollow Road, Suite 1000, Melville, NY, USA, 11747
MSC Industrial Direct is one of the largest industrial distributors with a focus on metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations products and services. The company offers over 2 million products through its distribution network, which has 11 fulfillment centers. Although MSC has a presence in Canada, Mexico, and the United Kingdom, it primarily operates in the United States. In fiscal 2023, 95% of the firm's $4.0 billion of sales was generated in the U.S.

MSC Industrial Direct Co (FRA:98M) Headlines

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