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MSC Industrial Direct Co (FRA:98M) Altman Z-Score : 5.40 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is MSC Industrial Direct Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 5.24 is strong.

MSC Industrial Direct Co has a Altman Z-Score of 5.40, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for MSC Industrial Direct Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:98M' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.55   Med: 5.62   Max: 6.42
Current: 5.24

During the past 13 years, MSC Industrial Direct Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 6.42. The lowest was 4.55. And the median was 5.62.


MSC Industrial Direct Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for MSC Industrial Direct Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MSC Industrial Direct Co Altman Z-Score Chart

MSC Industrial Direct Co Annual Data
Trend Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.75 4.55 4.57 6.16 5.19

MSC Industrial Direct Co Quarterly Data
Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.16 5.80 5.83 5.44 5.19

Competitive Comparison of MSC Industrial Direct Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MSC Industrial Direct Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MSC Industrial Direct Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



MSC Industrial Direct Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

MSC Industrial Direct Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2366+1.4*0.1855+3.3*0.152+0.6*4.6274+1.0*1.5753
=5.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2024:
Total Assets was €2,233 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,078 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €549 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €414 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 69.059 + 88.186 + 74.118 + 84.378 = €316 Mil.
Interest Expense was -6 + -6.368 + -6.444 + -4.916 = €-24 Mil.
Revenue was 863.722 + 905.899 + 867.068 + 881.467 = €3,518 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €4,453 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €962 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1077.597 - 549.122)/2233.318
=0.2366

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=414.363/2233.318
=0.1855

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(315.741 - -23.728)/2233.318
=0.152

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4453.204/962.355
=4.6274

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3518.156/2233.318
=1.5753

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

MSC Industrial Direct Co has a Altman Z-Score of 5.40 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


MSC Industrial Direct Co  (FRA:98M) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


MSC Industrial Direct Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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MSC Industrial Direct Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
515 Broadhollow Road, Suite 1000, Melville, NY, USA, 11747
MSC Industrial Direct is one of the largest industrial distributors with a focus on metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations products and services. The company offers over 2 million products through its distribution network, which has 11 fulfillment centers. Although MSC has a presence in Canada, Mexico, and the United Kingdom, it primarily operates in the United States. In fiscal 2023, 95% of the firm's $4.0 billion of sales was generated in the US.

MSC Industrial Direct Co Headlines

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