Aristocrat Leisure (FRA:AC8) Beneish M-Score: -2.49 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


FRA:AC8 Aristocrat Leisure Ltd FRA:AC8
93 GF Score
Price €35.40
GF Value €31.95
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Aristocrat Leisure Beneish M-Score?

Aristocrat Leisure FRA:AC8 +1.72% 93 Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:AC8 with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of €31.95. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, Aristocrat Leisure ranks worse than 62.14% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.49 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aristocrat Leisure's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:AC8' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.93   Med: -2.47   Max: -2.29
Current: -2.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aristocrat Leisure was -2.29. The lowest was -2.93. And the median was -2.47.


Aristocrat Leisure Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aristocrat Leisure's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aristocrat Leisure Beneish M-Score Chart

Aristocrat Leisure Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -2.38 -2.46 -2.45 -2.49

Aristocrat Leisure Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.45 0.00 -2.49 0.00

FRA:AC8 vs FLUT, DKNG, LNWO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Gambling subindustry, Aristocrat Leisure's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aristocrat Leisure Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Aristocrat Leisure's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aristocrat Leisure's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:AC8
93GF Score
Aristocrat Leisure Ltd FRA:AC8
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aristocrat Leisure Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aristocrat Leisure for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2317+0.528 * 0.9616+0.404 * 0.9279+0.892 * 0.8785+0.115 * 0.9391
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0353+4.679 * -0.028578-0.327 * 0.9494
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €719 Mil.
Revenue was €3,539 Mil.
Gross Profit was €2,157 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,664 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,841 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €439 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €379 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €552 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,011 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,052 Mil.
Net Income was €922 Mil.
Gross Profit was €2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €1,087 Mil.
Total Receivables was €665 Mil.
Revenue was €4,028 Mil.
Gross Profit was €2,361 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,480 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,285 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €471 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €363 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €606 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €963 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,375 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(719.423 / 3538.947) / (664.861 / 4028.33)
=0.203287 / 0.165046
=1.2317

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2360.657 / 4028.33) / (2156.751 / 3538.947)
=0.586014 / 0.609433
=0.9616

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1664.491 + 438.814) / 5840.64) / (1 - (1480.031 + 470.692) / 6285.283)
=0.639884 / 0.689636
=0.9279

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3538.947 / 4028.33
=0.8785

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(362.718 / (362.718 + 470.692)) / (379.016 / (379.016 + 438.814))
=0.435222 / 0.463441
=0.9391

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(551.608 / 3538.947) / (606.482 / 4028.33)
=0.155868 / 0.150554
=1.0353

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1051.568 + 1010.879) / 5840.64) / ((1374.986 + 962.734) / 6285.283)
=0.35312 / 0.371936
=0.9494

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(921.857 - 2.023 - 1086.75) / 5840.64
=-0.028578

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aristocrat Leisure has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 mean?
Aristocrat Leisure (FRA:AC8) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aristocrat Leisure and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aristocrat Leisure ranks #512 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 62.1%.
Is Aristocrat Leisure's Beneish M-Score too high?
Aristocrat Leisure's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Based on the distribution chart, Aristocrat Leisure ranks #512 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Aristocrat Leisure has a GF Score™ of 93/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aristocrat Leisure's Beneish M-Score compare to FLUT and DKNG?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Aristocrat Leisure ranks #512 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Aristocrat Leisure in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aristocrat Leisure and its competitors. Aristocrat Leisure's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aristocrat Leisure stock overvalued right now?
Aristocrat Leisure (FRA:AC8) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.49. The stock's GF Value™ is €31.95, compared to a current price of €35.40 — trading 10.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Aristocrat Leisure's overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aristocrat Leisure (FRA:AC8), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aristocrat Leisure (FRA:AC8) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aristocrat Leisure stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €35.40 is trading 10.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €31.95.

Key valuation signals for FRA:AC8:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.49
  • GF Value™: €31.95 vs. price of €35.40 (10.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:AC8 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aristocrat Leisure Business Description

Other Exchanges ARLUF:USAALL:Australia
Address 85 Epping Road, Building A, Pinnacle Office Park, North Ryde, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2113
Aristocrat Leisure is an electronic gaming machine manufacturer that sells machines to pubs, clubs, and casinos. The firm is licensed in all Australian states and territories, North American jurisdictions, and essentially every major country. Aristocrat is one of the top three largest players in the space along with International Game Technology and Light & Wonder. The company also develops and distributes mobile games, principally in the social casino niche. The more nascent iGaming business sits between these two businesses, providing digital content and capabilities to real-money gaming providers.
93GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:AC8

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€35.40
Price
€31.95
GF Value