AAR (FRA:ARZ) Beneish M-Score: -2.15 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:ARZ AAR Corp FRA:ARZ
83 GF Score
Price €116.10
GF Value €74.36
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AAR Beneish M-Score?

AAR FRA:ARZ -0.77% 83 Beneish M-Score is -2.15 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:ARZ with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of €74.36 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 326 Aerospace & Defense companies, AAR ranks worse than 65.64% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.15 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AAR's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:ARZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.33   Max: -1.13
Current: -2.15

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AAR was -1.13. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.33.


AAR Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AAR's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AAR Beneish M-Score Chart

AAR Annual Data
Trend May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.31 -2.15 -2.28 -2.27

AAR Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.16 -2.27 -2.27 -2.01 -2.15

FRA:ARZ vs YSS, BETA, RDW: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, AAR's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAR Beneish M-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, AAR's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAR's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:ARZ
83GF Score
AAR Corp FRA:ARZ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AAR Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AAR for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.995+0.528 * 0.9905+0.404 * 0.9529+0.892 * 1.0809+0.115 * 1.2165
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.767+4.679 * 0.010385-0.327 * 0.8567
=-2.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb26) TTM:Last Year (Feb25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €481 Mil.
Revenue was 714.955 + 687.934 + 635.316 + 669.241 = €2,707 Mil.
Gross Profit was 130.876 + 135.718 + 114.848 + 133.227 = €515 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,492 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,819 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €301 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €56 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €283 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €552 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €829 Mil.
Net Income was 57.528 + 29.929 + 29.55 + 30.158 = €147 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 38.747 + -0.346 + 3.092 + -5.588 = €36 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 63.196 + 11.764 + -38.569 + 45.592 = €82 Mil.
Total Receivables was €447 Mil.
Revenue was 651.072 + 646.306 + 600.162 + 607.262 = €2,505 Mil.
Gross Profit was 126.432 + 121.141 + 106.3 + 117.752 = €472 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,473 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,745 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €223 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €52 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €341 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €523 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,046 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(480.951 / 2707.446) / (447.168 / 2504.802)
=0.17764 / 0.178524
=0.995

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(471.625 / 2504.802) / (514.669 / 2707.446)
=0.188288 / 0.190094
=0.9905

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1492.09 + 301.176) / 2819.295) / (1 - (1473.408 + 223.104) / 2744.736)
=0.363931 / 0.381903
=0.9529

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2707.446 / 2504.802
=1.0809

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(52.47 / (52.47 + 223.104)) / (55.886 / (55.886 + 301.176))
=0.190403 / 0.156516
=1.2165

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(282.511 / 2707.446) / (340.759 / 2504.802)
=0.104346 / 0.136042
=0.767

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((828.826 + 552.438) / 2819.295) / ((1046.304 + 523.392) / 2744.736)
=0.489932 / 0.571893
=0.8567

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(147.165 - 35.905 - 81.983) / 2819.295
=0.010385

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AAR has a M-score of -2.28 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.15 mean?
AAR (FRA:ARZ) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.15 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AAR and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AAR ranks #214 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 65.6%.
Is AAR's Beneish M-Score too high?
AAR's current Beneish M-Score is -2.15. Based on the distribution chart, AAR ranks #214 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, AAR has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AAR's Beneish M-Score compare to YSS and BETA?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, AAR ranks #214 out of 326 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places AAR in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AAR and its competitors. AAR's current Beneish M-Score is -2.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AAR stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AAR (FRA:ARZ) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €74.36, compared to a current price of €116.10 — trading 56.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.15. AAR's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AAR (FRA:ARZ), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.15 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AAR (FRA:ARZ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AAR stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €116.10 is trading 56.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of €74.36. GuruFocus considers AAR to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:ARZ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.15
  • GF Value™: €74.36 vs. price of €116.10 (56.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:ARZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AAR Business Description

Other Exchanges AIR:USA
Address 1100 N. Wood Dale Road, One AAR Place, Wood Dale, IL, USA, 60191
AAR Corp is engaged in providing products and services to aviation, government and defense market. It operates in segments namely: The parts supply segment majorly consists of sales and leasing of USM and aftermarket distribution of new, OEM-supplied replacement parts; Repair & Engineering segment provides airframe maintenance, component repair, and landing gear overhaul services; Integrated Solutions segment consists of its fleet management and operations of customer-owned aircraft, customized performance-based supply chain logistics programs in support of the U.S. Department of Defense, flight hour component inventory; and The Expeditionary Services segment consists of products and services supporting the movement of equipment and personnel by the U.S. and foreign governments and NGOs.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:ARZ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€116.10
Price
€74.36
GF Value