Brinker International (FRA:BKJ) Beneish M-Score: -2.49 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


FRA:BKJ Brinker International Inc FRA:BKJ
78 GF Score
Price €149.50
GF Value €106.27
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Brinker International Beneish M-Score?

Brinker International FRA:BKJ +0.88% 78 Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:BKJ with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of €106.27 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 357 Restaurants companies, Brinker International ranks worse than 72.27% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.49 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Brinker International's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:BKJ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.16   Med: -2.84   Max: -1.81
Current: -2.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Brinker International was -1.81. The lowest was -3.16. And the median was -2.84.


Brinker International Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Brinker International's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Brinker International Beneish M-Score Chart

Brinker International Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 -2.92 -2.73 -2.74 -2.95

Brinker International Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -2.85 -2.91 -2.79 -2.49

FRA:BKJ vs WING, BROS, CAKE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Brinker International's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Brinker International Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Brinker International's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Brinker International's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:BKJ
78GF Score
Brinker International Inc FRA:BKJ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Brinker International Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Brinker International for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4769+0.528 * 0.9504+0.404 * 0.8627+0.892 * 1.0346+0.115 * 0.9521
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9742+4.679 * -0.100677-0.327 * 0.9459
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €85 Mil.
Revenue was 1271.723 + 1240.179 + 1149.518 + 1267.467 = €4,929 Mil.
Gross Profit was 244.016 + 241.853 + 195.619 + 235.13 = €917 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €234 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,398 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,868 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €190 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €201 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €589 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,390 Mil.
Net Income was 110.633 + 109.739 + 84.774 + 92.769 = €398 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1.643 + -0.085 + -0.937 + -9.884 = €-13 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 200.766 + 186.941 + 102.922 + 161.262 = €652 Mil.
Total Receivables was €56 Mil.
Revenue was 1318.217 + 1297.081 + 1026.239 + 1122.418 = €4,764 Mil.
Gross Profit was 257.982 + 256.8 + 147.223 + 180.04 = €842 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €175 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,379 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,864 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €180 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €200 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €618 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,459 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(84.943 / 4928.887) / (55.592 / 4763.955)
=0.017234 / 0.011669
=1.4769

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(842.045 / 4763.955) / (916.618 / 4928.887)
=0.176753 / 0.185969
=0.9504

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (233.982 + 1868.14) / 2398.039) / (1 - (174.917 + 1863.782) / 2379.007)
=0.1234 / 0.143046
=0.8627

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4928.887 / 4763.955
=1.0346

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(179.672 / (179.672 + 1863.782)) / (190.069 / (190.069 + 1868.14))
=0.087926 / 0.092347
=0.9521

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(201.214 / 4928.887) / (199.618 / 4763.955)
=0.040823 / 0.041902
=0.9742

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1390.228 + 589.411) / 2398.039) / ((1458.725 + 617.53) / 2379.007)
=0.825524 / 0.87274
=0.9459

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(397.915 - -12.549 - 651.891) / 2398.039
=-0.100677

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Brinker International has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 mean?
Brinker International (FRA:BKJ) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Brinker International and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Brinker International ranks #258 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 72.3%.
Is Brinker International's Beneish M-Score too high?
Brinker International's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Based on the distribution chart, Brinker International ranks #258 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Brinker International has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Brinker International's Beneish M-Score compare to WING and BROS?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Brinker International ranks #258 out of 357 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Brinker International in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Brinker International and its competitors. Brinker International's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Brinker International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Brinker International (FRA:BKJ) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €106.27, compared to a current price of €149.50 — trading 40.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Brinker International's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Brinker International (FRA:BKJ), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Brinker International (FRA:BKJ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Brinker International stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €149.50 is trading 40.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €106.27. GuruFocus considers Brinker International to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:BKJ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.49
  • GF Value™: €106.27 vs. price of €149.50 (40.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:BKJ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Brinker International Business Description

Other Exchanges EAT:USA1EAT:Italy
Address 3000 Olympus Boulevard, Dallas, TX, USA, 75019
Brinker International Inc operates casual dining restaurants under the brand's Chili Grill and Bar (Chili's) and Maggiano's Little Italy (Maggiano's). Chili's falls in the Bar and Grill category of casual dining. Its menu features Fresh Mex and Fresh Tex favorites including signature items such as slow-smoked baby back ribs, craft burgers, fajitas, and bottomless chips and salsa paired with tableside guacamole. Maggiano's is an Italian restaurant brand with a full lunch and dinner menu offering chef-prepared, such as appetizers, chicken, seafood, veal and prime steaks, and desserts. The company generates maximum revenue from Chili's segment.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:BKJ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€149.50
Price
€106.27
GF Value