Headwater Exploration (FRA:C6V) Beneish M-Score: -3.04 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:C6V Headwater Exploration Inc FRA:C6V
75 GF Score
Price €7.40
GF Value €5.53
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Headwater Exploration Beneish M-Score?

Headwater Exploration FRA:C6V -3.27% 75 Beneish M-Score is -3.04 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:C6V with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of €5.53 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Headwater Exploration ranks better than 72.51% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Headwater Exploration's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:C6V' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.9   Med: -2.73   Max: 15.22
Current: -3.04

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Headwater Exploration was 15.22. The lowest was -5.90. And the median was -2.73.


Headwater Exploration Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Headwater Exploration's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Headwater Exploration Beneish M-Score Chart

Headwater Exploration Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.38 -1.08 -3.44 -2.48 -3.43

Headwater Exploration Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.84 -3.12 -3.43 -3.04

FRA:C6V vs COP, EOG, OXY: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Headwater Exploration's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Headwater Exploration Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Headwater Exploration's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Headwater Exploration's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:C6V
75GF Score
Headwater Exploration Inc FRA:C6V
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Headwater Exploration Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Headwater Exploration for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.493+0.528 * 1.0099+0.404 * 0.7138+0.892 * 0.8965+0.115 * 1.1782
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.4437+4.679 * -0.10473-0.327 * 1.2256
=-3.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €50.6 Mil.
Revenue was 111.417 + 93.528 + 93.675 + 91.942 = €390.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 65.118 + 51.226 + 48.294 + 45.339 = €210.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €93.9 Mil.
Total Assets was €649.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €554.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €77.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €33.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €95.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0.7 Mil.
Net Income was 22.424 + 18.145 + 22.091 + 24.119 = €86.8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -10.993 + -0.976 + -0.815 + 0.866 = €-11.9 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 25.262 + 44.986 + 52.88 + 43.561 = €166.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was €37.8 Mil.
Revenue was 109.636 + 109.333 + 105.346 + 111.359 = €435.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 60.096 + 59.806 + 55.193 + 61.454 = €236.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €120.8 Mil.
Total Assets was €623.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €500.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €84.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €15.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €74.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1.2 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(50.637 / 390.562) / (37.834 / 435.674)
=0.129652 / 0.08684
=1.493

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(236.549 / 435.674) / (209.977 / 390.562)
=0.54295 / 0.537628
=1.0099

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (93.854 + 554.076) / 649.212) / (1 - (120.802 + 500.838) / 623.365)
=0.001975 / 0.002767
=0.7138

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=390.562 / 435.674
=0.8965

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(84.265 / (84.265 + 500.838)) / (77.159 / (77.159 + 554.076))
=0.144017 / 0.122235
=1.1782

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(33.341 / 390.562) / (15.22 / 435.674)
=0.085367 / 0.034934
=2.4437

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.673 + 95.763) / 649.212) / ((1.211 + 74.341) / 623.365)
=0.148543 / 0.1212
=1.2256

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(86.779 - -11.918 - 166.689) / 649.212
=-0.10473

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Headwater Exploration has a M-score of -3.02 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.04 mean?
Headwater Exploration (FRA:C6V) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.04 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Headwater Exploration and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Headwater Exploration ranks #226 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 27.5%.
Is Headwater Exploration's Beneish M-Score too high?
Headwater Exploration's current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. Based on the distribution chart, Headwater Exploration ranks #226 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Headwater Exploration has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Headwater Exploration's Beneish M-Score compare to COP and EOG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Headwater Exploration ranks #226 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Headwater Exploration in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Headwater Exploration and its competitors. Headwater Exploration's current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Headwater Exploration stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Headwater Exploration (FRA:C6V) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €5.53, compared to a current price of €7.40 — trading 33.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. Headwater Exploration's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Headwater Exploration (FRA:C6V), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.04 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Headwater Exploration (FRA:C6V) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Headwater Exploration stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €7.40 is trading 33.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €5.53. GuruFocus considers Headwater Exploration to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:C6V:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.04
  • GF Value™: €5.53 vs. price of €7.40 (33.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:C6V stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Headwater Exploration Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges CDDRF:USAHWX:Canada
Address 215 - 9th Avenue SW, Unit 1400, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 1K3
Headwater Exploration Inc is a Canadian resource company engaged in the exploration for and development and production of petroleum and natural gas in Canada. The company has high quality oil production, reserves, and lands in the prolific Clearwater play in the Marten Hills, Greater Peavine and Greater Nipisi areas of Alberta as well as low decline natural gas production and reserves in the McCully Field near Sussex, New Brunswick. Its core operating areas are Clearwater fairway, Alberta and McCully Field, New Brunswick.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:C6V

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€7.40
Price
€5.53
GF Value