H World Group (FRA:CL4) Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


FRA:CL4 H World Group Ltd FRA:CL4
83 GF Score
Price €3.62
GF Value €3.92
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is H World Group Beneish M-Score?

H World Group FRA:CL4 +1.69% 83 Beneish M-Score is -2.85 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:CL4 with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of €3.92 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, H World Group ranks better than 69.54% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for H World Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:CL4' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.33   Med: -2.49   Max: 1.54
Current: -2.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of H World Group was 1.54. The lowest was -3.33. And the median was -2.49.


H World Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for H World Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

H World Group Beneish M-Score Chart

H World Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -2.22 -3.02 -2.80 -2.91

H World Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.88 -2.82 -2.91 -2.85

FRA:CL4 vs H, WH, CHH: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lodging subindustry, H World Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


H World Group Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, H World Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where H World Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:CL4
83GF Score
H World Group Ltd FRA:CL4
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

H World Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of H World Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8404+0.528 * 0.8904+0.404 * 0.8853+0.892 * 1.0215+0.115 * 1.0692
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9144+4.679 * -0.047895-0.327 * 0.9985
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €139 Mil.
Revenue was 752.534 + 791.167 + 832.564 + 775.91 = €3,152 Mil.
Gross Profit was 293.81 + 315.739 + 346.732 + 322.873 = €1,279 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,234 Mil.
Total Assets was €8,053 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,998 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €150 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €441 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,394 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,575 Mil.
Net Income was 102.538 + 142.228 + 175.698 + 186.431 = €607 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -23.721 + -14.793 + 14.472 + 45.883 = €22 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 29.243 + 417.47 + 202.968 + 321.062 = €971 Mil.
Total Receivables was €161 Mil.
Revenue was 688.394 + 790.029 + 820.272 + 787.282 = €3,086 Mil.
Gross Profit was 228.529 + 240.432 + 336.538 + 309.509 = €1,115 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,667 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,855 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,182 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €168 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €472 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,896 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,935 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(138.559 / 3152.175) / (161.412 / 3085.977)
=0.043957 / 0.052305
=0.8404

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1115.008 / 3085.977) / (1279.154 / 3152.175)
=0.361314 / 0.4058
=0.8904

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2234.133 + 3997.869) / 8052.842) / (1 - (1666.82 + 4181.914) / 7854.838)
=0.226111 / 0.255397
=0.8853

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3152.175 / 3085.977
=1.0215

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(167.856 / (167.856 + 4181.914)) / (149.696 / (149.696 + 3997.869))
=0.03859 / 0.036093
=1.0692

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(440.947 / 3152.175) / (472.091 / 3085.977)
=0.139887 / 0.152979
=0.9144

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3574.913 + 2393.525) / 8052.842) / ((3934.628 + 1895.987) / 7854.838)
=0.741159 / 0.742296
=0.9985

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(606.895 - 21.841 - 970.743) / 8052.842
=-0.047895

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

H World Group has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.85 mean?
H World Group (FRA:CL4) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.85 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on H World Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, H World Group ranks #251 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 30.5%.
Is H World Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
H World Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. Based on the distribution chart, H World Group ranks #251 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, H World Group has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does H World Group's Beneish M-Score compare to H and WH?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, H World Group ranks #251 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts H World Group in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on H World Group and its competitors. H World Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is H World Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, H World Group (FRA:CL4) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €3.92, compared to a current price of €3.62 — trading 7.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. H World Group's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For H World Group (FRA:CL4), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.85 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is H World Group (FRA:CL4) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, H World Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €3.62 is trading 7.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of €3.92. GuruFocus considers H World Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:CL4:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.85
  • GF Value™: €3.92 vs. price of €3.62 (7.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:CL4 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


H World Group Business Description

Address No. 1299 Fenghua Road, Jiading District, Shanghai, CHN, 201803
H World Group Ltd a foremost, fast-growing multi-brand hotel group with international operations. The principal business activities of the Company are to develop and operate leased and owned, manachised and franchised hotels mainly in the PRC or PRC Mainland. The Group has two operating segments which are legacy Huazhu and legacy DH according to the way management intends to evaluate results and allocate resources within the Group. The majority of revenue comes from legacy Huazhu. The company has presence in Greater China and also Outside Greater China.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:CL4

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€3.62
Price
€3.92
GF Value