PT Gudang Garam Tbk (FRA:GGG) Beneish M-Score: -3.61 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:GGG PT Gudang Garam Tbk FRA:GGG
51 GF Score
Price €0.81
GF Value €0.68
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is PT Gudang Garam Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Gudang Garam Tbk FRA:GGG 51 Beneish M-Score is -3.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:GGG with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.68 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 45 Tobacco Products companies, PT Gudang Garam Tbk ranks better than 77.78% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Gudang Garam Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:GGG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.61   Med: -2.43   Max: 17.45
Current: -3.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Gudang Garam Tbk was 17.45. The lowest was -3.61. And the median was -2.43.


PT Gudang Garam Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Gudang Garam Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Gudang Garam Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Gudang Garam Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 -2.94 17.45 -2.55 -2.84

PT Gudang Garam Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.21 -2.82 -2.43 -2.84 -3.61

FRA:GGG vs PM, MO, TPB: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, PT Gudang Garam Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Gudang Garam Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Gudang Garam Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Gudang Garam Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:GGG
51GF Score
PT Gudang Garam Tbk FRA:GGG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PT Gudang Garam Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Gudang Garam Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5243+0.528 * 0.7706+0.404 * 1.132+0.892 * 0.8095+0.115 * 1.0304
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7648+4.679 * -0.154032-0.327 * 0.5831
=-3.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €79 Mil.
Revenue was 1027.725 + 1126.746 + 1184.894 + 1132.433 = €4,472 Mil.
Gross Profit was 160.501 + 136.989 + 129.887 + 94.75 = €522 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,122 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,929 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,008 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €40 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €120 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €549 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.
Net Income was 0 + 22.99 + 51.074 + 0.677 = €75 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 121.05 + 58.796 + 246.454 + 253.702 = €680 Mil.
Total Receivables was €186 Mil.
Revenue was 1295.569 + 1474.687 + 1401.833 + 1351.735 = €5,524 Mil.
Gross Profit was 112.642 + 122.611 + 132.246 + 129.526 = €497 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,659 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,740 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,229 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €51 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €193 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,136 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(78.937 / 4471.798) / (185.978 / 5523.824)
=0.017652 / 0.033668
=0.5243

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(497.025 / 5523.824) / (522.127 / 4471.798)
=0.089978 / 0.11676
=0.7706

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2122.172 + 1008.255) / 3929.443) / (1 - (2659.455 + 1229.25) / 4740.207)
=0.203341 / 0.179634
=1.132

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4471.798 / 5523.824
=0.8095

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(50.573 / (50.573 + 1229.25)) / (40.208 / (40.208 + 1008.255))
=0.039516 / 0.038349
=1.0304

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(119.585 / 4471.798) / (193.142 / 5523.824)
=0.026742 / 0.034965
=0.7648

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 549.102) / 3929.443) / ((0 + 1135.988) / 4740.207)
=0.13974 / 0.239649
=0.5831

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(74.741 - 0 - 680.002) / 3929.443
=-0.154032

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Gudang Garam Tbk has a M-score of -3.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.61 mean?
PT Gudang Garam Tbk (FRA:GGG) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Gudang Garam Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Gudang Garam Tbk ranks #10 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 22.2%.
Is PT Gudang Garam Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Gudang Garam Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -3.61. Based on the distribution chart, PT Gudang Garam Tbk ranks #10 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, PT Gudang Garam Tbk has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Gudang Garam Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, PT Gudang Garam Tbk ranks #10 out of 45 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PT Gudang Garam Tbk in the top 22% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Gudang Garam Tbk and its competitors. PT Gudang Garam Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -3.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Gudang Garam Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Gudang Garam Tbk (FRA:GGG) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.68, compared to a current price of €0.81 — trading 19.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.61. PT Gudang Garam Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Gudang Garam Tbk (FRA:GGG), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Gudang Garam Tbk (FRA:GGG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Gudang Garam Tbk stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.81 is trading 19.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.68. GuruFocus considers PT Gudang Garam Tbk to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:GGG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.61
  • GF Value™: €0.68 vs. price of €0.81 (19.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:GGG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Gudang Garam Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan Semampir II/1, East Java, Kediri, IDN, 64121
PT Gudang Garam Tbk manufactures kretek cigarettes, which are clove cigarettes common in Indonesia. The firm's operations are almost entirely domestic, with its tobacco and clove farmers. Nearly majority of the company's sales are generated in Indonesia. The company's brand families include Gudang Garam, Merah, and others. Other brands include Sriwedari, which is a hand-rolled brand, and Klobot. The company's segment includes Cigarettes, Paperboard, Infrastructure, and Others. The company generates the majority of revenue from sale of Cigarettes.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:GGG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.81
Price
€0.68
GF Value