Halfords Group (FRA:HDK) Beneish M-Score: -3.52 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:HDK Halfords Group PLC FRA:HDK
77 GF Score
Price €2.04
GF Value €1.89
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Halfords Group Beneish M-Score?

Halfords Group FRA:HDK -0.97% 77 Beneish M-Score is -3.52 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:HDK with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of €1.89 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,087 Retail - Cyclical companies, Halfords Group ranks better than 92% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Halfords Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:HDK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.57   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.42
Current: -3.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Halfords Group was -2.42. The lowest was -3.57. And the median was -2.65.


Halfords Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Halfords Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Halfords Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Halfords Group Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -2.56 -2.42 -2.84 -3.52

Halfords Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.84 0.00 -3.52 0.00

FRA:HDK vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Halfords Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Halfords Group Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Halfords Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Halfords Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:HDK
77GF Score
Halfords Group PLC FRA:HDK
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Halfords Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Halfords Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9093+0.528 * 0.9569+0.404 * 0.9811+0.892 * 1.0336+0.115 * 0.9116
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0587+4.679 * -0.194232-0.327 * 1.0059
=-3.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar25) TTM:Last Year (Mar24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €168 Mil.
Revenue was €2,050 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,039 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €476 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,405 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €399 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €157 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €980 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €544 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €241 Mil.
Net Income was €-40 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €233 Mil.
Total Receivables was €178 Mil.
Revenue was €1,983 Mil.
Gross Profit was €962 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €491 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,496 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €430 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €149 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €896 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €541 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €290 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(167.552 / 2049.819) / (178.272 / 1983.202)
=0.08174 / 0.089891
=0.9093

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(961.616 / 1983.202) / (1038.653 / 2049.819)
=0.484881 / 0.506705
=0.9569

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (476.363 + 399.16) / 1404.709) / (1 - (491.446 + 429.957) / 1495.731)
=0.376723 / 0.383978
=0.9811

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2049.819 / 1983.202
=1.0336

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(148.696 / (148.696 + 429.957)) / (156.676 / (156.676 + 399.16))
=0.256969 / 0.281875
=0.9116

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(980.333 / 2049.819) / (895.919 / 1983.202)
=0.478253 / 0.451754
=1.0587

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((240.93 + 544.125) / 1404.709) / ((289.56 + 541.479) / 1495.731)
=0.558874 / 0.555607
=1.0059

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-40.155 - 0 - 232.684) / 1404.709
=-0.194232

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Halfords Group has a M-score of -3.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.52 mean?
Halfords Group (FRA:HDK) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.52 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Halfords Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Halfords Group ranks #87 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 8%.
Is Halfords Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Halfords Group's current Beneish M-Score is -3.52. Based on the distribution chart, Halfords Group ranks #87 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Halfords Group has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Halfords Group's Beneish M-Score compare to CASY and WSM?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Halfords Group ranks #87 out of 1087 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Halfords Group in the top 8% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Halfords Group and its competitors. Halfords Group's current Beneish M-Score is -3.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Halfords Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Halfords Group (FRA:HDK) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €1.89, compared to a current price of €2.04 — trading 7.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.52. Halfords Group's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Halfords Group (FRA:HDK), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.52 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Halfords Group (FRA:HDK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Halfords Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €2.04 is trading 7.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €1.89. GuruFocus considers Halfords Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:HDK:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.52
  • GF Value™: €1.89 vs. price of €2.04 (7.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:HDK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Halfords Group Business Description

Other Exchanges HFDl:UKHFD:UK
Address Icknield Street Drive, Washford West, Redditch, Worcestershire, GBR, B98 0DE
Halfords Group PLC is a retailer of automotive and cycling products. The company also provides vehicle servicing, maintenance, and repairs through garages and mobile vans. It is also engaged in the provision of software as a service. The company operates retail stores and auto centers in the United Kingdom and Ireland, and it participates in online retail as well. The business is divided into two segments: Retail and Autocentres. The Retail segment which derives maximum revenue, operates retail outlets for its automotive, leisure, and cycling products. The Autocentres segment operates centers for car servicing and repair in the U.K. Halfords' key cycling brands include Apollo, Carrera, and Boardman, but the company offers third-party bike brands as well.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:HDK

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.04
Price
€1.89
GF Value