Marfrig Global Foods (FRA:MGP1) Beneish M-Score: -2.99 (As of Aug. 20, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:MGP1 Marfrig Global Foods SA FRA:MGP1
62 GF Score
Price €2.54
GF Value €1.54
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Marfrig Global Foods Beneish M-Score?

Marfrig Global Foods FRA:MGP1 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.99 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:MGP1 with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of €1.54 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,859 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Marfrig Global Foods ranks better than 82.25% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marfrig Global Foods's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:MGP1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.75   Max: -0.03
Current: -2.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Marfrig Global Foods was -0.03. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.75.


Marfrig Global Foods Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Marfrig Global Foods's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Marfrig Global Foods Beneish M-Score Chart

Marfrig Global Foods Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -1.88 -2.70 -2.75 -2.97

Marfrig Global Foods Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -2.93 -2.97 -3.06 -2.99

FRA:MGP1 vs KHC, GIS, HRL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Marfrig Global Foods's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marfrig Global Foods Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Marfrig Global Foods's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marfrig Global Foods's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:MGP1
62GF Score
Marfrig Global Foods SA FRA:MGP1
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Marfrig Global Foods Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Marfrig Global Foods for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8061+0.528 * 1.051+0.404 * 1.0144+0.892 * 1.0611+0.115 * 1.1484
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9842+4.679 * -0.069736-0.327 * 1.0679
=-2.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,030 Mil.
Revenue was 6897.794 + 6525.717 + 6874.217 + 6635.136 = €26,933 Mil.
Gross Profit was 824.61 + 789.04 + 865.282 + 817.776 = €3,297 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,907 Mil.
Total Assets was €23,577 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €7,670 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,110 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,600 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €8,451 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €9,826 Mil.
Net Income was 11.601 + 18.402 + 14.257 + 14.937 = €59 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 367.337 + 239.952 + 568.777 + 527.327 = €1,703 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,204 Mil.
Revenue was 6066.12 + 6342.153 + 6606.919 + 6367.179 = €25,382 Mil.
Gross Profit was 752.765 + 754.071 + 894.707 + 863.838 = €3,265 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,310 Mil.
Total Assets was €21,546 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,930 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,177 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,532 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,793 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,848 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1030.123 / 26932.864) / (1204.403 / 25382.371)
=0.038248 / 0.04745
=0.8061

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3265.381 / 25382.371) / (3296.708 / 26932.864)
=0.128648 / 0.122405
=1.051

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8907.237 + 7670.496) / 23577.305) / (1 - (8309.788 + 6930.132) / 21545.623)
=0.296878 / 0.292667
=1.0144

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=26932.864 / 25382.371
=1.0611

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1176.598 / (1176.598 + 6930.132)) / (1109.674 / (1109.674 + 7670.496))
=0.145138 / 0.126384
=1.1484

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1600.08 / 26932.864) / (1532.216 / 25382.371)
=0.05941 / 0.060365
=0.9842

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9826.492 + 8450.952) / 23577.305) / ((8847.568 + 6792.933) / 21545.623)
=0.775213 / 0.725925
=1.0679

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(59.197 - 0 - 1703.393) / 23577.305
=-0.069736

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Marfrig Global Foods has a M-score of -2.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.99 mean?
Marfrig Global Foods (FRA:MGP1) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.99 as of Aug. 20, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Marfrig Global Foods and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Marfrig Global Foods ranks #330 out of 1859 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 17.8%.
Is Marfrig Global Foods' Beneish M-Score too high?
Marfrig Global Foods' current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. Based on the distribution chart, Marfrig Global Foods ranks #330 out of 1859 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Marfrig Global Foods has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Marfrig Global Foods' Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Marfrig Global Foods ranks #330 out of 1859 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Marfrig Global Foods in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Marfrig Global Foods and its competitors. Marfrig Global Foods's current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Marfrig Global Foods stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marfrig Global Foods (FRA:MGP1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €1.54, compared to a current price of €2.54 — trading 64.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. Marfrig Global Foods' overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Marfrig Global Foods (FRA:MGP1), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.99 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Marfrig Global Foods (FRA:MGP1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marfrig Global Foods stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €2.54 is trading 64.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €1.54. GuruFocus considers Marfrig Global Foods to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:MGP1:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.99
  • GF Value™: €1.54 vs. price of €2.54 (64.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:MGP1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Marfrig Global Foods Business Description

Other Exchanges MBRFY:USAMBRF3:Brazil
Address Avenida Queiroz Filho, 1560, Torre Sabia, 3rd Floor, Vila Hamburguesa, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 05319-000
Marfrig Global Foods SA is a Processing of products (formed by cattle slaughter facilities in operation, which are also used in beef processing, and for the manufacture of animal nutrition products) and sale of animal-based (beef, pork, lamb, fish, and poultry) and plant-based proteins. The company organizes itself into four main segments: Beef - North America, Beef - South America, Poultry, Pork and Processed Products - BRF, and Corporate. The company earns more than half of its revenue through its operations in Beef - North America.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:MGP1

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.54
Price
€1.54
GF Value