McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (FRA:MJ8) Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:MJ8 McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Ltd FRA:MJ8
74 GF Score
Price €40.00
GF Value €35.15
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Beneish M-Score?

McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) FRA:MJ8 +2.04% 74 Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:MJ8 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of €35.15. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 357 Restaurants companies, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) ranks worse than 50.7% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:MJ8' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.12   Med: -2.75   Max: -2.18
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) was -2.18. The lowest was -3.12. And the median was -2.75.


McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Beneish M-Score Chart

McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -2.18 -2.41 -2.88 -2.75

McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.75 0.00

FRA:MJ8 vs MCD, SBUX, CMG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:MJ8
74GF Score
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Ltd FRA:MJ8
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8392+0.528 * 0.9612+0.404 * 1.2454+0.892 * 0.9064+0.115 * 1.0238
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.053038-0.327 * 0.9397
=-2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €143 Mil.
Revenue was €2,282 Mil.
Gross Profit was €474 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €597 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,996 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,142 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €100 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €424 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.
Net Income was €186 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €292 Mil.
Total Receivables was €189 Mil.
Revenue was €2,518 Mil.
Gross Profit was €503 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €693 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,093 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,182 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €106 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €472 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(143.435 / 2281.872) / (188.567 / 2517.52)
=0.062858 / 0.074902
=0.8392

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(502.831 / 2517.52) / (474.179 / 2281.872)
=0.199733 / 0.207803
=0.9612

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (596.537 + 1141.938) / 1996.344) / (1 - (693.379 + 1182.494) / 2092.944)
=0.129171 / 0.103716
=1.2454

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2281.872 / 2517.52
=0.9064

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(106.158 / (106.158 + 1182.494)) / (99.929 / (99.929 + 1141.938))
=0.082379 / 0.080467
=1.0238

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2281.872) / (0 / 2517.52)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.372 + 423.623) / 1996.344) / ((0.72 + 472.296) / 2092.944)
=0.212386 / 0.226005
=0.9397

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(185.731 - 0 - 291.614) / 1996.344
=-0.053038

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) has a M-score of -2.86 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 mean?
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (FRA:MJ8) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) ranks #181 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 50.7%.
Is McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Beneish M-Score too high?
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. Based on the distribution chart, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) ranks #181 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) has a GF Score™ of 74/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) ranks #181 out of 357 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) and its competitors. McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) stock overvalued right now?
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (FRA:MJ8) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.75. The stock's GF Value™ is €35.15, compared to a current price of €40.00 — trading 13.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (FRA:MJ8), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (FRA:MJ8) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €40.00 is trading 13.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €35.15.

Key valuation signals for FRA:MJ8:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.75
  • GF Value™: €35.15 vs. price of €40.00 (13.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:MJ8 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Business Description

Other Exchanges 2702:JapanMJ8:Germany
Address 6-5-1 Nishi-Shinjuku, Shinjuku Island Tower, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 163-1339
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Ltd has a license to operate McDonald's fast-food restaurants in Japan. It is engaged in the operation and management of hamburger restaurant chains under the McDonald's brand. The company pays royalties for licensed rights and, in Japan, provides sub-licenses for its know-how and trademarks to franchisees operating its franchise restaurants, from whom it earns royalty income.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:MJ8

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€40.00
Price
€35.15
GF Value