Metsa Board Oyj (FRA:MSRB) Beneish M-Score: -3.20 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:MSRB Metsa Board Oyj FRA:MSRB
64 GF Score
Price €2.76
GF Value €3.50
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score?

Metsa Board Oyj FRA:MSRB +0.73% 64 Beneish M-Score is -3.20 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:MSRB with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of €3.50. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 373 Packaging & Containers companies, Metsa Board Oyj ranks better than 94.37% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.2 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:MSRB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.2   Med: -2.52   Max: -1.96
Current: -3.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Metsa Board Oyj was -1.96. The lowest was -3.20. And the median was -2.52.


Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score Chart

Metsa Board Oyj Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.34 -1.96 -2.95 -2.49 -3.20

Metsa Board Oyj Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -3.20 0.00

FRA:MSRB vs SW, PKG, AMCR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:MSRB
64GF Score
Metsa Board Oyj FRA:MSRB
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Metsa Board Oyj for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9361+0.528 * 1.2874+0.404 * 0.9379+0.892 * 0.916+0.115 * 0.7208
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.135416-0.327 * 1.1473
=-3.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €239 Mil.
Revenue was €1,776 Mil.
Gross Profit was €267 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €933 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,926 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,266 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €166 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €567 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €496 Mil.
Net Income was €-157 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €240 Mil.
Total Receivables was €278 Mil.
Revenue was €1,939 Mil.
Gross Profit was €375 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €952 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,994 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,248 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €114 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €536 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €412 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(238.7 / 1775.7) / (278.4 / 1938.6)
=0.134426 / 0.143609
=0.9361

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(375 / 1938.6) / (266.8 / 1775.7)
=0.193439 / 0.150251
=1.2874

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (932.7 + 1265.5) / 2925.8) / (1 - (951.8 + 1248.4) / 2994.1)
=0.248684 / 0.265155
=0.9379

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1775.7 / 1938.6
=0.916

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(113.6 / (113.6 + 1248.4)) / (165.6 / (165.6 + 1265.5))
=0.083407 / 0.115715
=0.7208

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1775.7) / (0 / 1938.6)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((495.8 + 566.8) / 2925.8) / ((411.9 + 535.9) / 2994.1)
=0.363183 / 0.316556
=1.1473

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-156.6 - 0 - 239.6) / 2925.8
=-0.135416

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Metsa Board Oyj has a M-score of -3.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.20 mean?
Metsa Board Oyj (FRA:MSRB) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.20 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Metsa Board Oyj and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Metsa Board Oyj ranks #21 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 5.6%.
Is Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score too high?
Metsa Board Oyj's current Beneish M-Score is -3.20. Based on the distribution chart, Metsa Board Oyj ranks #21 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Metsa Board Oyj has a GF Score™ of 64/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Metsa Board Oyj ranks #21 out of 373 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Metsa Board Oyj in the top 6% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Metsa Board Oyj and its competitors. Metsa Board Oyj's current Beneish M-Score is -3.20. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Metsa Board Oyj stock overvalued right now?
Metsa Board Oyj (FRA:MSRB) has a current Beneish M-Score of -3.20. The stock's GF Value™ is €3.50, compared to a current price of €2.76 — trading 21.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.20. Metsa Board Oyj's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Metsa Board Oyj (FRA:MSRB), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.20 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Metsa Board Oyj (FRA:MSRB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metsa Board Oyj stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €2.76 is trading 21.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €3.50.

Key valuation signals for FRA:MSRB:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.20
  • GF Value™: €3.50 vs. price of €2.76 (21.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:MSRB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Metsa Board Oyj Business Description

Address Revontulenpuisto 2, P.O. Box 20, Espoo, FIN, 02100
Metsa Board Oyj is the European producer of premium lightweight paperboards. Its product portfolio includes pulp, boxboard, and linerboard, which are used in foodservice and consumer goods packaging. The company's customers are typically boxboard printers, carton board manufacturers in the food, cosmetics, and pharmaceutical industries, and manufacturers of branded goods and wholesalers. It operates fiber mills that produce its fiber-based products from timber. The Company operates in European Nations like Germany, Sweden, Spain, etc., and also in other countries like the UK, Norway, Canada, Asia, and Turkey. The majority of the revenue is generated in Europe.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:MSRB

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.76
Price
€3.50
GF Value