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Metsa Board Oyj (FRA:MSRB) Beneish M-Score : -2.95 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:MSRB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.96   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.96
Current: -2.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Metsa Board Oyj was -1.96. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.59.


Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score Chart

Metsa Board Oyj Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.96 -2.34 -1.96 -2.95

Metsa Board Oyj Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.95 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metsa Board Oyj's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Metsa Board Oyj for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9069+0.528 * 1.3793+0.404 * 0.9506+0.892 * 0.7832+0.115 * 0.985
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.081176-0.327 * 0.964
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €252 Mil.
Revenue was €1,942 Mil.
Gross Profit was €369 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €975 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,055 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,230 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €94 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €430 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €421 Mil.
Net Income was €95 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €343 Mil.
Total Receivables was €354 Mil.
Revenue was €2,480 Mil.
Gross Profit was €649 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,299 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,403 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,108 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €83 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €549 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €434 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(251.7 / 1941.9) / (354.4 / 2479.6)
=0.129615 / 0.142926
=0.9069

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(649.2 / 2479.6) / (368.6 / 1941.9)
=0.261816 / 0.189814
=1.3793

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (974.7 + 1230.4) / 3055.1) / (1 - (1299.2 + 1107.9) / 3403.2)
=0.278223 / 0.292695
=0.9506

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1941.9 / 2479.6
=0.7832

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(83.1 / (83.1 + 1107.9)) / (93.8 / (93.8 + 1230.4))
=0.069773 / 0.070835
=0.985

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1941.9) / (0 / 2479.6)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((420.9 + 430.1) / 3055.1) / ((434.4 + 549) / 3403.2)
=0.278551 / 0.288963
=0.964

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(94.8 - 0 - 342.8) / 3055.1
=-0.081176

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Metsa Board Oyj has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Metsa Board Oyj Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Metsa Board Oyj Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Revontulenpuisto 2, Espoo, FIN, 02100
Metsa Board Oyj manufactures and sells a variety of fibre-based products. Its product portfolio includes pulp, boxboard, and linerboard, which are used in foodservice and consumer goods packaging. The company's customers are typically boxboard printers, carton board manufacturers in the food, cosmetics, and pharmaceutical industries, and manufacturers of branded goods and wholesalers. It operates fiber mills that produce its fiber-based products from timber. Most of the revenue is generated in Europe. It also operates in the Americas and the Asia-Pacific region.

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