Hudbay Minerals (FRA:OCKA) Beneish M-Score: -2.61 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


FRA:OCKA Hudbay Minerals Inc FRA:OCKA
77 GF Score
Price €20.39
GF Value €8.61
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hudbay Minerals Beneish M-Score?

Hudbay Minerals FRA:OCKA -7.32% 77 Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:OCKA with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of €8.61 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Hudbay Minerals ranks better than 66.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hudbay Minerals's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:OCKA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.73   Med: -2.77   Max: 2.91
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hudbay Minerals was 2.91. The lowest was -3.73. And the median was -2.77.


Hudbay Minerals Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hudbay Minerals's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hudbay Minerals Beneish M-Score Chart

Hudbay Minerals Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.96 -3.33 -2.33 -2.89 -2.50

Hudbay Minerals Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.75 -3.37 -2.50 -2.61

FRA:OCKA vs SCCO, FCX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Copper subindustry, Hudbay Minerals's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hudbay Minerals Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Hudbay Minerals's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hudbay Minerals's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:OCKA
77GF Score
Hudbay Minerals Inc FRA:OCKA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hudbay Minerals Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hudbay Minerals for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0996+0.528 * 0.8161+0.404 * 1.791+0.892 * 1.0513+0.115 * 1.117
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.8813+4.679 * -0.08752-0.327 * 0.8499
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €290 Mil.
Revenue was 655.064 + 625.897 + 295.474 + 465.059 = €2,041 Mil.
Gross Profit was 318.32 + 230.665 + 55.636 + 153.025 = €758 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,342 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,966 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,111 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €372 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €99 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €990 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €488 Mil.
Net Income was 164.696 + 109.312 + 189.485 + 102.046 = €566 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 44.807 + 51.325 + 289.169 + 18.727 = €404 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 182.774 + 178.828 + 96.702 + 225.333 = €684 Mil.
Total Receivables was €251 Mil.
Revenue was 550.282 + 558.58 + 437.706 + 395.29 = €1,942 Mil.
Gross Profit was 213.952 + 176.102 + 125.96 + 72.09 = €588 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €974 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,094 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,876 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €396 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €50 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €420 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,064 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(289.688 / 2041.494) / (250.582 / 1941.858)
=0.1419 / 0.129042
=1.0996

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(588.104 / 1941.858) / (757.646 / 2041.494)
=0.302856 / 0.371123
=0.8161

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1342.307 + 4110.912) / 5965.818) / (1 - (973.562 + 3876.027) / 5093.975)
=0.085923 / 0.047976
=1.791

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2041.494 / 1941.858
=1.0513

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(396.409 / (396.409 + 3876.027)) / (372.411 / (372.411 + 4110.912))
=0.092783 / 0.083066
=1.117

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(99.137 / 2041.494) / (50.123 / 1941.858)
=0.048561 / 0.025812
=1.8813

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((487.773 + 989.992) / 5965.818) / ((1064.212 + 420.412) / 5093.975)
=0.247705 / 0.291447
=0.8499

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(565.539 - 404.028 - 683.637) / 5965.818
=-0.08752

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hudbay Minerals has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 mean?
Hudbay Minerals (FRA:OCKA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hudbay Minerals and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Hudbay Minerals ranks #230 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 33.6%.
Is Hudbay Minerals' Beneish M-Score too high?
Hudbay Minerals' current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Based on the distribution chart, Hudbay Minerals ranks #230 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Hudbay Minerals has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hudbay Minerals' Beneish M-Score compare to SCCO and FCX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Hudbay Minerals ranks #230 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Hudbay Minerals in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hudbay Minerals and its competitors. Hudbay Minerals's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hudbay Minerals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hudbay Minerals (FRA:OCKA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €8.61, compared to a current price of €20.39 — trading 136.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Hudbay Minerals' overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hudbay Minerals (FRA:OCKA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hudbay Minerals (FRA:OCKA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hudbay Minerals stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €20.39 is trading 136.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €8.61. GuruFocus considers Hudbay Minerals to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:OCKA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.61
  • GF Value™: €8.61 vs. price of €20.39 (136.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:OCKA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hudbay Minerals Business Description

Address 25 York Street, Suite 800, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 2V5
Hudbay Minerals Inc is a copper-focused critical minerals company with three long-life operations and a pipeline of copper growth projects in Canada, Peru, and the United States. Its operating portfolio includes the Constancia mine in Cusco (Peru), the Snow Lake operations in Manitoba (Canada), and the Copper Mountain mine in British Columbia (Canada). Copper is the primary metal produced by the company, which is complemented by gold, zinc, silver, and molybdenum production. Hudbay's growth pipeline includes the Copper World project and the Mason project in the USA, and the Llaguen project in Peru. The company's reportable segments are: Peru, which generates the maximum revenue, Manitoba, British Columbia, and Arizona. Geographically, it generates maximum revenue from China and Canada.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:OCKA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€20.39
Price
€8.61
GF Value