Obsidian Energy (FRA:P13A) Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


FRA:P13A Obsidian Energy Ltd FRA:P13A
49 GF Score
Price €6.85
GF Value €4.11
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Obsidian Energy Beneish M-Score?

Obsidian Energy FRA:P13A -0.65% 49 Beneish M-Score is -3.02 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:P13A with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of €4.11 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Obsidian Energy ranks better than 71.65% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.02 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Obsidian Energy's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:P13A' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -21.24   Med: -3.76   Max: 1.4
Current: -3.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Obsidian Energy was 1.40. The lowest was -21.24. And the median was -3.76.


Obsidian Energy Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Obsidian Energy's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Obsidian Energy Beneish M-Score Chart

Obsidian Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -3.07 -0.02 -3.76

Obsidian Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.25 1.40 -21.24 -3.76 -3.02

FRA:P13A vs COP, EOG, OXY: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Obsidian Energy's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Obsidian Energy Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Obsidian Energy's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Obsidian Energy's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:P13A
49GF Score
Obsidian Energy Ltd FRA:P13A
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Obsidian Energy Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Obsidian Energy for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7287+0.528 * 0.1817+0.404 * 1.2178+0.892 * 0.5956+0.115 * 1.3652
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.0504+4.679 * -0.082758-0.327 * 0.847
=-2.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €57.1 Mil.
Revenue was 95.453 + 78.745 + 80.556 + 88.933 = €343.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 58.129 + 35.844 + 42.742 + 48.526 = €185.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €91.3 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,241.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €963.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €121.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €18.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €158.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €164.8 Mil.
Net Income was -11.79 + -7.614 + 10.347 + 9.705 = €0.6 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -30.83 + 2.352 + 12.317 + 5.075 = €-11.1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 25.219 + 26.31 + 27.961 + 35.015 = €114.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was €55.4 Mil.
Revenue was 139.046 + 145.928 + 147.661 + 144.383 = €577.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 84.021 + -193.587 + 82.278 + 83.783 = €56.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €316.2 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,400.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €911.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €163.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €15.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €202.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €228.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(57.057 / 343.687) / (55.412 / 577.018)
=0.166014 / 0.096032
=1.7287

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(56.495 / 577.018) / (185.241 / 343.687)
=0.097909 / 0.538982
=0.1817

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (91.292 + 963.857) / 1241.83) / (1 - (316.173 + 911.405) / 1400.451)
=0.150327 / 0.123441
=1.2178

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=343.687 / 577.018
=0.5956

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(163.896 / (163.896 + 911.405)) / (121.131 / (121.131 + 963.857))
=0.152419 / 0.111643
=1.3652

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18.363 / 343.687) / (15.036 / 577.018)
=0.053429 / 0.026058
=2.0504

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((164.804 + 158.688) / 1241.83) / ((228.544 + 202.191) / 1400.451)
=0.260496 / 0.307569
=0.847

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(0.648 - -11.086 - 114.505) / 1241.83
=-0.082758

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Obsidian Energy has a M-score of -2.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.02 mean?
Obsidian Energy (FRA:P13A) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.02 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Obsidian Energy and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Obsidian Energy ranks #233 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 28.3%.
Is Obsidian Energy's Beneish M-Score too high?
Obsidian Energy's current Beneish M-Score is -3.02. Based on the distribution chart, Obsidian Energy ranks #233 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Obsidian Energy has a GF Score™ of 49/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Obsidian Energy's Beneish M-Score compare to COP and EOG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Obsidian Energy ranks #233 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Obsidian Energy in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Obsidian Energy and its competitors. Obsidian Energy's current Beneish M-Score is -3.02. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Obsidian Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Obsidian Energy (FRA:P13A) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €4.11, compared to a current price of €6.85 — trading 66.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.02. Obsidian Energy's overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Obsidian Energy (FRA:P13A), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.02 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Obsidian Energy (FRA:P13A) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Obsidian Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €6.85 is trading 66.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €4.11. GuruFocus considers Obsidian Energy to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:P13A:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.02
  • GF Value™: €4.11 vs. price of €6.85 (66.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:P13A stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Obsidian Energy Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges OBE:USAOBE:Canada
Address 207 - 9th Avenue SW, Suite 200, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 1K3
Obsidian Energy Ltd is an intermediate-sized oil and gas producer with strategic assets in Alberta. It operates in a single reporting segment that is exploration, development, and holding an interest in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The company generates the majority of the revenue from the Sale of Oil.
49GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:P13A

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€6.85
Price
€4.11
GF Value