Aurizon Holdings (FRA:QRL) Beneish M-Score: -3.01 (As of Jul. 07, 2026)


FRA:QRL Aurizon Holdings Ltd FRA:QRL
72 GF Score
Price €2.42
GF Value €2.48
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 11 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Aurizon Holdings FRA:QRL +0.79% 72 Beneish M-Score is -3.01 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:QRL with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of €2.48 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 965 Transportation companies, Aurizon Holdings ranks better than 84.46% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.01 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:QRL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.82   Max: -2.31
Current: -3.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aurizon Holdings was -2.31. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.82.


Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Aurizon Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -3.02 -2.31 -3.22 -3.01

Aurizon Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.22 0.00 -3.01 0.00

FRA:QRL vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aurizon Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:QRL
72GF Score
Aurizon Holdings Ltd FRA:QRL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aurizon Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aurizon Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0233+0.528 * 1.0054+0.404 * 0.8638+0.892 * 0.9426+0.115 * 0.9691
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0292+4.679 * -0.102903-0.327 * 1.1052
=-3.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €341 Mil.
Revenue was €2,184 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,836 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €612 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,571 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €5,738 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €413 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €647 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,008 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,542 Mil.
Net Income was €171 Mil.
Gross Profit was €23 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €825 Mil.
Total Receivables was €353 Mil.
Revenue was €2,317 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,958 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €611 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,153 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,263 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €436 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €667 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,065 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,432 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(340.93 / 2183.869) / (353.464 / 2316.948)
=0.156113 / 0.152556
=1.0233

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1957.932 / 2316.948) / (1835.602 / 2183.869)
=0.845048 / 0.840528
=1.0054

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (612.432 + 5737.666) / 6571.363) / (1 - (611.314 + 6263.039) / 7153.177)
=0.033671 / 0.038979
=0.8638

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2183.869 / 2316.948
=0.9426

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(436.124 / (436.124 + 6263.039)) / (413.18 / (413.18 + 5737.666))
=0.065101 / 0.067174
=0.9691

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(646.863 / 2183.869) / (666.832 / 2316.948)
=0.2962 / 0.287806
=1.0292

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2542.297 + 1008.113) / 6571.363) / ((2432.302 + 1064.71) / 7153.177)
=0.540285 / 0.488875
=1.1052

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(171.029 - 22.578 - 824.666) / 6571.363
=-0.102903

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aurizon Holdings has a M-score of -3.09 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.01 mean?
Aurizon Holdings (FRA:QRL) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.01 as of Jul. 07, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aurizon Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aurizon Holdings ranks #150 out of 965 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 15.5%.
Is Aurizon Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Aurizon Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. Based on the distribution chart, Aurizon Holdings ranks #150 out of 965 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Aurizon Holdings has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aurizon Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Aurizon Holdings ranks #150 out of 965 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Aurizon Holdings in the top 16% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aurizon Holdings and its competitors. Aurizon Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aurizon Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurizon Holdings (FRA:QRL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €2.48, compared to a current price of €2.42 — trading 2.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. Aurizon Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aurizon Holdings (FRA:QRL), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.01 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aurizon Holdings (FRA:QRL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurizon Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €2.42 is trading 2.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of €2.48. GuruFocus considers Aurizon Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:QRL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.01
  • GF Value™: €2.48 vs. price of €2.42 (2.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:QRL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aurizon Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges QRNNF:USAAZJ:Australia
Address 900 Ann Street, Level 8, Fortitude Valley, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4006
Aurizon operates rail haulage of coal, iron ore, and freight, and owns a regulated rail network in Queensland. Coal haulage from mine to port contributes a third of operating income. The noncoal bulk segment contributes less than 15% of earnings and undertakes the rail haulage of agricultural, mining, and industrial products. The rail network, composed of 2,670 kilometers of coal rail network under a 99-year lease from the Queensland government, contributes half of earnings.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:QRL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.42
Price
€2.48
GF Value