GUOTF (Guotai Junan International Holdings) Beneish M-Score: -1.77 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


GUOTF Guotai Junan International Holdings Ltd GUOTF
79 GF Score
Price $0.33
GF Value $0.30
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Guotai Junan International Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Guotai Junan International Holdings GUOTF 79 Beneish M-Score is -1.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates GUOTF with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.30. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 702 Capital Markets companies, Guotai Junan International Holdings ranks worse than 63.96% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.77 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guotai Junan International Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GUOTF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3   Med: -1.97   Max: 21.15
Current: -1.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guotai Junan International Holdings was 21.15. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -1.97.


Guotai Junan International Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Guotai Junan International Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guotai Junan International Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Guotai Junan International Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -3.00 -2.16 -2.16 -1.77

Guotai Junan International Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.16 0.00 -2.16 0.00 -1.77

GUOTF vs MS, GS, SCHW: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Guotai Junan International Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guotai Junan International Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Guotai Junan International Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guotai Junan International Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


GUOTF
79GF Score
Guotai Junan International Holdings Ltd GUOTF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Guotai Junan International Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guotai Junan International Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0158+0.528 * 0.9793+0.404 * 1.121+0.892 * 1.4077+0.115 * 1.0159
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.062727-0.327 * 1.0147
=-1.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $5,344.3 Mil.
Revenue was $800.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was $642.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $18,628.9 Mil.
Total Assets was $19,728.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $53.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $16,315.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,342.1 Mil.
Net Income was $172.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $-1,064.6 Mil.
Total Receivables was $3,737.6 Mil.
Revenue was $568.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was $446.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15,895.4 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,746.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $58.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $10.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13,854.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $917.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5344.339 / 800.69) / (3737.59 / 568.813)
=6.674667 / 6.570859
=1.0158

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(446.73 / 568.813) / (642.12 / 800.69)
=0.785372 / 0.801958
=0.9793

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18628.907 + 53.491) / 19728.082) / (1 - (15895.429 + 58.74) / 16745.973)
=0.053005 / 0.047283
=1.121

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=800.69 / 568.813
=1.4077

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(10.552 / (10.552 + 58.74)) / (9.432 / (9.432 + 53.491))
=0.152283 / 0.149897
=1.0159

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 800.69) / (0 / 568.813)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1342.146 + 16315.787) / 19728.082) / ((917.809 + 13853.983) / 16745.973)
=0.895066 / 0.88211
=1.0147

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(172.907 - 0 - -1064.582) / 19728.082
=0.062727

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guotai Junan International Holdings has a M-score of -1.77 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.77 mean?
Guotai Junan International Holdings (GUOTF) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guotai Junan International Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Guotai Junan International Holdings ranks #449 out of 702 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 64%.
Is Guotai Junan International Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Guotai Junan International Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -1.77. Based on the distribution chart, Guotai Junan International Holdings ranks #449 out of 702 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Guotai Junan International Holdings has a GF Score™ of 79/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guotai Junan International Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Guotai Junan International Holdings ranks #449 out of 702 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Guotai Junan International Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Capital Markets company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guotai Junan International Holdings and its competitors. Guotai Junan International Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -1.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guotai Junan International Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Guotai Junan International Holdings (GUOTF) has a current Beneish M-Score of -1.77. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.30, compared to a current price of $0.33 — trading 10% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.77. Guotai Junan International Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guotai Junan International Holdings (GUOTF), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Guotai Junan International Holdings (GUOTF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guotai Junan International Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $0.33 is trading 10% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.30.

Key valuation signals for GUOTF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.77
  • GF Value™: $0.30 vs. price of $0.33 (10% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the GUOTF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Guotai Junan International Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 01788:Hong Kong
Address No. 181 Queen’s Road Central, 27th Floor, Low Block, Grand Millennium Plaza, Hong Kong, HKG
Guotai Junan International Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company engaged in a range of financial services. Its operating segments comprise Wealth Management, which provides brokerage, margin financing, and related services to individuals, SMEs, and family offices; Institutional Investor Services, which include market making, structured products, and financing solutions for corporations and financial institutions; Corporate Finance Services, which offer advisory, placing, and underwriting services for debt and equity securities; Investment Management, which provides asset and fund management along with investments in financial instruments; and Others, which mainly includes rental income and information channel services. The Company derives the majority of its revenue from Hong Kong.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GUOTF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.33
Price
$0.30
GF Value