Amcor (HAM:4850) Beneish M-Score: -1.73 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


HAM:4850 Amcor PLC HAM:4850
78 GF Score
Price €35.40
GF Value €42.02
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Amcor Beneish M-Score?

Amcor HAM:4850 +2.31% 78 Beneish M-Score is -1.73 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates HAM:4850 with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of €42.02 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 372 Packaging & Containers companies, Amcor ranks worse than 83.6% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.73 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amcor's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HAM:4850' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.8   Med: -2.52   Max: 0.54
Current: -1.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Amcor was 0.54. The lowest was -2.80. And the median was -2.52.


Amcor Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Amcor's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Amcor Beneish M-Score Chart

Amcor Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.55 -2.52 -2.68 -1.60

Amcor Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -1.60 -1.77 -1.78 -1.73

HAM:4850 vs IP, PKG, BALL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Amcor's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amcor Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Amcor's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amcor's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HAM:4850
78GF Score
Amcor PLC HAM:4850
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Amcor Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Amcor for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0922+0.528 * 1.045+0.404 * 1.3027+0.892 * 1.5276+0.115 * 0.793
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1212+4.679 * -0.013184-0.327 * 0.8427
=-1.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,039 Mil.
Revenue was 5115.61 + 4653.446 + 4894.74 + 4406.094 = €19,070 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1029.35 + 887.306 + 957.648 + 775.965 = €3,650 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,501 Mil.
Total Assets was €32,508 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €7,307 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,235 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,522 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €5,892 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €13,886 Mil.
Net Income was 240.47 + 151.158 + 223.224 + -33.813 = €581 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -57.955 + -99.918 + -63.048 + -212.415 = €-433 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 160.89 + 429.562 + -113.316 + 965.838 = €1,443 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,821 Mil.
Revenue was 3083.025 + 3095.155 + 3021.053 + 3284.015 = €12,483 Mil.
Gross Profit was 604.95 + 597.83 + 593.759 + 700.466 = €2,497 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,199 Mil.
Total Assets was €16,689 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,908 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €506 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €889 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,645 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,404 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3038.745 / 19069.89) / (1821.325 / 12483.248)
=0.159348 / 0.145902
=1.0922

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2497.005 / 12483.248) / (3650.269 / 19069.89)
=0.200028 / 0.191415
=1.045

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8501.22 + 7306.655) / 32508.43) / (1 - (6199.35 + 3908.125) / 16688.85)
=0.51373 / 0.394358
=1.3027

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19069.89 / 12483.248
=1.5276

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(506.034 / (506.034 + 3908.125)) / (1234.816 / (1234.816 + 7306.655))
=0.114639 / 0.144567
=0.793

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1522.236 / 19069.89) / (888.749 / 12483.248)
=0.079824 / 0.071195
=1.1212

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13885.845 + 5892.38) / 32508.43) / ((8403.625 + 3644.5) / 16688.85)
=0.608403 / 0.721927
=0.8427

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(581.039 - -433.336 - 1442.974) / 32508.43
=-0.013184

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Amcor has a M-score of -1.83 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.73 mean?
Amcor (HAM:4850) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.73 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Amcor and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Amcor ranks #311 out of 372 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 83.6%.
Is Amcor's Beneish M-Score too high?
Amcor's current Beneish M-Score is -1.73. Based on the distribution chart, Amcor ranks #311 out of 372 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Amcor has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Amcor's Beneish M-Score compare to IP and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Amcor ranks #311 out of 372 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Amcor in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Amcor and its competitors. Amcor's current Beneish M-Score is -1.73. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Amcor stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Amcor (HAM:4850) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €42.02, compared to a current price of €35.40 — trading 15.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.73. Amcor's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Amcor (HAM:4850), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.73 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Amcor (HAM:4850) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Amcor stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €35.40 is trading 15.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €42.02. GuruFocus considers Amcor to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HAM:4850:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.73
  • GF Value™: €42.02 vs. price of €35.40 (15.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:4850 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Amcor Business Description

Address 83 Tower Road North, Warmley, Bristol, GBR, BS30 8XP
Amcor is a global producer of plastic packaging primarily for the fast-moving consumer goods industry. About 90% of earnings are exposed to the flexible packaging business. This is soft disposable plastic for a variety of food, drink, healthcare, and hygiene products. The remainder of earnings are from the Latin and North American rigids business, which is primarily beverage bottling for the soft drink industry. Operating in more than 35 countries, Amcor has market share in its established regions of North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. About half of group sales are derived from North America and the remainder is split equally between Western Europe and emerging markets. Australia and New Zealand sales make up less than 5% of group sales.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:4850

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€35.40
Price
€42.02
GF Value