China Education Group Holdings (HKSE:00839) Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (As of Jul. 24, 2026)

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HKSE:00839 China Education Group Holdings Ltd HKSE:00839
82 GF Score
Price HK$1.87
GF Value HK$4.93
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is China Education Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

China Education Group Holdings HKSE:00839 +1.08% 82 Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:00839 with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$4.93 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 238 Education companies, China Education Group Holdings ranks better than 67.23% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Education Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00839' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.59   Max: -0.62
Current: -2.82

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Education Group Holdings was -0.62. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.59.


China Education Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Education Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Education Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

China Education Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.99 -2.86 -2.78 -2.61 -2.82

China Education Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.61 0.00 -2.82 0.00

HKSE:00839 vs EDU, TAL, LAUR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, China Education Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Education Group Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Education Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Education Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:00839
82GF Score
China Education Group Holdings Ltd HKSE:00839
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Education Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Education Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0023+0.528 * 1.0388+0.404 * 0.7338+0.892 * 1.1195+0.115 * 0.8769
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0537+4.679 * -0.07388-0.327 * 0.9864
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug25) TTM:Last Year (Aug24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$945 Mil.
Revenue was HK$8,034 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$4,284 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$8,622 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$42,946 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$28,913 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,181 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,486 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$11,264 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$8,635 Mil.
Net Income was HK$1,066 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$4,239 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$842 Mil.
Revenue was HK$7,176 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$3,975 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$8,469 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$42,347 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$26,606 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$948 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,260 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$11,331 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$8,561 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(944.877 / 8033.633) / (842.066 / 7176.104)
=0.117615 / 0.117343
=1.0023

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3974.726 / 7176.104) / (4283.586 / 8033.633)
=0.553884 / 0.533207
=1.0388

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8621.726 + 28912.568) / 42946.057) / (1 - (8468.653 + 26605.794) / 42346.537)
=0.126013 / 0.171728
=0.7338

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8033.633 / 7176.104
=1.1195

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(947.87 / (947.87 + 26605.794)) / (1180.55 / (1180.55 + 28912.568))
=0.034401 / 0.03923
=0.8769

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1486.053 / 8033.633) / (1259.827 / 7176.104)
=0.184979 / 0.175559
=1.0537

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8634.819 + 11264.325) / 42946.057) / ((8561.367 + 11330.805) / 42346.537)
=0.463352 / 0.469747
=0.9864

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1065.987 - 0 - 4238.851) / 42946.057
=-0.07388

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Education Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 mean?
China Education Group Holdings (HKSE:00839) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 as of Jul. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Education Group Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Education Group Holdings ranks #78 out of 238 companies in the Education industry, placing it in the top 32.8%.
Is China Education Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
China Education Group Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Based on the distribution chart, China Education Group Holdings ranks #78 out of 238 companies in the Education industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, China Education Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Education Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to EDU and TAL?
According to the Education industry distribution chart, China Education Group Holdings ranks #78 out of 238 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts China Education Group Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Education company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Education industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Education Group Holdings and its competitors. China Education Group Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Education Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Education Group Holdings (HKSE:00839) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$4.93, compared to a current price of HK$1.87 — trading 62.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. China Education Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Education Group Holdings (HKSE:00839), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Education Group Holdings (HKSE:00839) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Education Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$1.87 is trading 62.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$4.93. GuruFocus considers China Education Group Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:00839:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.82
  • GF Value™: HK$4.93 vs. price of HK$1.87 (62.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:00839 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Education Group Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges C3W:Germany
Address 4 4A Des Voeux Road Central, Room NO 1202, 12TH Floor, Standard Chartered Bank Building, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
China Education Group Holdings Ltd is a ultra-large-scale private education group in China with 30 years of experience in higher education operations. CEG's schools offer both higher vocational education and secondary vocational education. The school network spans domestic China and overseas. CEG's full-time student enrollment was about 270,000 as of August 2024.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:00839

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$1.87
Price
HK$4.93
GF Value