China Nonferrous Mining (HKSE:01258) Beneish M-Score: -2.68 (As of Sep. 11, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HKSE:01258 China Nonferrous Mining Corp Ltd HKSE:01258
80 GF Score
Price HK$16.50
GF Value HK$6.82
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is China Nonferrous Mining Beneish M-Score?

China Nonferrous Mining HKSE:01258 -4.51% 80 Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01258 with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$6.82 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 686 Metals & Mining companies, China Nonferrous Mining ranks better than 72.45% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Nonferrous Mining's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01258' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.14   Med: -2.62   Max: -1.42
Current: -2.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Nonferrous Mining was -1.42. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.62.


China Nonferrous Mining Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Nonferrous Mining's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Nonferrous Mining Beneish M-Score Chart

China Nonferrous Mining Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.42 -3.09 -3.14 -2.50 -2.68

China Nonferrous Mining Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.50 0.00 -2.68 0.00

HKSE:01258 vs SCCO, FCX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Copper subindustry, China Nonferrous Mining's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Nonferrous Mining Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, China Nonferrous Mining's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Nonferrous Mining's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:01258
80GF Score
China Nonferrous Mining Corp Ltd HKSE:01258
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Nonferrous Mining Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Nonferrous Mining for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.6713+0.528 * 0.8848+0.404 * 0.8805+0.892 * 0.897+0.115 * 1.1606
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5279+4.679 * -0.111246-0.327 * 1.0603
=-2.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$3,573 Mil.
Revenue was HK$26,611 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$8,267 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$22,294 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$37,373 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$13,495 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,391 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$2,143 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$8,008 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$443 Mil.
Net Income was HK$3,146 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$7,304 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$2,383 Mil.
Revenue was HK$29,667 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$8,155 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$18,444 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$32,294 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$12,295 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,496 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,564 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$6,692 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$195 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3572.725 / 26610.795) / (2383.153 / 29666.963)
=0.134258 / 0.08033
=1.6713

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8155.439 / 29666.963) / (8267.396 / 26610.795)
=0.2749 / 0.310678
=0.8848

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (22293.984 + 13494.592) / 37373.213) / (1 - (18443.853 + 12294.853) / 32293.867)
=0.0424 / 0.048157
=0.8805

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=26610.795 / 29666.963
=0.897

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1496.037 / (1496.037 + 12294.853)) / (1391.394 / (1391.394 + 13494.592))
=0.10848 / 0.09347
=1.1606

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2143.112 / 26610.795) / (1563.767 / 29666.963)
=0.080535 / 0.052711
=1.5279

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((442.743 + 8007.556) / 37373.213) / ((194.957 + 6691.879) / 32293.867)
=0.226106 / 0.213255
=1.0603

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3145.863 - 0 - 7303.502) / 37373.213
=-0.111246

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Nonferrous Mining has a M-score of -2.68 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 mean?
China Nonferrous Mining (HKSE:01258) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 as of Sep. 11, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Nonferrous Mining and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Nonferrous Mining ranks #189 out of 686 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 27.6%.
Is China Nonferrous Mining's Beneish M-Score too high?
China Nonferrous Mining's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Based on the distribution chart, China Nonferrous Mining ranks #189 out of 686 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, China Nonferrous Mining has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Nonferrous Mining's Beneish M-Score compare to SCCO and FCX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, China Nonferrous Mining ranks #189 out of 686 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts China Nonferrous Mining in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Nonferrous Mining and its competitors. China Nonferrous Mining's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Nonferrous Mining stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Nonferrous Mining (HKSE:01258) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$6.82, compared to a current price of HK$16.50 — trading 141.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. China Nonferrous Mining's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Nonferrous Mining (HKSE:01258), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Nonferrous Mining (HKSE:01258) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Nonferrous Mining stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$16.50 is trading 141.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$6.82. GuruFocus considers China Nonferrous Mining to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01258:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.68
  • GF Value™: HK$6.82 vs. price of HK$16.50 (141.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01258 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Nonferrous Mining Business Description

Other Exchanges 3N4:Germany
Address 32 Enos Chomba Road, Kitwe, ZMB
China Nonferrous Mining Corp Ltd is a Company with its subsidiaries are principally engaged in exploration, mining, ore processing, leaching, smelting of copper and cobalt, and sale of copper cathodes, blister copper and copper anodes, copper-cobalt alloy, cobaltous hydroxide and sulfuric acid. Its operating segments are Leaching and Smelting. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Smelting segment. The smelting segment includes the production and sale of blister and copper anodes. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Mainland China.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01258

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$16.50
Price
HK$6.82
GF Value