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China New Town Development Co (HKSE:01278) Beneish M-Score : -2.46 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is China New Town Development Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China New Town Development Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01278' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.27   Med: -2.46   Max: 19.25
Current: -2.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China New Town Development Co was 19.25. The lowest was -7.27. And the median was -2.46.


China New Town Development Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China New Town Development Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China New Town Development Co Beneish M-Score Chart

China New Town Development Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.27 -2.46 -2.68 -2.67 -2.46

China New Town Development Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 - -2.67 - -2.46

Competitive Comparison of China New Town Development Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, China New Town Development Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China New Town Development Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, China New Town Development Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China New Town Development Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China New Town Development Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China New Town Development Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0463+0.528 * 0.9595+0.404 * 0.9171+0.892 * 0.9841+0.115 * 1.4836
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9673+4.679 * 0.02042-0.327 * 1.3357
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$747.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$177.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$135.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$5,246.3 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,618.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$41.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$15.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$124.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,136.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2,208.7 Mil.
Net Income was HK$154.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-21.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$726.3 Mil.
Revenue was HK$180.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$132.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$4,230.6 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$7,351.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$23.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$16.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$130.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,457.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$678.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(747.871 / 177.932) / (726.307 / 180.806)
=4.203128 / 4.017051
=1.0463

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(132.489 / 180.806) / (135.886 / 177.932)
=0.732769 / 0.763696
=0.9595

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5246.266 + 41.373) / 8618.283) / (1 - (4230.64 + 23.29) / 7351.949)
=0.386463 / 0.421387
=0.9171

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=177.932 / 180.806
=0.9841

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16.001 / (16.001 + 23.29)) / (15.653 / (15.653 + 41.373))
=0.407243 / 0.274489
=1.4836

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(124.027 / 177.932) / (130.29 / 180.806)
=0.697047 / 0.720607
=0.9673

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2208.727 + 1135.973) / 8618.283) / ((678.781 + 1457.375) / 7351.949)
=0.388094 / 0.290556
=1.3357

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(154.068 - 0 - -21.919) / 8618.283
=0.02042

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China New Town Development Co has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China New Town Development Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China New Town Development Co (HKSE:01278) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Austin Road West, 8203B-04A International Commerce Centre, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
China New Town Development Co Ltd is engaged in the real estate business. The company is a new town developer in Mainland China and has been engaged in the investment and operation of new types of urbanization and primary land development. The operating segments of the company are the Land development segment which provides land infrastructure development, and construction of ancillary public facilities; the Urbanization development segment which is responsible for investments in new town projects; Property leasing segment which provides property leasing services of investment property; and Others segment which includes the provision of other services. It derives major revenue from the Urbanization development segment.
Executives
Xitong International Holdings (hk) Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
China Development Bank International Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Guo Kai Jin Rong You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guo Jia Kai Fa Yin Xing Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wu Xi Shi Jiao Tong Chan Ye Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiasheng (holding) Investment Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiashun (holding) Investment Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiaxin Investment (shanghai) Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Guo Min Sheng Tou Zi Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Min Jia Ye Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sre Investment Holding Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Jia Yun Investment Limited 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Shi Jian 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jia Bo Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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