China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co (HKSE:01606) Beneish M-Score: -2.53 (As of Jul. 04, 2026)


HKSE:01606 China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Ltd HKSE:01606
81 GF Score
Price HK$1.50
GF Value HK$1.40
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Beneish M-Score?

China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co HKSE:01606 +1.35% 81 Beneish M-Score is -2.53 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01606 with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$1.40 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,021 Business Services companies, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co ranks worse than 52.5% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01606' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.24   Med: -2.63   Max: -2.25
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co was -2.25. The lowest was -3.24. And the median was -2.63.


China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Beneish M-Score Chart

China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.69 -3.24 -2.42 -2.53

China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.24 0.00 -2.42 0.00 -2.53

HKSE:01606 vs URI, SUNB, AER: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:01606
81GF Score
China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Ltd HKSE:01606
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0598+0.528 * 0.9998+0.404 * 1.211+0.892 * 1.0012+0.115 * 0.9211
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8694+4.679 * -0.042895-0.327 * 0.9975
=-2.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$230,907 Mil.
Revenue was HK$27,188 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$27,143 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$322,383 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$478,867 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$149,271 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$8,556 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$15 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$313,257 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$97,201 Mil.
Net Income was HK$5,557 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$26,098 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$217,616 Mil.
Revenue was HK$27,156 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$27,106 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$283,664 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$433,315 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$144,261 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$7,583 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$17 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$248,668 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$123,689 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(230907.343 / 27188) / (217616.008 / 27156.298)
=8.492987 / 8.013464
=1.0598

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(27105.888 / 27156.298) / (27143.06 / 27188)
=0.998144 / 0.998347
=0.9998

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (322382.726 + 149271.206) / 478866.849) / (1 - (283664.487 + 144261.2) / 433315.06)
=0.015062 / 0.012438
=1.211

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27188 / 27156.298
=1.0012

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7582.922 / (7582.922 + 144261.2)) / (8556.395 / (8556.395 + 149271.206))
=0.049939 / 0.054214
=0.9211

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14.646 / 27188) / (16.824 / 27156.298)
=0.000539 / 0.00062
=0.8694

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((97200.759 + 313257.4) / 478866.849) / ((123689.393 + 248667.976) / 433315.06)
=0.857145 / 0.859322
=0.9975

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5557.074 - 0 - 26097.983) / 478866.849
=-0.042895

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co has a M-score of -2.53 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.53 mean?
China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co (HKSE:01606) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.53 as of Jul. 04, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co ranks #536 out of 1021 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 52.5%.
Is China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. Based on the distribution chart, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co ranks #536 out of 1021 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's Beneish M-Score compare to URI and SUNB?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co ranks #536 out of 1021 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co and its competitors. China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co (HKSE:01606) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$1.40, compared to a current price of HK$1.50 — trading 7.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co (HKSE:01606), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.53 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co (HKSE:01606) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$1.50 is trading 7.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$1.40. GuruFocus considers China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01606:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.53
  • GF Value™: HK$1.40 vs. price of HK$1.50 (7.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01606 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 2C6:Germany
Address No. 2003 Fuzhong Third Road, CDB Financial Center, Futian District, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, CHN, 518038
China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co Ltd is engaged in providing financial and operating leasing services to customers in industries such as aviation, infrastructure, shipping, commercial vehicles, and construction machinery. The Group's operating business segments are: Aircraft leasing, Ship leasing, Energy leasing, High-end equipment leasing, Inclusive finance, and Others. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Airtcraft leasing segment, which is mainly engaged in the acquisition, leasing, management and disposal of commercial aircraft. The Group generates maximum revenue from the provision of operating leases.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01606

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$1.50
Price
HK$1.40
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