Bitfire Group Holdings (HKSE:01611) Beneish M-Score: 3.10 (As of Aug. 13, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HKSE:01611 Bitfire Group Holdings Ltd HKSE:01611
75 GF Score
Price HK$1.96
GF Value HK$3.42
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Bitfire Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Bitfire Group Holdings HKSE:01611 +3.70% 75 Beneish M-Score is 3.10 as of Aug. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01611 with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$3.42 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 705 Capital Markets companies, Bitfire Group Holdings ranks worse than 90.35% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 3.1 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bitfire Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01611' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.73   Med: -2.27   Max: 42.39
Current: 3.1

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Bitfire Group Holdings was 42.39. The lowest was -3.73. And the median was -2.27.


Bitfire Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Bitfire Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Bitfire Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Bitfire Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.06 42.39 -3.06 20.29 3.10

Bitfire Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 20.29 0.00 3.10 0.00

HKSE:01611 vs MS, GS, SCHW: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Bitfire Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bitfire Group Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Bitfire Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bitfire Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:01611
75GF Score
Bitfire Group Holdings Ltd HKSE:01611
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Bitfire Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Bitfire Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.2603+0.528 * 5.1235+0.404 * 1.2649+0.892 * 5.5185+0.115 * 0.3538
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.2113+4.679 * -0.019533-0.327 * 1.0764
=3.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$115 Mil.
Revenue was HK$8,661 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$48 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,246 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,317 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$124 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$551 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$17 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$80 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,569 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$44 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$438 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$461 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$106 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$177 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(114.955 / 8660.594) / (80.024 / 1569.387)
=0.013273 / 0.050991
=0.2603

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(44.224 / 1569.387) / (47.635 / 8660.594)
=0.028179 / 0.0055
=5.1235

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1246.151 + 5.352) / 1316.724) / (1 - (437.917 + 5.1) / 461.073)
=0.049533 / 0.039161
=1.2649

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8660.594 / 1569.387
=5.5185

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1.055 / (1.055 + 5.1)) / (5.029 / (5.029 + 5.352))
=0.171405 / 0.484443
=0.3538

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(123.839 / 8660.594) / (106.196 / 1569.387)
=0.014299 / 0.067667
=0.2113

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.178 + 550.568) / 1316.724) / ((2.148 + 177.016) / 461.073)
=0.41827 / 0.388581
=1.0764

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-9.212 - 0 - 16.508) / 1316.724
=-0.019533

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Bitfire Group Holdings has a M-score of 3.10 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 3.10 mean?
Bitfire Group Holdings (HKSE:01611) has a Beneish M-Score of 3.10 as of Aug. 13, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Bitfire Group Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Bitfire Group Holdings ranks #637 out of 705 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 90.4%.
Is Bitfire Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Bitfire Group Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is 3.10. Based on the distribution chart, Bitfire Group Holdings ranks #637 out of 705 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Bitfire Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bitfire Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Bitfire Group Holdings ranks #637 out of 705 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Bitfire Group Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Capital Markets company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Bitfire Group Holdings and its competitors. Bitfire Group Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is 3.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bitfire Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bitfire Group Holdings (HKSE:01611) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$3.42, compared to a current price of HK$1.96 — trading 42.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 3.10. Bitfire Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bitfire Group Holdings (HKSE:01611), the current Beneish M-Score is 3.10 as of Aug. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bitfire Group Holdings (HKSE:01611) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bitfire Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$1.96 is trading 42.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$3.42. GuruFocus considers Bitfire Group Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01611:

  • Beneish M-Score: 3.10
  • GF Value™: HK$3.42 vs. price of HK$1.96 (42.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01611 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bitfire Group Holdings Business Description

Address 183 Queen’s Road Central, Room 4201-5, 42nd Floor, COSCO Tower, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Bitfire Group Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in the provision of technology solution services, a varieties of services in virtual asset ecosystem, such as asset management, trust and custodian business, crypto asset trading and operate a crypto asset exchange in Japan. The company has two reportable and operating segments: (i) Operation of crypto asset exchange in Japan (Blockchain Platform Business); and (ii) Virtual asset ecosystem other than Blockchain Platform Business (Other Virtual Asset Ecosystem Business). The majority of revenue is derived from the Blockchain Platform Business segment.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01611

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$1.96
Price
HK$3.42
GF Value