Pengo Holdings Group (HKSE:01865) Beneish M-Score: -2.52 (As of Aug. 18, 2026)

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HKSE:01865 Pengo Holdings Group Ltd HKSE:01865
32 GF Score
Price HK$0.41
GF Value HK$0.11
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Pengo Holdings Group Beneish M-Score?

Pengo Holdings Group HKSE:01865 +2.50% 32 Beneish M-Score is -2.52 as of Aug. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01865 with a GF Score™ of 32/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.11 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,707 Construction companies, Pengo Holdings Group ranks better than 54.13% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pengo Holdings Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01865' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.37   Med: -2.46   Max: 0.31
Current: -2.52

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pengo Holdings Group was 0.31. The lowest was -3.37. And the median was -2.46.


Pengo Holdings Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Pengo Holdings Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Pengo Holdings Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Pengo Holdings Group Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.31 -2.14 -2.46 -2.54 -2.52

Pengo Holdings Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 0.00 -2.54 0.00 -2.52

HKSE:01865 vs PWR, FIX, EME: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Pengo Holdings Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pengo Holdings Group Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Pengo Holdings Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pengo Holdings Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:01865
32GF Score
Pengo Holdings Group Ltd HKSE:01865
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Pengo Holdings Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pengo Holdings Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8765+0.528 * 1.451+0.404 * 0.7894+0.892 * 1.3775+0.115 * 1.2156
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.4983+4.679 * -0.10524-0.327 * 1.1183
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$452.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$473.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$52.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$830.8 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$998.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$111.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$10.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$93.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$380.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$18.2 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-35.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$69.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$375.1 Mil.
Revenue was HK$343.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$54.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$586.9 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$747.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$107.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$12.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$136.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$237.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$28.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(452.861 / 473.547) / (375.092 / 343.782)
=0.956317 / 1.091075
=0.8765

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(54.729 / 343.782) / (51.954 / 473.547)
=0.159197 / 0.109712
=1.451

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (830.83 + 111.75) / 998.333) / (1 - (586.946 + 107.292) / 747.093)
=0.055846 / 0.070748
=0.7894

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=473.547 / 343.782
=1.3775

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(12.489 / (12.489 + 107.292)) / (10.484 / (10.484 + 111.75))
=0.104265 / 0.08577
=1.2156

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(93.621 / 473.547) / (136.391 / 343.782)
=0.197702 / 0.396737
=0.4983

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18.179 + 380.526) / 998.333) / ((28.872 + 237.921) / 747.093)
=0.399371 / 0.357108
=1.1183

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-35.128 - 0 - 69.937) / 998.333
=-0.10524

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pengo Holdings Group has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 mean?
Pengo Holdings Group (HKSE:01865) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 as of Aug. 18, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Pengo Holdings Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Pengo Holdings Group ranks #783 out of 1707 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 45.9%.
Is Pengo Holdings Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Pengo Holdings Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. Based on the distribution chart, Pengo Holdings Group ranks #783 out of 1707 companies in the Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Pengo Holdings Group has a GF Score™ of 32/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Pengo Holdings Group's Beneish M-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Pengo Holdings Group ranks #783 out of 1707 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Pengo Holdings Group in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Pengo Holdings Group and its competitors. Pengo Holdings Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Pengo Holdings Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pengo Holdings Group (HKSE:01865) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.11, compared to a current price of HK$0.41 — trading 272.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. Pengo Holdings Group's overall GF Score™ is 32/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Pengo Holdings Group (HKSE:01865), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.52 as of Aug. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Pengo Holdings Group (HKSE:01865) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pengo Holdings Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$0.41 is trading 272.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.11. GuruFocus considers Pengo Holdings Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01865:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.52
  • GF Value™: HK$0.11 vs. price of HK$0.41 (272.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 32/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01865 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Pengo Holdings Group Business Description

Address 221 Wai Yip Street, Mai Tak Industrial Building, Room 39, 10th Floor, Block D, Kwun Tong, Kowloon, HKG, 758110
Pengo Holdings Group Ltd is an investment holding company. It is engaged in the provision of infrastructural pipeline construction and related engineering services mainly to private and public utilities companies in the gas, water, telecommunications, and power industries, trading of building materials, brokerage, placing and margin financing services. The company's operating segment includes Construction services, Brokerage, placing and margin financing services; and Trading of building materials. It generates maximum revenue from the Construction contracts segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Singapore.
32GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01865

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.41
Price
HK$0.11
GF Value