Kafelaku Coffee Holding (HKSE:01869) Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (As of Aug. 19, 2026)

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What is Kafelaku Coffee Holding Beneish M-Score?

Kafelaku Coffee Holding HKSE:01869 -1.96% Beneish M-Score is -3.09 as of Aug. 19, 2026. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 358 Restaurants companies, Kafelaku Coffee Holding ranks better than 72.63% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.09 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kafelaku Coffee Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01869' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.69   Med: -3.12   Max: 11.67
Current: -3.09

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kafelaku Coffee Holding was 11.67. The lowest was -6.69. And the median was -3.12.

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kafelaku Coffee Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.69 -4.87 -2.25 -5.02 -3.09

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.25 0.00 -5.02 0.00 -3.09

HKSE:01869 vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Kafelaku Coffee Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kafelaku Coffee Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kafelaku Coffee Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.


Kafelaku Coffee Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kafelaku Coffee Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9293+0.528 * 1.0261+0.404 * 0.5686+0.892 * 0.7602+0.115 * 1.0893
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1344+4.679 * -0.020429-0.327 * 1.1822
=-3.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$12.3 Mil.
Revenue was HK$106.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$61.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$24.0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$62.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$34.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$17.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$4.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$111.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$13.9 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-4.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-3.4 Mil.
 Total Receivables was HK$17.4 Mil.
Revenue was HK$139.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$83.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$39.7 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$87.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$38.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$22.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$4.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$114.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$35.0 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(12.293 / 106.136) / (17.401 / 139.62)
=0.115823 / 0.124631
=0.9293

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(83.614 / 139.62) / (61.947 / 106.136)
=0.598868 / 0.583657
=1.0261

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (24.027 + 34.553) / 62.265) / (1 - (39.703 + 38.8) / 87.624)
=0.059183 / 0.104092
=0.5686

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=106.136 / 139.62
=0.7602

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(22.909 / (22.909 + 38.8)) / (17.865 / (17.865 + 34.553))
=0.371242 / 0.340818
=1.0893

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4.123 / 106.136) / (4.781 / 139.62)
=0.038846 / 0.034243
=1.1344

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13.91 + 111.488) / 62.265) / ((34.963 + 114.304) / 87.624)
=2.01394 / 1.703494
=1.1822

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-4.685 - 0 - -3.413) / 62.265
=-0.020429

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kafelaku Coffee Holding has a M-score of -3.09 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.09 mean?
Kafelaku Coffee Holding (HKSE:01869) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.09 as of Aug. 19, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kafelaku Coffee Holding and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kafelaku Coffee Holding ranks #98 out of 358 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 27.4%.
Is Kafelaku Coffee Holding's Beneish M-Score too high?
Kafelaku Coffee Holding's current Beneish M-Score is -3.09. Based on the distribution chart, Kafelaku Coffee Holding ranks #98 out of 358 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint.
How does Kafelaku Coffee Holding's Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Kafelaku Coffee Holding ranks #98 out of 358 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Kafelaku Coffee Holding in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kafelaku Coffee Holding and its competitors. Kafelaku Coffee Holding's current Beneish M-Score is -3.09. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kafelaku Coffee Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kafelaku Coffee Holding (HKSE:01869) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.08, compared to a current price of HK$0.05 — trading 37.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.09. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kafelaku Coffee Holding (HKSE:01869), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.09 as of Aug. 19, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Business Description

Address 28 Canton Road, Room 305, 3/Floor Lippo Sun Plaza, Kowloon, HKG
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, it is principally engaged in providing food and beverage services in Hong Kong and the PRC, including Chinese catering services and coffee services. The group operates franchised coffee shops under the brand name Kafelaku Coffee and full-service Chinese restaurants. Its reportable operating segments are Food catering and Beverage. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Food catering segment, which represents restaurant operations delivering Cantonese cuisine, Chinese banquets, and dining services. The Beverage segment represents the group's coffee operations. Geographically, it derives maximum revenue from the People's Republic of China (PRC).