Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKSE:01929) Beneish M-Score: -2.01 (As of Sep. 20, 2026)

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HKSE:01929 Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd HKSE:01929
94 GF Score
Price HK$11.05
GF Value HK$11.08
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score?

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group HKSE:01929 +0.18% 94 Beneish M-Score is -2.01 as of Sep. 20, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01929 with a GF Score™ of 94/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$11.08 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,092 Retail - Cyclical companies, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group ranks worse than 79.95% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.01 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01929' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.31   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.01
Current: -2.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group was -2.01. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.62.


Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 -2.53 -2.59 -2.69 -1.70

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -2.22 -2.68 -2.33 -1.70

HKSE:01929 vs TPR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:01929
94GF Score
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd HKSE:01929
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0354+0.528 * 0.9126+0.404 * 0.9665+0.892 * 1.0529+0.115 * 1.0636
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9386+4.679 * 0.092986-0.327 * 1.0079
=-2.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$4,659 Mil.
Revenue was HK$94,398 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$30,500 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$76,637 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$85,855 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$4,811 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,765 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$12,343 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$45,538 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$9,426 Mil.
Net Income was HK$9,002 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$ Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,018 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$4,274 Mil.
Revenue was HK$89,656 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$26,437 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$67,274 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$76,524 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$5,187 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$2,072 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$12,490 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$48,128 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$479 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4659.4 / 94398.4) / (4274.1 / 89656)
=0.049359 / 0.047672
=1.0354

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(26436.7 / 89656) / (30500.4 / 94398.4)
=0.294868 / 0.323103
=0.9126

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (76637.3 + 4810.8) / 85854.5) / (1 - (67273.7 + 5187) / 76524.4)
=0.051324 / 0.053103
=0.9665

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=94398.4 / 89656
=1.0529

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2072.4 / (2072.4 + 5187)) / (1764.9 / (1764.9 + 4810.8))
=0.285478 / 0.268397
=1.0636

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(12343.1 / 94398.4) / (12489.6 / 89656)
=0.130755 / 0.139306
=0.9386

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9425.5 + 45538.2) / 85854.5) / ((479 + 48128.1) / 76524.4)
=0.640196 / 0.635184
=1.0079

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9001.6 - 0 - 1018.3) / 85854.5
=0.092986

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has a M-score of -2.01 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.01 mean?
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKSE:01929) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.01 as of Sep. 20, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group ranks #873 out of 1092 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 79.9%.
Is Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.01. Based on the distribution chart, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group ranks #873 out of 1092 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has a GF Score™ of 94/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score compare to TPR?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group ranks #873 out of 1092 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group and its competitors. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.01. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKSE:01929) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$11.08, compared to a current price of HK$11.05 — trading 0.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.01. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's overall GF Score™ is 94/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKSE:01929), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.01 as of Sep. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKSE:01929) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$11.05 is trading 0.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$11.08. GuruFocus considers Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01929:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.01
  • GF Value™: HK$11.08 vs. price of HK$11.05 (0.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 94/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01929 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Business Description

Address 16 - 18 Queen\'s Road Central, 33rd Floor, New World Tower, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd core business is the manufacturing and selling of high-end luxury, mass luxury, and youth line jewellery products, and the distribution of watches of various brands. Its brand portfolio includes Chow Tai Fook, Hearts On Fire, Enzo and Monologue, offering a wide multiple products and an expanding range of IP collaborations. The Group's offerings include high jewellery collections and Chow Tai Fook Home, a luxury home decor category. Geographically, the Group operates through Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and other markets, with Mainland China contributing the majority of revenue.
94GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01929

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$11.05
Price
HK$11.08
GF Value