Kaisa Prosperity Holdings (HKSE:02168) Beneish M-Score: -2.29 (As of Jun. 30, 2026)


HKSE:02168 Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd HKSE:02168
79 GF Score
Price HK$0.90
GF Value HK$1.61
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings HKSE:02168 -4.26% 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.29 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:02168 with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$1.61 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,684 Real Estate companies, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings ranks worse than 54.75% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.29 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02168' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.61   Med: -1.98   Max: 0.77
Current: -2.29

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings was 0.77. The lowest was -4.61. And the median was -1.98.

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.77 -1.79 -4.18 -2.24 -2.29

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.18 0.00 -2.24 0.00 -2.29

HKSE:02168 vs CBRE, BEKE, JLL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:02168
79GF Score
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd HKSE:02168
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1474+0.528 * 1.0987+0.404 * 0.9815+0.892 * 0.9609+0.115 * 1.0814
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9998+4.679 * 0.006717-0.327 * 0.9905
=-2.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$870 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,780 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$415 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,117 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$2,027 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$194 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$30 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$187 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$945 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1 Mil.
Net Income was HK$15 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1 Mil.
 Total Receivables was HK$789 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,853 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$475 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,056 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,956 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$196 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$33 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$194 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$921 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(869.877 / 1780.329) / (789.014 / 1852.867)
=0.488605 / 0.425834
=1.1474

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(474.565 / 1852.867) / (415.025 / 1780.329)
=0.256125 / 0.233117
=1.0987

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1116.856 + 194.142) / 2026.744) / (1 - (1056.318 + 195.912) / 1955.979)
=0.353151 / 0.359794
=0.9815

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1780.329 / 1852.867
=0.9609

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(33.296 / (33.296 + 195.912)) / (30.125 / (30.125 + 194.142))
=0.145265 / 0.134326
=1.0814

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(186.779 / 1780.329) / (194.427 / 1852.867)
=0.104913 / 0.104933
=0.9998

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.622 + 945.466) / 2026.744) / ((1.153 + 920.687) / 1955.979)
=0.466802 / 0.471293
=0.9905

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14.58 - 0 - 0.966) / 2026.744
=0.006717

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings has a M-score of -2.29 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.29 mean?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings (HKSE:02168) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.29 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kaisa Prosperity Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings ranks #922 out of 1684 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 54.8%.
Is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. Based on the distribution chart, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings ranks #922 out of 1684 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to CBRE and BEKE?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings ranks #922 out of 1684 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Kaisa Prosperity Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kaisa Prosperity Holdings and its competitors. Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings (HKSE:02168) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$1.61, compared to a current price of HK$0.90 — trading 44.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kaisa Prosperity Holdings (HKSE:02168), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.29 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings (HKSE:02168) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$0.90 is trading 44.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$1.61. GuruFocus considers Kaisa Prosperity Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:02168:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.29
  • GF Value™: HK$1.61 vs. price of HK$0.90 (44.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:02168 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Business Description

Address 66 Nanyuan Road, Room 507, Block A, Kaisa Center, Futian District, Shenzhen, CHN, 518002
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company engaged in the provision of property management and value-added services in China. The Group's revenue mainly comprises property management services, value-added services to property owners, and value-added services to non-property owners. Property management services include services provided to property projects mainly located in Guangdong, Hong Kong, Macau Bay Area, Yangtze River Delta, Bohai Economic Rim, Western China, and Central China. Value-added services to property owners involve community added services, while value-added services to non-property owners include pre-delivery services, consulting services, and smart solution services. Property management services contribute the majority of the Group's revenue.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:02168

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.90
Price
HK$1.61
GF Value