Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co (HKSE:02408) Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (As of Jul. 21, 2026)

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HKSE:02408 Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Ltd HKSE:02408
18 GF Score
Price HK$3.57
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Beneish M-Score?

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co HKSE:02408 -2.46% 18 Beneish M-Score is -2.95 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:02408 with a GF Score™ of 18/100. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 354 Restaurants companies, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co ranks better than 64.41% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02408' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.47   Med: -3.21   Max: -2.95
Current: -2.95

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co was -2.95. The lowest was -3.47. And the median was -3.21.


Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Annual Data
Trend Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
0.00 0.00 -3.47 -2.95

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec22 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 -3.47 0.00 -2.95

HKSE:02408 vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:02408
18GF Score
Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Ltd HKSE:02408
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9596+0.528 * 0.9344+0.404 * 0.686+0.892 * 1.4541+0.115 * 0.9992
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0883+4.679 * -0.164136-0.327 * 0.6753
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$31 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,792 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$842 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$975 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$2,301 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,214 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$331 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$27 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$623 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$755 Mil.
Net Income was HK$117 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$495 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$22 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,233 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$541 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$264 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,240 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$888 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$242 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$17 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$523 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$577 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(30.63 / 1792.26) / (21.95 / 1232.557)
=0.01709 / 0.017809
=0.9596

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(541.361 / 1232.557) / (842.436 / 1792.26)
=0.439218 / 0.470041
=0.9344

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (975.244 + 1214.398) / 2301.231) / (1 - (264.394 + 887.689) / 1239.709)
=0.048491 / 0.070683
=0.686

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1792.26 / 1232.557
=1.4541

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(241.821 / (241.821 + 887.689)) / (331.146 / (331.146 + 1214.398))
=0.214094 / 0.214259
=0.9992

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(26.729 / 1792.26) / (16.891 / 1232.557)
=0.014914 / 0.013704
=1.0883

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((755.228 + 623.279) / 2301.231) / ((576.752 + 523.011) / 1239.709)
=0.59903 / 0.887114
=0.6753

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(117.238 - 0 - 494.954) / 2301.231
=-0.164136

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.95 mean?
Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co (HKSE:02408) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.95 as of Jul. 21, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co ranks #126 out of 354 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 35.6%.
Is Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. Based on the distribution chart, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co ranks #126 out of 354 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co has a GF Score™ of 18/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co ranks #126 out of 354 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co and its competitors. Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co stock overvalued right now?
Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co (HKSE:02408) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.95. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co's overall GF Score™ is 18/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co (HKSE:02408), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.95 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Business Description

Address No. 148 Xingang East Road, 1510-1511, 15th Floor, Guangzhou Banghua Global Trade Center, Haizhu District, Guangdong province, Guangzhou, CHN
Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management Co Ltd is a Chinese noodle restaurants operator in China and operates the Xiao Noodles brand domestically and overseas. It provides a diverse array of its Sichuan and Chongqing dishes throughout the day, encompassing breakfast, afternoon tea, and late-night snacks. The company operates self-operated restaurants and franchised restaurants in the Chinese Mainland, Hong Kong SAR and in Singapore. The self-operated restaurant operations generate revenue from dine-in service and delivery business; and franchised management generates revenue from royalty and franchising income and provision of service, and sales of food ingredients and restaurant supplies.
18GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$3.57
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