Vicon Holdings (HKSE:03878) Beneish M-Score: -4.03 (As of Sep. 12, 2026)

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HKSE:03878 Vicon Holdings Ltd HKSE:03878
58 GF Score
Price HK$0.19
GF Value HK$0.11
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vicon Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Vicon Holdings HKSE:03878 -9.77% 58 Beneish M-Score is -4.03 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:03878 with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.11 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,710 Construction companies, Vicon Holdings ranks better than 95.32% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.03 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vicon Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03878' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.79   Med: -2.07   Max: 13.06
Current: -4.03

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vicon Holdings was 13.06. The lowest was -4.79. And the median was -2.07.


Vicon Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vicon Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vicon Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Vicon Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.18 -0.23 -2.73 -2.20 -4.03

Vicon Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.73 0.00 -2.20 0.00 -4.03

HKSE:03878 vs PWR, FIX, EME: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Vicon Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vicon Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Vicon Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vicon Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:03878
58GF Score
Vicon Holdings Ltd HKSE:03878
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vicon Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vicon Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8988+0.528 * 1.1312+0.404 * 0.9053+0.892 * 0.7789+0.115 * 0.8721
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.414+4.679 * -0.256265-0.327 * 1.027
=-4.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$146.3 Mil.
Revenue was HK$236.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$14.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$296.4 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$332.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$26.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$9.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$5.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$55.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0.0 Mil.
Net Income was HK$4.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$89.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$209.0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$303.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$20.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$279.8 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$324.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$34.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$9.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$4.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$52.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(146.299 / 236.717) / (208.982 / 303.919)
=0.618033 / 0.687624
=0.8988

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(20.624 / 303.919) / (14.2 / 236.717)
=0.06786 / 0.059987
=1.1312

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (296.392 + 26.303) / 332.316) / (1 - (279.777 + 34.258) / 324.41)
=0.028951 / 0.031981
=0.9053

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=236.717 / 303.919
=0.7789

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9.893 / (9.893 + 34.258)) / (9.095 / (9.095 + 26.303))
=0.224072 / 0.256935
=0.8721

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4.987 / 236.717) / (4.528 / 303.919)
=0.021067 / 0.014899
=1.414

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 55.853) / 332.316) / ((0.338 + 52.752) / 324.41)
=0.168072 / 0.163651
=1.027

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4.505 - 0 - 89.666) / 332.316
=-0.256265

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vicon Holdings has a M-score of -4.03 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -4.03 mean?
Vicon Holdings (HKSE:03878) has a Beneish M-Score of -4.03 as of Sep. 12, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vicon Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Vicon Holdings ranks #80 out of 1710 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 4.7%.
Is Vicon Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Vicon Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -4.03. Based on the distribution chart, Vicon Holdings ranks #80 out of 1710 companies in the Construction industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Vicon Holdings has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vicon Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Vicon Holdings ranks #80 out of 1710 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Vicon Holdings in the top 5% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vicon Holdings and its competitors. Vicon Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -4.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vicon Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vicon Holdings (HKSE:03878) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.11, compared to a current price of HK$0.19 — trading 76.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -4.03. Vicon Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vicon Holdings (HKSE:03878), the current Beneish M-Score is -4.03 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vicon Holdings (HKSE:03878) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vicon Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$0.19 is trading 76.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.11. GuruFocus considers Vicon Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:03878:

  • Beneish M-Score: -4.03
  • GF Value™: HK$0.11 vs. price of HK$0.19 (76.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:03878 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vicon Holdings Business Description

Address 133 Hoi Bun Road, Office D, 16th Floor, MG Tower, Cheung Sha Wan, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Vicon Holdings Ltd is a Hong Kong-based investment company. The company is engaged in foundation works and ancillary services. Geographically, the company derives the maximum of its revenue from Hong Kong. The company segments include construction works and leasing of construction machinery. The company earns maximum revenue from the construction segment. The company's foundation projects involve different types of construction works, such as piling construction, ELS works, pile cap construction, and general building work in Hong Kong.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:03878

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.19
Price
HK$0.11
GF Value