China BlueChemical (HKSE:03983) Beneish M-Score: -1.55 (As of Aug. 31, 2026)

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HKSE:03983 China BlueChemical Ltd HKSE:03983
81 GF Score
Price HK$1.95
GF Value HK$2.28
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is China BlueChemical Beneish M-Score?

China BlueChemical HKSE:03983 -0.76% 81 Beneish M-Score is -1.55 as of Aug. 31, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:03983 with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$2.28 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 240 Agriculture companies, China BlueChemical ranks worse than 83.33% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.55 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for China BlueChemical's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03983' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.62   Med: -1.83   Max: -0.76
Current: -1.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China BlueChemical was -0.76. The lowest was -3.62. And the median was -1.83.


China BlueChemical Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China BlueChemical's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China BlueChemical Beneish M-Score Chart

China BlueChemical Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.26 -1.76 -1.65 -2.90 -1.55

China BlueChemical Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.90 0.00 -1.55 0.00

HKSE:03983 vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, China BlueChemical's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China BlueChemical Beneish M-Score vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, China BlueChemical's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China BlueChemical's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:03983
81GF Score
China BlueChemical Ltd HKSE:03983
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China BlueChemical Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China BlueChemical for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.0455+0.528 * 1.0934+0.404 * 0.9404+0.892 * 1.0423+0.115 * 1.0046
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0758+4.679 * -0.016277-0.327 * 1.0284
=-1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$1,177 Mil.
Revenue was HK$13,295 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,735 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$18,087 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$27,439 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$7,936 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$711 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$862 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$3,918 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$969 Mil.
Net Income was HK$1,076 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,523 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$552 Mil.
Revenue was HK$12,755 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,820 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$16,396 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$25,705 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$7,899 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$711 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$769 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,683 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,768 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1177.464 / 13294.745) / (552.274 / 12754.901)
=0.088566 / 0.043299
=2.0455

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1819.975 / 12754.901) / (1735.018 / 13294.745)
=0.142688 / 0.130504
=1.0934

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18087.226 + 7935.634) / 27438.803) / (1 - (16395.63 + 7899.032) / 25705.267)
=0.051604 / 0.054876
=0.9404

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13294.745 / 12754.901
=1.0423

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(711.121 / (711.121 + 7899.032)) / (710.875 / (710.875 + 7935.634))
=0.082591 / 0.082215
=1.0046

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(862.493 / 13294.745) / (769.166 / 12754.901)
=0.064875 / 0.060304
=1.0758

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((968.838 + 3917.57) / 27438.803) / ((1768.463 + 2683.004) / 25705.267)
=0.178084 / 0.173173
=1.0284

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1076.489 - 0 - 1523.117) / 27438.803
=-0.016277

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China BlueChemical has a M-score of -1.55 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.55 mean?
China BlueChemical (HKSE:03983) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.55 as of Aug. 31, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China BlueChemical and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China BlueChemical ranks #200 out of 240 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 83.3%.
Is China BlueChemical's Beneish M-Score too high?
China BlueChemical's current Beneish M-Score is -1.55. Based on the distribution chart, China BlueChemical ranks #200 out of 240 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, China BlueChemical has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China BlueChemical's Beneish M-Score compare to CTVA and CF?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, China BlueChemical ranks #200 out of 240 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places China BlueChemical in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Agriculture company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China BlueChemical and its competitors. China BlueChemical's current Beneish M-Score is -1.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China BlueChemical stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China BlueChemical (HKSE:03983) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$2.28, compared to a current price of HK$1.95 — trading 14.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.55. China BlueChemical's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China BlueChemical (HKSE:03983), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.55 as of Aug. 31, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China BlueChemical (HKSE:03983) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China BlueChemical stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$1.95 is trading 14.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$2.28. GuruFocus considers China BlueChemical to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:03983:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.55
  • GF Value™: HK$2.28 vs. price of HK$1.95 (14.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:03983 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China BlueChemical Business Description

Address No. 15, Sanqu, Anzhenxili, Unit 1707, Kaikang CNOOC Mansion, District 3, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100029
China BlueChemical Ltd is engaged in the development, production, and sales of mineral fertilizers and chemical products. The firm's segments are urea, methanol, phosphorus and compound fertilizer, acrylonitrile, and others. It generates maximum revenue from the Urea segment, which is engaged in the manufacture and sale of urea. Geographically, it derives the majority of its revenue from the PRC. The company's products include Chemical Fertilizers such as Urea (H2N-CO-NH2) Phosphate, Phosphate Fertilizer, Complex Fertilizers; Chemical Products such as Methanol, Acrylonitrile; and Other products such as Woven Plastic Bags, and Transportation Services.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:03983

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$1.95
Price
HK$2.28
GF Value