Newborn Town (HKSE:09911) Beneish M-Score: -2.62 (As of Sep. 05, 2026)

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HKSE:09911 Newborn Town Inc HKSE:09911
90 GF Score
Price HK$8.95
GF Value HK$6.54
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Newborn Town Beneish M-Score?

Newborn Town HKSE:09911 +5.24% 90 Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:09911 with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$6.54 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 2,640 Software companies, Newborn Town ranks better than 56.89% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Newborn Town's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09911' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.7   Med: -2.71   Max: -1.79
Current: -2.62

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Newborn Town was -1.79. The lowest was -3.70. And the median was -2.71.


Newborn Town Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Newborn Town's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Newborn Town Beneish M-Score Chart

Newborn Town Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.70 -2.52 -2.79 -3.41 -2.62

Newborn Town Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 0.00 -3.41 0.00 -2.62

HKSE:09911 vs CRM, SHOP, UBER: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Newborn Town's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Newborn Town Beneish M-Score vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Newborn Town's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Newborn Town's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:09911
90GF Score
Newborn Town Inc HKSE:09911
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Newborn Town Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Newborn Town for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0536+0.528 * 0.9171+0.404 * 1.0186+0.892 * 1.4+0.115 * 1.048
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.219+4.679 * -0.118369-0.327 * 0.76
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$588 Mil.
Revenue was HK$7,610 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$4,250 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$3,800 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$4,854 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$122 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$115 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$2,795 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,541 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$47 Mil.
Net Income was HK$1,032 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,607 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$399 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,436 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$2,784 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$3,006 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$3,825 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$98 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$102 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,638 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,600 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$47 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(587.858 / 7610.396) / (398.547 / 5436.081)
=0.077244 / 0.073315
=1.0536

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2784.133 / 5436.081) / (4250.186 / 7610.396)
=0.512158 / 0.558471
=0.9171

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3799.938 + 121.61) / 4854.359) / (1 - (3005.594 + 98.187) / 3825.456)
=0.192159 / 0.188651
=1.0186

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7610.396 / 5436.081
=1.4

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(102.288 / (102.288 + 98.187)) / (115.375 / (115.375 + 121.61))
=0.510228 / 0.486845
=1.048

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2795.293 / 7610.396) / (1637.969 / 5436.081)
=0.367299 / 0.301314
=1.219

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((46.852 + 1541.427) / 4854.359) / ((47.438 + 1599.53) / 3825.456)
=0.327186 / 0.430529
=0.76

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1032.403 - 0 - 1607.008) / 4854.359
=-0.118369

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Newborn Town has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 mean?
Newborn Town (HKSE:09911) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 as of Sep. 05, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Newborn Town and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Newborn Town ranks #1138 out of 2640 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 43.1%.
Is Newborn Town's Beneish M-Score too high?
Newborn Town's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Based on the distribution chart, Newborn Town ranks #1138 out of 2640 companies in the Software industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Newborn Town has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Newborn Town's Beneish M-Score compare to CRM and SHOP?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Newborn Town ranks #1138 out of 2640 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Newborn Town in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Software company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Software industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Newborn Town and its competitors. Newborn Town's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Newborn Town stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Newborn Town (HKSE:09911) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$6.54, compared to a current price of HK$8.95 — trading 36.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Newborn Town's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Newborn Town (HKSE:09911), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Newborn Town (HKSE:09911) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Newborn Town stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$8.95 is trading 36.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$6.54. GuruFocus considers Newborn Town to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:09911:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.62
  • GF Value™: HK$6.54 vs. price of HK$8.95 (36.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:09911 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Newborn Town Business Description

Address Xiaoyun Road 33rd Building, 6th Floor, Tower B, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN
Newborn Town Inc is an investment holding company. The Company and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in providing social networking business (mainly through social networking Apps such as MICO, SUGO, Blued and TopTop) and inventive business (mainly through advertising service and merchandise sales). The company operates through two segments namely, Innovative business and Social networking business. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Social networking business segment.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:09911

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$8.95
Price
HK$6.54
GF Value