Yum China Holdings (HKSE:09987) Beneish M-Score: -2.58 (As of Jul. 24, 2026)

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HKSE:09987 Yum China Holdings Inc HKSE:09987
96 GF Score
Price HK$335.00
GF Value HK$429.28
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
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What is Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Yum China Holdings HKSE:09987 -2.39% 96 Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:09987 with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$429.28 (Modestly Undervalued). Among 355 Restaurants companies, Yum China Holdings ranks worse than 66.48% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09987' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.58   Max: -1.2
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Yum China Holdings was -1.20. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.58.


Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Yum China Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -1.81 -2.51 -2.55 -2.45

Yum China Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.58 -2.53 -2.45 -2.58

HKSE:09987 vs TXRH, DPZ, BROS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:09987
96GF Score
Yum China Holdings Inc HKSE:09987
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Yum China Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0991+0.528 * 0.9835+0.404 * 0.9932+0.892 * 1.0704+0.115 * 1.0992
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.96+4.679 * -0.050721-0.327 * 1.0514
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$2,716 Mil.
Revenue was 25601.463 + 21965.198 + 24957.748 + 21874.048 = HK$94,398 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4813.482 + 3182.347 + 4530.695 + 3735.934 = HK$16,262 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$18,150 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$84,819 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$38,101 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3,561 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$4,529 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$18,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$14,495 Mil.
Net Income was 2418.481 + 1089.312 + 2195.285 + 1687.449 = HK$7,391 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -86.095 + -108.931 + -108.986 + -227.609 = HK$-532 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4304.74 + 972.6 + 3713.302 + 3233.623 = HK$12,224 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$2,309 Mil.
Revenue was 23170.717 + 20171.973 + 23926.161 + 20922.99 = HK$88,192 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4446.042 + 2767.33 + 4285.05 + 3444.21 = HK$14,943 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$21,375 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$85,516 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$35,141 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3,644 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$4,407 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$17,022 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$14,170 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2715.9 / 94398.457) / (2308.522 / 88191.841)
=0.028771 / 0.026176
=1.0991

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14942.632 / 88191.841) / (16262.458 / 94398.457)
=0.169433 / 0.172275
=0.9835

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18150.349 + 38100.862) / 84819.032) / (1 - (21375.2 + 35140.829) / 85516.346)
=0.336809 / 0.33912
=0.9932

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=94398.457 / 88191.841
=1.0704

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3644.316 / (3644.316 + 35140.829)) / (3561.33 / (3561.33 + 38100.862))
=0.093962 / 0.085481
=1.0992

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4528.606 / 94398.457) / (4406.975 / 88191.841)
=0.047973 / 0.04997
=0.96

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((14495.234 + 18032.947) / 84819.032) / ((14169.814 + 17022.432) / 85516.346)
=0.383501 / 0.364752
=1.0514

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7390.527 - -531.621 - 12224.265) / 84819.032
=-0.050721

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Yum China Holdings has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 mean?
Yum China Holdings (HKSE:09987) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 as of Jul. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Yum China Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Yum China Holdings ranks #236 out of 355 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 66.5%.
Is Yum China Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Yum China Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Based on the distribution chart, Yum China Holdings ranks #236 out of 355 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Yum China Holdings has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Yum China Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to TXRH and DPZ?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Yum China Holdings ranks #236 out of 355 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Yum China Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Yum China Holdings and its competitors. Yum China Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Yum China Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yum China Holdings (HKSE:09987) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$429.28, compared to a current price of HK$335.00 — trading 22% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Yum China Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 96/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Yum China Holdings (HKSE:09987), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Yum China Holdings (HKSE:09987) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yum China Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$335.00 is trading 22% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$429.28. GuruFocus considers Yum China Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:09987:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.58
  • GF Value™: HK$429.28 vs. price of HK$335.00 (22% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 96/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:09987 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Yum China Holdings Business Description

Address 20 Tian Yao Qiao Road, Yum China Building, Shanghai, CHN, 200030
Yum China is the largest restaurant operator in China, with over 18,000 locations and USD 12 billion in systemwide sales as of 2025. It generates revenue primarily from its own restaurants and franchise fees. While KFC and Pizza Hut are its flagship brands, Yum China's portfolio also includes Little Sheep, Taco Bell, Huang Ji Huang, and Lavazza.As a trademark licensee of Yum Brands, Yum China pays 3% of KFC and Pizza Hut's systemwide sales to its former parent, from which it spun off in 2016. However, even before the separation, Yum China was granted substantial autonomy, giving its Chinese leadership decision-making authority over menu, supply chain, and marketing—an unusual practice for Western chains at the time.
96GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:09987

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$335.00
Price
HK$429.28
GF Value