HLDCY (Henderson Land Development Co) Beneish M-Score: -2.62 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


HLDCY Henderson Land Development Co Ltd HLDCY
76 GF Score
Price $3.19
GF Value $2.81
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Henderson Land Development Co Beneish M-Score?

Henderson Land Development Co HLDCY +2.90% 76 Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates HLDCY with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.81 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,682 Real Estate companies, Henderson Land Development Co ranks better than 67.12% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Henderson Land Development Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HLDCY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.65   Med: -2.4   Max: -1.6
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Henderson Land Development Co was -1.60. The lowest was -2.65. And the median was -2.40.


Henderson Land Development Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Henderson Land Development Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Henderson Land Development Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Henderson Land Development Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.09 -2.52 -2.32 -2.65 -2.62

Henderson Land Development Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.32 0.00 -2.65 0.00 -2.62

Henderson Land Development Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Henderson Land Development Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Henderson Land Development Co Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Henderson Land Development Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Henderson Land Development Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HLDCY
76GF Score
Henderson Land Development Co Ltd HLDCY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Henderson Land Development Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Henderson Land Development Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.746+0.528 * 1.1283+0.404 * 1.0103+0.892 * 1.0182+0.115 * 1.3386
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9869+4.679 * -0.01237-0.327 * 0.9496
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $870 Mil.
Revenue was $3,308 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,056 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14,779 Mil.
Total Assets was $69,322 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $903 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $60 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $485 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,768 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,014 Mil.
Net Income was $727 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $1,584 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,146 Mil.
Revenue was $3,249 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,170 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15,308 Mil.
Total Assets was $68,341 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $691 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $63 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $483 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,893 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,414 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(870.348 / 3308.272) / (1145.831 / 3249.029)
=0.263082 / 0.352669
=0.746

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1169.758 / 3249.029) / (1055.676 / 3308.272)
=0.360033 / 0.319102
=1.1283

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14778.815 + 902.863) / 69322.049) / (1 - (15307.716 + 690.817) / 68340.752)
=0.773785 / 0.765901
=1.0103

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3308.272 / 3249.029
=1.0182

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(63.164 / (63.164 + 690.817)) / (60.277 / (60.277 + 902.863))
=0.083774 / 0.062584
=1.3386

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(484.912 / 3308.272) / (482.543 / 3249.029)
=0.146576 / 0.148519
=0.9869

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9013.983 + 4767.633) / 69322.049) / ((8414.207 + 5893.303) / 68340.752)
=0.198806 / 0.209355
=0.9496

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(726.532 - 0 - 1584.027) / 69322.049
=-0.01237

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Henderson Land Development Co has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 mean?
Henderson Land Development Co (HLDCY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Henderson Land Development Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Henderson Land Development Co ranks #553 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 32.9%.
Is Henderson Land Development Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Henderson Land Development Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Based on the distribution chart, Henderson Land Development Co ranks #553 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Henderson Land Development Co has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Henderson Land Development Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Henderson Land Development Co ranks #553 out of 1682 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Henderson Land Development Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Henderson Land Development Co and its competitors. Henderson Land Development Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Henderson Land Development Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Henderson Land Development Co (HLDCY) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.81, compared to a current price of $3.19 — trading 13.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Henderson Land Development Co's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Henderson Land Development Co (HLDCY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Henderson Land Development Co (HLDCY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Henderson Land Development Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $3.19 is trading 13.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $2.81. GuruFocus considers Henderson Land Development Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HLDCY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.62
  • GF Value™: $2.81 vs. price of $3.19 (13.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HLDCY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Henderson Land Development Co Business Description

Address 8 Finance Street, 72nd -76th Floor, Two International Finance Centre, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Henderson Land Development is a leading property developer in Hong Kong with a focus on urban redevelopment and farmland conversion. The company was founded in 1976, listed in 1981. Henderson Land directly controls four listed entities, including a 69% stake in Henderson Investment, a 41.5% stake in Hong Kong and China Gas, a 33.4% stake in Hong Kong Ferry, and a 50.1% stake in Miramar Hotel & Investment.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HLDCY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$3.19
Price
$2.81
GF Value