Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS (IST:IZMDC) Beneish M-Score: -5.22 (As of Jul. 07, 2026)


IST:IZMDC Izmir Demir Celik Sanayi AS IST:IZMDC
41 GF Score
Price ₺9.30
GF Value ₺6.81
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS Beneish M-Score?

Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS IST:IZMDC +2.76% 41 Beneish M-Score is -5.22 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates IST:IZMDC with a GF Score™ of 41/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺6.81 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 588 Steel companies, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS ranks better than 97.96% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -5.22 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:IZMDC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -23.04   Med: -2.4   Max: 2.82
Current: -5.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS was 2.82. The lowest was -23.04. And the median was -2.40.


Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 1.49 -1.33 -3.36 -4.72

Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -0.99 -1.21 -4.72 -5.22

IST:IZMDC vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.


IST:IZMDC
41GF Score
Izmir Demir Celik Sanayi AS IST:IZMDC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3054+0.528 * -4.1013+0.404 * 1.099+0.892 * 0.9699+0.115 * 1.5629
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2267+4.679 * -0.077774-0.327 * 0.9981
=-5.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺3,862 Mil.
Revenue was 14455.932 + 17569.479 + 16734.585 + 13113.592 = ₺61,874 Mil.
Gross Profit was -240.012 + 413 + 424.886 + -68.448 = ₺529 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺18,015 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺59,326 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺41,150 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺2,181 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺485 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺27,710 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺3,207 Mil.
Net Income was -547.642 + -1149.222 + -35.493 + -2.707 = ₺-1,735 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -529.648 + 2741.583 + 1872.043 + -1205.053 = ₺2,879 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺3,050 Mil.
Revenue was 17398.731 + 18169.689 + 16355.734 + 11869.212 = ₺63,793 Mil.
Gross Profit was 659.585 + 208.788 + -1879.873 + -1227.315 = ₺-2,239 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺14,712 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺46,567 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺31,740 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺2,709 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺408 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺21,347 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺2,966 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3861.678 / 61873.588) / (3049.907 / 63793.366)
=0.062412 / 0.047809
=1.3054

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-2238.815 / 63793.366) / (529.426 / 61873.588)
=-0.035095 / 0.008557
=-4.1013

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18015.056 + 41150.072) / 59325.795) / (1 - (14712.16 + 31740.062) / 46566.944)
=0.002708 / 0.002464
=1.099

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=61873.588 / 63793.366
=0.9699

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2709.362 / (2709.362 + 31740.062)) / (2180.503 / (2180.503 + 41150.072))
=0.078648 / 0.050323
=1.5629

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(485.434 / 61873.588) / (408.022 / 63793.366)
=0.007846 / 0.006396
=1.2267

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3206.677 + 27709.582) / 59325.795) / ((2966.186 + 21347.232) / 46566.944)
=0.521127 / 0.522118
=0.9981

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1735.064 - 0 - 2878.925) / 59325.795
=-0.077774

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS has a M-score of -5.22 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -5.22 mean?
Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS (IST:IZMDC) has a Beneish M-Score of -5.22 as of Jul. 07, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS ranks #12 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 2%.
Is Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's Beneish M-Score too high?
Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's current Beneish M-Score is -5.22. Based on the distribution chart, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS ranks #12 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS has a GF Score™ of 41/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS ranks #12 out of 588 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS in the top 2% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS and its competitors. Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's current Beneish M-Score is -5.22. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS (IST:IZMDC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺6.81, compared to a current price of ₺9.30 — trading 36.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -5.22. Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS's overall GF Score™ is 41/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS (IST:IZMDC), the current Beneish M-Score is -5.22 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS (IST:IZMDC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₺9.30 is trading 36.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₺6.81. GuruFocus considers Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IST:IZMDC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -5.22
  • GF Value™: ₺6.81 vs. price of ₺9.30 (36.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 41/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:IZMDC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Izmir Demir Celiknayi AS Business Description

Address Şair Eşref Bulvarı No. 23, Çankaya, Izmir, TUR, 35210
Izmir Demir Celik Sanayi AS is a steel producer based in Turkey. The company produces steel products which include iron blocks, iron rods, and iron beams for various application and sells it to the Turkish and international markets. The production is carried out at the Foca plant in Aliaga. The firm also engages in making investments in power plant and maritime business, owning three ships totally through its subsidiaries.
41GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IST:IZMDC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₺9.30
Price
₺6.81
GF Value