Turk Hava Yollari AO (IST:THYAO) Beneish M-Score: -2.13 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


IST:THYAO Turk Hava Yollari AO IST:THYAO
81 GF Score
Price ₺324.75
GF Value ₺465.64
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Turk Hava Yollari AO Beneish M-Score?

Turk Hava Yollari AO IST:THYAO -0.08% 81 Beneish M-Score is -2.13 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates IST:THYAO with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺465.64 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Turk Hava Yollari AO ranks worse than 75.78% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.13 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Turk Hava Yollari AO's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:THYAO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.15   Max: 0.77
Current: -2.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Turk Hava Yollari AO was 0.77. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.15.


Turk Hava Yollari AO Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Turk Hava Yollari AO's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Turk Hava Yollari AO Beneish M-Score Chart

Turk Hava Yollari AO Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -0.30 -1.50 -2.14 -2.06

Turk Hava Yollari AO Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.12 -2.46 -2.37 -2.06 -2.13

IST:THYAO vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Turk Hava Yollari AO's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Turk Hava Yollari AO Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Turk Hava Yollari AO's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Turk Hava Yollari AO's Beneish M-Score falls into.


IST:THYAO
81GF Score
Turk Hava Yollari AO IST:THYAO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Turk Hava Yollari AO Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Turk Hava Yollari AO for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0576+0.528 * 1.1196+0.404 * 1.0534+0.892 * 1.3358+0.115 * 1.0503
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9087+4.679 * -0.021288-0.327 * 1.0291
=-2.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺73,498 Mil.
Revenue was 261195.503 + 267645.204 + 287033.367 + 235493.225 = ₺1,051,367 Mil.
Gross Profit was 21806.757 + 37400.389 + 63450.35 + 45090.258 = ₺167,748 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺482,883 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺2,145,670 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺1,310,613 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺104,047 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺60,710 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺494,669 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺642,505 Mil.
Net Income was 10020.514 + 37613.619 + 56886.521 + 27329.816 = ₺131,850 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 36506.453 + 45460.451 + 30424.794 + 65134.748 = ₺177,526 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺52,025 Mil.
Revenue was 181346.121 + 196130.821 + 225481.533 + 184129.233 = ₺787,088 Mil.
Gross Profit was 12208.487 + 31015.874 + 61896.891 + 35485.779 = ₺140,607 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺346,513 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺1,508,175 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺926,658 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺77,574 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺50,018 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺385,439 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺391,302 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(73498.481 / 1051367.299) / (52025.222 / 787087.708)
=0.069908 / 0.066098
=1.0576

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(140607.031 / 787087.708) / (167747.754 / 1051367.299)
=0.178642 / 0.159552
=1.1196

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (482882.813 + 1310612.553) / 2145670.069) / (1 - (346513.215 + 926657.528) / 1508174.832)
=0.164133 / 0.15582
=1.0534

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1051367.299 / 787087.708
=1.3358

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(77573.82 / (77573.82 + 926657.528)) / (104046.508 / (104046.508 + 1310612.553))
=0.077247 / 0.073549
=1.0503

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(60709.96 / 1051367.299) / (50018.2 / 787087.708)
=0.057744 / 0.063548
=0.9087

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((642504.739 + 494669.056) / 2145670.069) / ((391302.404 + 385439.362) / 1508174.832)
=0.529985 / 0.515021
=1.0291

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(131850.47 - 0 - 177526.446) / 2145670.069
=-0.021288

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Turk Hava Yollari AO has a M-score of -2.13 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.13 mean?
Turk Hava Yollari AO (IST:THYAO) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.13 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Turk Hava Yollari AO and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Turk Hava Yollari AO ranks #732 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 75.8%.
Is Turk Hava Yollari AO's Beneish M-Score too high?
Turk Hava Yollari AO's current Beneish M-Score is -2.13. Based on the distribution chart, Turk Hava Yollari AO ranks #732 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Turk Hava Yollari AO has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Turk Hava Yollari AO's Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Turk Hava Yollari AO ranks #732 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Turk Hava Yollari AO in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Turk Hava Yollari AO and its competitors. Turk Hava Yollari AO's current Beneish M-Score is -2.13. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Turk Hava Yollari AO stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Turk Hava Yollari AO (IST:THYAO) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺465.64, compared to a current price of ₺324.75 — trading 30.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.13. Turk Hava Yollari AO's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Turk Hava Yollari AO (IST:THYAO), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.13 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Turk Hava Yollari AO (IST:THYAO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Turk Hava Yollari AO stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₺324.75 is trading 30.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₺465.64. GuruFocus considers Turk Hava Yollari AO to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for IST:THYAO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.13
  • GF Value™: ₺465.64 vs. price of ₺324.75 (30.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:THYAO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Turk Hava Yollari AO Business Description

Other Exchanges TKHVY:USATU5A:Germany
Address Havaalani Cad. No: 3/1, Genel Yonetim Binasi, 9th Floor, Yesilkoy, Bakirkoy, Istanbul, TUR, 34149
Turk Hava Yollari AO is a Turkish airline operator. It has flight networks across the globe, and transports passengers to many different regions. Additionally, it can provide long-haul direct cargo flights and other logistics to serve a diverse range of customers. It has two operating segments: air transportation and aircraft technical maintenance operations. The majority of revenue is generated from transferring passengers and cargo (air transportation segment). The company owns several hangars to perform maintenance on different types of aircraft. Its geographical segments are Asia & Far East, Europe, Americas, Africa, and Middle East.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IST:THYAO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₺324.75
Price
₺465.64
GF Value