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PT Astra Otoparts Tbk (ISX:AUTO) Beneish M-Score : -2.38 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is PT Astra Otoparts Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.38 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Astra Otoparts Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:AUTO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.13   Med: -2.48   Max: -1.94
Current: -2.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Astra Otoparts Tbk was -1.94. The lowest was -7.13. And the median was -2.48.


PT Astra Otoparts Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Astra Otoparts Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Astra Otoparts Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Astra Otoparts Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -3.01 -2.42 -2.15 -2.61

PT Astra Otoparts Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.49 -2.70 -2.61 -2.38

Competitive Comparison of PT Astra Otoparts Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, PT Astra Otoparts Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Astra Otoparts Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PT Astra Otoparts Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Astra Otoparts Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Astra Otoparts Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Astra Otoparts Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.981+0.528 * 0.9326+0.404 * 1.0489+0.892 * 0.9631+0.115 * 0.896
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0602+4.679 * 0.03017-0.327 * 0.8518
=-2.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp2,612,169 Mil.
Revenue was 4597676 + 4563811 + 4702090 + 4408901 = Rp18,272,478 Mil.
Gross Profit was 734246 + 806254 + 789677 + 682885 = Rp3,013,062 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp8,508,115 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp20,258,912 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp3,223,374 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp142,177 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp704,381 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp4,416,640 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp76,165 Mil.
Net Income was 475024 + 530750 + 510131 + 368623 = Rp1,884,528 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 311792 + -165242 + 729721 + 397038 = Rp1,273,309 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp2,764,704 Mil.
Revenue was 4974263 + 5084202 + 4914637 + 3999828 = Rp18,972,930 Mil.
Gross Profit was 800185 + 772252 + 791614 + 553729 = Rp2,917,780 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp8,361,550 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp19,249,439 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp3,163,132 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp124,437 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp689,883 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp4,997,561 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp13,811 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2612169 / 18272478) / (2764704 / 18972930)
=0.142956 / 0.145718
=0.981

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2917780 / 18972930) / (3013062 / 18272478)
=0.153786 / 0.164896
=0.9326

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8508115 + 3223374) / 20258912) / (1 - (8361550 + 3163132) / 19249439)
=0.420922 / 0.401298
=1.0489

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=18272478 / 18972930
=0.9631

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(124437 / (124437 + 3163132)) / (142177 / (142177 + 3223374))
=0.037851 / 0.042245
=0.896

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(704381 / 18272478) / (689883 / 18972930)
=0.038549 / 0.036361
=1.0602

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((76165 + 4416640) / 20258912) / ((13811 + 4997561) / 19249439)
=0.221769 / 0.260339
=0.8518

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1884528 - 0 - 1273309) / 20258912
=0.03017

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Astra Otoparts Tbk has a M-score of -2.38 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Astra Otoparts Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Astra Otoparts Tbk (ISX:AUTO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan Raya Pegangsaan Dua Km. 2,2, Kelapa Gading, Jakarta, IDN, 14250
PT Astra Otoparts Tbk is an auto parts manufacturer. It produces and distributes a range of auto spare parts. The Company serves almost all automotive manufacturers and replacement part markets in Indonesia both for two-wheeled and four-wheeled vehicles as well as other industries with a wide product range. Its segments are Trading, and Automotive component manufacturing out of which the Automotive component manufacturing segment generates the majority of revenue.